Part of: Counter-Strike: BIG vs Aurora Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Aurora Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $118,168.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

16-wallet BIG conviction cluster

A 16-wallet coordinated BIG position totaling $51,639 drove a roughly 21-point move, although some activity was position management rather than fresh conviction.

  • Sixteen wallets concentrated $51,639 on BIG, with additional Aurora sells equivalent to buying BIG.
  • The coordinated flow coincided with a roughly 21-percentage-point rise in BIG’s price.
  • Several participants have strong records, including one with a 70% win rate and another with $1.07 million in lifetime profit, though existing positions reduce the signal’s freshness.

$51,639 on BIG

Profitable serial trader scales into Aurora

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is adding nearly $10,000 to an existing Aurora position despite the market already pricing Aurora at 62%.

  • This bettor is up $1.07 million across 186 resolved trades, with a 63% win rate and a 54¢ average winning entry.
  • They added nearly $10,000 to an existing Aurora position, bringing their total investment to about $26,500.
  • The trade was entered around 62¢, matching current odds and offering a copy ceiling of 72¢.

$6,584 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 60%

Sharp bettor scaling into Aurora

Three wallets added $5,789 to Aurora at 61%, including a highly profitable bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial lifetime gains.

  • An 84%-win-rate bettor with $126,000 lifetime profit bought Aurora at 61%.
  • Three wallets added $5,789 to Aurora at the same 61% price, showing coordinated conviction.
  • The traders were adding to existing Aurora positions rather than making isolated bets, reinforcing the directional thesis.

$5,350 on Aurora Gaming

Serial sharp scaling into Aurora

A proven 84% bettor with $126K lifetime profit is adding to an Aurora Gaming position at 61¢.

  • This bettor has won 84% of 102 resolved trades and is up nearly $126,000.
  • They are adding to an existing Aurora Gaming position at 61¢, signaling continued conviction despite the current 60% market price.
  • The wallet actively trades across 49 events and 53 markets, providing a substantial history beyond this single match.

$2,008 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 87%

95% winner backs Aurora

A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and $1.59M profit is making a fresh $10,000 bet on Aurora Gaming.

  • This bettor has won 166 of 175 resolved positions and earned $1.59M in profit.
  • They placed a fresh $10,000 bet on Aurora Gaming at 61¢, slightly above the market’s current 60% probability.
  • The wallet has traded across 220 events and 275 markets, providing an unusually large track record behind this esports position.

$10,000 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial bettor backs BIG

A highly experienced bettor with a 69% win rate and nearly $1M profit bought BIG at 39¢ amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 69% of 3,510 resolved trades and earned nearly $1M in profit.
  • They placed a $1,617 bet on BIG at 39¢ while market activity ran 916x above its historical average.
  • The 39¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value against the current 38% BIG probability.

$1,617 on BIG | Wallet win rate: 46%

84% winner backs Aurora heavily

A highly proven bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial positive edge placed a $31,000 fresh bet on Aurora, exceeding the market’s 24-hour volume.

  • This bettor has won 84% of 431 resolved positions and is up $5.25 million lifetime.
  • The $31,000 Aurora bet represents 95% of available liquidity-adjusted 24-hour trading volume, signaling strong conviction despite the market’s deep overall liquidity.
  • Aurora was bought at 62¢, matching the current market price and implying the bettor sees meaningful value at roughly even odds.

$31,000 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable serial trader scales into Aurora

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is adding nearly $10,000 to an existing Aurora position despite the market already pricing Aurora at 62%.

  • This bettor is up $1.07 million across 186 resolved trades, with a 63% win rate and a 54¢ average winning entry.
  • They added nearly $10,000 to an existing Aurora position, bringing their total investment to about $26,500.
  • The trade was entered around 62¢, matching current odds and offering a copy ceiling of 72¢.

$9,970 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 60%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdb85...152f Outcome 95150347, $50,000 (88% win rate)
  2. 0x79ae...9a4a Outcome 95150347, $16,393 (94% win rate)
  3. 0xe2d0...7bbf Outcome 95150347, $13,109 (63% win rate)
  4. 0xb496...1f45 Outcome 95150347, $10,293 (89% win rate)
  5. 0xcf60...a6f5 Outcome 95150347, $10,000 (83% win rate)
  6. 0x4572...83ff Outcome 95150347, $6,930 (57% win rate)
  7. 0xf3ef...ca6b Outcome 95150347, $5,514 (62% win rate)
  8. 0xdcaf...e271 Outcome 95150347, $5,000 (58% win rate)
  9. 0x0562...18a4 Outcome 95150347, $3,867 (68% win rate)
  10. 0xad94...85b1 Outcome 95150347, $3,300 (42% win rate)

Related Theses

Germany wins by six plus

Covers 3 related markets

BetBoom wins Games 2 and 3, series

Covers 3 related markets

Spain-Argentina stays under 1.5 goals

Covers 3 related markets

Team Spirit completes reverse sweep

Covers 4 related markets

MOUZ will beat Spirit in series

Covers 4 related markets

Aurora sweeps FURIA

Covers 3 related markets

Spain wins comfortably

Covers 3 related markets

Brazil wins by four plus

Covers 3 related markets

Liquid wins in three

Covers 4 related markets

Vici Gaming sweeps 1win

Covers 3 related markets

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Aurora Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

ResolvedCounter-Strike: BIG vs Aurora Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A$118,168 tracked8 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between BIG and Aurora Gaming in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for August 12 at 8:10AM ET. This market will resolve to "BIG" if BIG win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against BIG. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “BIG
102¢
65¢
29¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Aurora Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

30d ago

$51,639 on BIG at 39¢

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Aurora Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

30d ago

$6,584 on Aurora Gaming at 62¢

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Aurora Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

30d ago

$5,350 on Aurora Gaming at 61¢

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Aurora Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

30d ago

$2,008 on Aurora Gaming at 61¢

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Aurora Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

30d ago

$10,000 on Aurora Gaming at 61¢

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Aurora Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

30d ago

$1,617 on BIG at 39¢

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Aurora Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

30d ago

$31,000 on Aurora Gaming at 62¢

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Aurora Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

31d ago

$9,970 on Aurora Gaming at 62¢

Related Theses

Germany wins by six plus
Wallet_0xdb859 trades 3 related markets
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Spread: Germany (-5.5)Spread: Germany (-4.5)
BetBoom wins Games 2 and 3, series
Wallet_0x79ae0 trades 3 related markets
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVI…Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVI…Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVI…
Spain-Argentina stays under 1.5 goals
Wallet_0x79ae0 trades 3 related markets
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Team…Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
Team Spirit completes reverse sweep
Wallet_0x79ae0 trades 4 related markets
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Sp…Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Sp…Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Sp…
MOUZ will beat Spirit in series
Wallet_0x79ae0 trades 4 related markets
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ…Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ…Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOU…
Aurora sweeps FURIA
Wallet_0x79ae0 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming …Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming …Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming …
Spain wins comfortably
Wallet_0xdb859 trades 3 related markets
Spread: Spain (-4.5)Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spread: Spain (-3.5)
Brazil wins by four plus
Wallet_0xdb859 trades 3 related markets
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
Liquid wins in three
Wallet_0x79ae0 trades 4 related markets
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Li…Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Te…Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Li…
Vici Gaming sweeps 1win
Wallet_0x79ae0 trades 3 related markets
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - …Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (B…Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - …