Part of: Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $54,670.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

A proven profitable serial cross-market sports trader bought Aurora despite a broad pre-match volume surge, making this a followable sharp-bettor signal even though the fill was worse than the current market.

  • This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $10.1k overall across 75 settled bets.
  • They trade across many related events — 25 events and 26 markets tracked — which points to a repeatable sports betting edge.
  • Market activity surged 682x versus its normal level before the match, showing unusually strong attention around this event.

$1,558 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 69%

91% win-rate esports sharp

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 91% win rate and $1.1M profit bought the underdog HOTU into a massive pre-match volume surge, making this a strong contrarian signal worth surfacing.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $1.1M lifetime across 191 settled positions
  • They bought HOTU at 23¢ while the market still prices HOTU around 20%, a clear underdog bet from a proven winner
  • This market saw a 639x volume spike before the match, suggesting informed money is getting involved

$3,389 on HOTU | Wallet win rate: 90%

Sharp sports grinder buying Aurora

A high-volume serial cross-market sports trader with a 73% win rate bought Aurora into a massive pre-match volume spike, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 887 wins in 1,215 resolved markets with $727k invested
  • The market saw a 639x volume spike before the match, suggesting concentrated pre-event positioning
  • They bought Aurora at 80¢, close to the current 78¢ market, so the signal is still reasonably actionable

$1,590 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 73%

Profitable serial esports bettor

A highly active and profitable serial cross-market trader bought $24.2k of Aurora at 77¢ into an extreme pre-match volume spike, and the price has already moved to 80¢.

  • This bettor has 857 wins, a 62% win rate, and about $566k in profit across 1,384 resolved markets
  • They put $24.2k into Aurora at 77¢ during a 639x pre-event volume spike, showing strong conviction before the match
  • The market has already moved from their 77¢ entry to 80¢, confirming the bet drew buying pressure

$24,215 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 62%

91% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 91% win rate just made a fresh $3.9k bet on the underdog at 21¢, which is notable despite this being a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $1.1M lifetime across 191 settled positions
  • They trade heavily across 319 markets and 298 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • They just bought HOTU at 21¢, a clear underdog price that implies they see meaningful mispricing

$3,927 on HOTU | Wallet win rate: 90%

Perfect-record sports sharp

A proven sharp sports wallet with a perfect 113-for-113 resolved record and $550k profit just bought Aurora at 79¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor has won 113 of 113 resolved trades and is up about $550k lifetime
  • They trade heavily across 175 markets and 162 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • They bought Aurora at 79¢, implying they still see value even with Aurora already a solid favorite

$2,370 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 99%

113-0 sharp bettor

A proven high-volume sharp wallet with a perfect 113-for-113 resolved record just put over $10k on Aurora at 79¢, a meaningful stake even in a reasonably liquid esports market.

  • This bettor has won 113 of 113 resolved trades and is up about $550k lifetime.
  • They've traded 175 markets across 162 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • They just put $10.3k on Aurora at 79¢, equal to 62% of this market's 24-hour volume.

$10,270 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 99%

110-0 sharp bettor

A proven sharp bettor with a perfect 110-for-110 resolved record and $537k profit just put nearly $2.9k on Aurora at 81¢, extending a very broad cross-market track record.

  • This bettor has won 110 of 110 resolved trades and is up about $537k lifetime.
  • They trade across 155 events and 168 markets, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off lucky streak.
  • They bought Aurora at 81¢ with nearly $2.9k, a meaningful bet in a market that only did about $5.8k of recent volume when they entered.

$2,896 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 99%

Profitable bettor presses favorite

A profitable high-win-rate bettor made a sizable buy that took most of this market’s daily volume, suggesting meaningful conviction even though the overall signal is modest.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $83k overall.
  • They put $4.5k into Aurora at 81¢, equal to 76% of this market’s 24-hour volume.
  • The bet is on a match favorite in a moderately thin market, which points to conviction rather than routine noise.

$4,455 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 53%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5d58...9a15 Outcome 60595176, $207,189 (90% win rate)
  2. 0x9f9c...34d9 Outcome 60595176, $11,872 (51% win rate)
  3. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 60595176, $5,294
  4. 0xb8cb...8f46 Outcome 60595176, $2,500 (57% win rate)
  5. 0x731c...9819 Outcome 60595176, $2,000
  6. 0x135f...528c Outcome 60595176, $1,011 (67% win rate)
  7. 0xe5c1...7487 Outcome 60595176, $963
  8. 0x9b9b...44c3 Outcome 60595176, $697
  9. 0x5c18...8ec1 Outcome 60595176, $668
  10. 0xe8a1...2ccd Outcome 60595176, $404

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B$54,670 tracked9 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between Aurora Gaming and HOTU in the IEM Rio Group B, initially scheduled for April 13 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against HOTU. This market will resolve to "HOTU" if HOTU win the match against Aurora Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

43d ago

$1,558 on Aurora Gaming at 87¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

43d ago

$3,389 on HOTU at 23¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

43d ago

$1,590 on Aurora Gaming at 80¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

43d ago

$24,215 on Aurora Gaming at 77¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

43d ago

$3,927 on HOTU at 21¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

44d ago

$2,370 on Aurora Gaming at 79¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

44d ago

$10,270 on Aurora Gaming at 79¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

45d ago

$2,896 on Aurora Gaming at 81¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

45d ago

$4,455 on Aurora Gaming at 81¢

Related Theses