Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
This Polymarket tracks who will win Map 2 of the Counter-Strike match between B8 and Natus Vincere in the IEM Rio Group B upper bracket quarterfinal. The market resolves based on the Map 2 winner, even if the full match is not completed, as long as Map 2 finishes. It is scheduled around April 13, with market resolution by April 14, 2026, and current smart money activity shows modest but notable interest.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between B8 and Natus Vincere in the IEM Rio Group B, initially scheduled for April 13 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "B8" if B8 win Map 2 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 2 against B8. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $74,968.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
79% win-rate sports bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market sports trader with a 79% win rate bought B8 before a sharp 25-point move, suggesting a bettor with a real edge rather than routine flow.
- This bettor wins 79% of their resolved trades across 299 bets and has put over $1.0M to work
- They bought B8 at 84¢ before the price jumped to 94¢, catching a 25-point move early
- This wallet trades heavily across related markets, with 171 events tracked and a profitable $22.4k record
$1,074 on B8 | Wallet win rate: 79%
84% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 84% win rate bought B8 at 38¢ before a coordinated 7-wallet move pushed the price to 55%, making this a strong follow signal despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor wins 84% of their trades and is up $1.41M across nearly 900 resolved bets.
- They bought B8 at 38¢, and the market has already moved to 55¢ after a 7-wallet, $16.2k one-sided push.
- This market saw a 15.6x volume spike and a 22-point price jump, backing the idea that sharp money moved early.
$1,109 on B8 | Wallet win rate: 84%
84% winner leads B8 rush
A proven sharp wallet with an 84% win rate led a 6-wallet rush into B8 between 37¢ and 47¢ just before a fast 28.5-point price jump, suggesting strong conviction on a meaningful esports market.
- One wallet in this cluster wins 84% of its bets and is up $1.41M, making this a credible bettor to follow.
- Six wallets piled into B8 for $15.2k in a few minutes, and the price ripped from the high 30s/40s to 57%.
- Most of the buying hit at 37¢ to 47¢, which gave the cluster roughly 10 to 20 points of instant edge versus the current market.
$15,170 on B8
84% winner joins B8 cluster
A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 84% win rate joined a 5-wallet one-sided push into B8, making this coordinated buy worth tracking despite the market moving below their 45¢ entry.
- This bettor wins 84% of their trades and is up $1.41M across nearly 900 resolved bets
- Five wallets all bought B8 in the same window, putting about $9.1k behind the same side
- They entered at 45¢ after a 23-point jump, showing conviction even as B8 still trades around 36¢
$1,764 on B8 | Wallet win rate: 84%
Profitable new whale
A 4-day-old wallet with repeated large bets and early profits just put $9.3k into Natus Vincere during a major pre-match volume surge, suggesting strong fresh conviction.
- This 4-day-old wallet has already triggered 18 large-bet alerts and is up $3.6k early
- They just put $9.3k on Natus Vincere at 80¢, a sizable fresh bet in a liquid esports market
- Market volume is running 109x above normal, which supports the idea that sharp money is showing up before the match
$9,280 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 75%
Repeat new-wallet whale
A 6-day-old wallet that has already fired 13 large alerts just placed a $42.1k concentrated bet on Natus Vincere into a major pre-match volume spike, signaling strong conviction rather than routine flow.
- A 6-day-old wallet has already made 13 large flagged bets, with $188k previously detected across alerts
- They just bought $42.1k of Natus Vincere at 81-82¢ in two back-to-back trades, showing concentrated conviction
- Market volume is running 109x normal, so this bet is landing during a broader surge of money before the match
$42,130 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 100%
17-wallet funded cluster
A large linked-wallet cluster piled into longshot Natus Vincere before a sharp reversal, led by a very active new wallet with early profits, making this coordinated sports flow worth watching despite mixed wallet quality.
- 17 linked wallets share the same funder, and 3 of them bought Natus Vincere together in a coordinated push
- One buyer is a 4-day-old wallet already up $3.6k and has been flagged 20 times for large early bets
- They entered at 38-44¢, so copying only makes sense far below their price since the market is now just 6¢
$4,441 on Natus Vincere
Top Holders
- 0xcd36...a8ac — Natus Vincere, $54,874 (53% win rate)
- 0x68ac...3d7e — Natus Vincere, $51,808 (100% win rate)
- 0x4ad6...464c — B8, $36,508
- 0xe3aa...1485 — B8, $34,397 (53% win rate)
- 0xf988...d63b — B8, $28,668 (84% win rate)
- 0x724c...1521 — B8, $20,586 (69% win rate)
- 0x7d11...99ca — Natus Vincere, $18,047 (75% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — B8, $17,419 (50% win rate)
- 0xdd54...b245 — B8, $11,634 (71% win rate)
- 0x21ec...7307 — Natus Vincere, $11,620 (63% win rate)
