Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B
This Polymarket tracks the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three match between Aurora Gaming and HOTU in the IEM Rio Group B upper bracket quarterfinal. Aurora Gaming is currently the market favorite, with recent smart money activity noting a profitable bettor backing the favorite. The market resolves based on the official winner of the scheduled match, with cancellation, ties, or delays beyond 7 days triggering special resolution rules.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between Aurora Gaming and HOTU in the IEM Rio Group B, initially scheduled for April 13 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against HOTU. This market will resolve to "HOTU" if HOTU win the match against Aurora Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,455.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable bettor presses favorite
A profitable high-win-rate bettor made a sizable buy that took most of this market’s daily volume, suggesting meaningful conviction even though the overall signal is modest.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $83k overall.
- They put $4.5k into Aurora at 81¢, equal to 76% of this market’s 24-hour volume.
- The bet is on a match favorite in a moderately thin market, which points to conviction rather than routine noise.
$4,455 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 77%
Top Holders
- 0x50ac...a924 — Aurora Gaming, $7,469 (77% win rate)
- 0x9f9c...34d9 — HOTU, $5,271 (44% win rate)
- 0xb9ab...f282 — HOTU, $2,367 (51% win rate)
- 0x4cbc...a37b — Aurora Gaming, $605 (95% win rate)
- 0xd961...35de — HOTU, $324 (69% win rate)
- 0xda16...6da2 — HOTU, $196
- 0x66b1...340f — Aurora Gaming, $155 (83% win rate)
- 0xc64d...b8c6 — HOTU, $151
- 0xa89b...87a6 — Aurora Gaming, $121
- 0x3177...cb28 — HOTU, $100
