Part of: Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three match between Aurora Gaming and Spirit in Round 2 of IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, scheduled for June 12. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with cancellation, tie, or extended delay rules applying if no winner is determined within 7 days. PolySpotter is tracking $1,392 in smart money across 1 signal, including alerts from a 90% win-rate esports bettor and a profitable serial trader.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Aurora Gaming and Spirit in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 12 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against Aurora Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,962.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

90% winner backing favorite

Sharp bettor with a 90% record and strong lifetime profit bought Spirit at 87¢, making the wallet track record the main signal despite modest sizing.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $34.7K lifetime.
  • Their wins came at average 62¢ entries, suggesting a strong history of finding mispriced favorites.
  • They bought Spirit at 87¢ in a liquid market, signaling confidence even near heavy-favorite odds.

$1,391 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 90%

90% win-rate esports bettor

Sharp esports bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and +$34.7k lifetime P&L bought Spirit at 87¢, making this worth surfacing despite modest size.

  • This bettor has won 90% of 79 resolved positions and is up $34.7k lifetime.
  • They bought Spirit at 87¢ in a liquid market, suggesting confidence despite already-heavy favorite odds.
  • Their historical average win price is 62¢, so the track record is not just from betting near-certain outcomes.

$1,392 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 90%

Profitable serial trader

Profitable high-volume serial trader bought $6.2k of Spirit, backed by a 1,259-bet history and $634k lifetime profit.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 1,259 resolved bets and is up $634k lifetime.
  • They are a heavy cross-market trader, active across 408 events with $2.7M tracked volume.
  • The $6.2k buy backs Spirit at 87¢, showing confidence in the heavy favorite.

$6,178 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 67%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1610...ae49 Aurora Gaming, $23,316 (68% win rate)
  2. 0xdd88...dadb Spirit, $9,500 (67% win rate)
  3. 0xee8e...0a7b Spirit, $9,353 (76% win rate)
  4. 0xb7f5...c669 Spirit, $7,777 (48% win rate)
  5. 0x4b59...3aa6 Aurora Gaming, $7,413 (67% win rate)
  6. 0x29b5...cc6c Aurora Gaming, $6,861 (58% win rate)
  7. 0x6e71...e570 Spirit, $4,781 (90% win rate)
  8. 0xe111...685a Aurora Gaming, $3,037 (43% win rate)
  9. 0x86e9...4cdf Aurora Gaming, $3,000 (97% win rate)
  10. 0x880b...c98b Aurora Gaming, $2,886 (70% win rate)

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Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

16hCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$8,962 tracked3 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Aurora Gaming
14¢
Spirit
87¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Aurora Gaming and Spirit in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 12 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against Aurora Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Spirit
89¢
87¢
84¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

27m ago

$1,391 on Spirit at 87¢

87¢87¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

1h ago

$1,392 on Spirit at 87¢

87¢87¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

2h ago

$6,178 on Spirit at 87¢

87¢87¢

Related Theses