Part of: Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

This market refers to the Counter-Strike 3rd Place match between Aurora Gaming and Team Falcons in the Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 18, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $56,584.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable sharp adding to Falcons

A highly profitable bettor with a 92% win rate is adding to a large Team Falcons position amid a 49.8x pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 92% of 1,967 resolved bets and is up $3.27 million.
They added $6,331 to Team Falcons at 89¢ while already holding a $10,576 position.
Trading activity was 49.8 times the market’s historical average.

$6,331 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable veteran adding to Falcons

A highly profitable, experienced trader added to Team Falcons during a 49.8x volume spike, though existing positions on both teams temper the directional signal.

This bettor is up $167K across 1,168 resolved trades, with a 69% win rate.
The Falcons buy came during a 49.8x surge in market volume and has risen from 70¢ to 96¢.
The wallet already held positions on both teams, so this add is notable but not an unhedged bet.

$1,146 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 68%

Three sharp bettors backing Team Falcons

Three experienced cross-market bettors concentrated about $25.9K on Team Falcons, alongside a 43x volume spike and a 20-point price rise, with two wallets showing strong profitable records.

Three wallets put about $25,900 on Team Falcons, and the price rose roughly 20 percentage points.
Two bettors have strong profitable records: one is up $1.55M across 2,299 resolved bets, and another wins 84% with $571K profit.
The group is adding to existing Team Falcons positions, with entries ranging from 60¢ to 80¢.

$25,926 on Team Falcons

Proven high-volume serial bettor

A highly profitable bettor with 1,706 resolved trades and a reported 26-point edge bought Aurora, while a sharp volume spike and serial cross-market activity add context, though the market has since moved sharply against the position.

This bettor has won 80% of 1,706 resolved trades and is up about $2.9 million.
They bought Aurora at 58¢, but the market is now at 22¢—a major move against the position.
A 43× volume spike and activity across 654 events make this worth watching, though the price move is a caution for copying.

$5,300 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 73%

Four-wallet sharp-bettor cluster

Four wallets added to Aurora positions together, including two highly profitable bettors, despite the market price subsequently falling from around 50¢ to 40¢.

Four wallets put $10,574 behind Aurora, and all were adding to existing positions.
Two bettors stand out: one has an 86% win rate and $66,693 profit, while another has a 95% win rate and $19,747 profit.
Aurora has since fallen to about 40¢ from their roughly 51¢ average entry, so the coordinated bet is currently underwater.

$17,881 on Aurora Gaming