Part of: Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $58,243.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp wallets backing Vitality

A large one-sided Vitality cluster includes highly profitable bettors and arrived during an extraordinary pre-event volume spike, despite the market moving sharply against Vitality.

  • Ten wallets committed $43,605 to Vitality, including a bettor with a 93% win rate across 2,730 resolved positions.
  • The market saw a 2,821x historical volume spike, while multiple profitable bettors added to existing Vitality positions.
  • Vitality fell 16 percentage points to 39%, creating a contrarian entry but also signaling substantial execution risk.

$43,605 on Vitality

Sharp bettor-led Aurora cluster

A sharp 81% bettor and three other wallets bought Aurora around 32¢ before a major repricing to 60%, although opposing Vitality flow makes the signal less definitive.

  • A bettor with an 81% win rate and $3.6M profit bought Aurora near 31¢.
  • Four wallets committed $11,228 around 30–33¢, followed by a move to roughly 60%.
  • Trading surged to over 1,500 times its historical baseline, though sizable Vitality buying signals opposing flow.

$11,228 on Aurora Gaming

Sharp bettor doubling down on Vitality

A highly profitable serial trader added to a Vitality position amid an unusually large one-sided flow and massive pre-event volume spike, despite the market moving sharply against the 72¢ entry.

  • This bettor has won 82% of 293 resolved trades and is up $182,074 lifetime.
  • Eight wallets bought Vitality for a combined $30,010, while pre-event volume ran 1,541× its historical average.
  • The trader added to an existing Vitality position at 72¢, showing increased conviction even though the market now prices Vitality near 40¢.

$1,315 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 82%

Serial esports bettor joins Vitality surge

A profitable serial trader added to a large one-sided Vitality flow amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, although the position is already underwater.

  • This bettor is up $637,714 across 432 resolved trades, with a 64% win rate and 158-event trading history.
  • Eight wallets bought Vitality for roughly $30,000 combined, while trading volume surged to over 1,500 times its historical average.
  • The wallet is adding to an existing $12,000 Vitality position at 69¢, signaling continued conviction despite unfavorable price movement.

$2,095 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0x880b...c98b Outcome 98882904, $33,017 (75% win rate)
  2. 0x19ae...395c Outcome 98882904, $30,152 (55% win rate)
  3. 0x8c0b...7aa5 Outcome 98882904, $13,951 (60% win rate)
  4. 0xdf80...3259 Outcome 98882904, $11,119 (75% win rate)
  5. 0x1037...5b09 Outcome 98882904, $10,000 (91% win rate)
  6. 0xef26...05ba Outcome 98882904, $9,732 (50% win rate)
  7. 0xfaf1...795f Outcome 98882904, $7,500 (55% win rate)
  8. 0x3833...33d1 Outcome 98882904, $6,807 (81% win rate)
  9. 0x2d4a...ef5f Outcome 98882904, $6,244 (58% win rate)
  10. 0x5045...914a Outcome 98882904, $5,800 (81% win rate)

Related Theses

Hanwha wins a five-game thriller

Covers 4 related markets

Top Esports wins the series

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BNK FEARX Wins Games 2–4

Covers 3 related markets

GIANTX wins series after Game 1 loss

Covers 3 related markets

Ninjas in Pyjamas sweep LGD Gaming

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T1 will sweep BNK FEARX

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G2 NORD wins 3-1

Covers 5 related markets

BNK FearX wins 3-1

Covers 5 related markets

Karmine Corp wins the series and games

Covers 4 related markets

Vitality will win Map 2

Covers 1 related market

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs$58,243 tracked4 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Final match between Aurora Gaming and Vitality in the StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against Vitality. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner

3d ago

$43,605 on Vitality at 52¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner

3d ago

$11,228 on Aurora Gaming at 32¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner

3d ago

$1,315 on Vitality at 72¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner

3d ago

$2,095 on Vitality at 69¢

Related Theses

Hanwha wins a five-game thriller
Wallet_0xf23c5 trades 4 related markets
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1…LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1…LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1…
Top Esports wins the series
Wallet_0xf23c5 trades 5 related markets
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming…LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming…LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming…
BNK FEARX Wins Games 2–4
Wallet_0xf23c5 trades 3 related markets
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - …LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - …LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - …
GIANTX wins series after Game 1 loss
Wallet_0xf23c5 trades 3 related markets
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (…LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere -…LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere -…
Ninjas in Pyjamas sweep LGD Gaming
Wallet_0xf23c5 trades 3 related markets
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD …LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD …LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD …
T1 will sweep BNK FEARX
Wallet_0xf23c5 trades 4 related markets
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - L…LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 …LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 …
G2 NORD wins 3-1
Wallet_0xf23c5 trades 5 related markets
LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Pr…LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 1 W…LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 2 W…
BNK FearX wins 3-1
Wallet_0xf23c5 trades 5 related markets
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs…LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs…LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs…
Karmine Corp wins the series and games
Wallet_0xf23c5 trades 4 related markets
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Cor…LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Cor…LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Cor…
Vitality will win Map 2
Wallet_0x89eb8 trades 1 related market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming …