Part of: Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs
This Polymarket market covers the Counter-Strike 2 BO3 match between F5 Esports and Wanted Goons in the NSTLGA League Playoffs lower bracket round 1. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with resolution expected by June 13, 2026, unless the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules. PolySpotter is tracking $4,190 in smart money and 1 smart money signal, including sharp activity around the underdog and fading the favorite.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 1 match between F5 Esports and Wanted Goons in the NSTLGA League Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 12 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "F5 Esports" if F5 Esports win the match against Wanted Goons. This market will resolve to "Wanted Goons" if Wanted Goons win the match against F5 Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,623.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster buying underdog
Four wallets, including a proven 83% winner up $41,958, put $6.3k on Wanted Goons in the same direction on a moderately liquid esports market.
- A bettor who wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $41,958 joined this Wanted Goons position.
- Four wallets put $6,252 on the same side, including direct buys and equivalent buys from selling F5 Esports.
- Entry around 69¢ implies they see Wanted Goons as meaningfully stronger than the current 64¢ market price.
$6,252 on Wanted Goons
Sharp bettor fading favorite
Sharp esports bettor with an 83% record and +$41.5k P&L exited Wanted Goons at 67¢, effectively favoring F5 at 33¢ before Wanted fell to 56¢.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $41.5k lifetime.
- They sold Wanted Goons at 67¢, equivalent to backing F5 around 33¢.
- The move has already been directionally right, with Wanted Goons now down to 56¢.
$1,162 on F5 Esports | Wallet win rate: 83%
Sharp cluster backing underdog
Three wallets are aligned on Wanted Goons, including two highly profitable bettors with 83% and 86% historical win rates and strong cross-market sports activity.
- Two proven bettors are backing the same side, with 83% and 86% historical win rates and over $467K combined profit.
- Three wallets put $4.2K on Wanted Goons in a $22.6K market, a meaningful coordinated position.
- The best entry is now around 66¢, below one sharp buyer’s 80¢ entry and near the other two wallets’ 65¢ equivalent entry.
$4,190 on Wanted Goons
Elite esports sharp buying dip
Elite 86% lifetime bettor with major profit and extensive cross-market history bought Wanted Goons despite the price later falling.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up about $426k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 153 events with the same 86% win record.
- They bought Wanted Goons at 80¢; the market is now around 66¢, offering a cheaper entry than the sharp paid.
$1,552 on Wanted Goons | Wallet win rate: 86%
Sharp bettor fading favorite
Sharp esports bettor with an 83% record and +$41.5k P&L exited Wanted Goons at 67¢, effectively favoring F5 at 33¢ before Wanted fell to 56¢.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $41.5k lifetime.
- They sold Wanted Goons at 67¢, equivalent to backing F5 around 33¢.
- The move has already been directionally right, with Wanted Goons now down to 56¢.
$1,466 on F5 Esports | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0xd218...b5c9 — F5 Esports, $11,687 (50% win rate)
- 0xefac...c9a1 — Wanted Goons, $7,500 (57% win rate)
- 0x82d2...beea — Wanted Goons, $5,712 (57% win rate)
- 0xb4d2...ce99 — F5 Esports, $3,409 (49% win rate)
- 0xa9f5...937f — F5 Esports, $2,739
- 0x6200...7d23 — Wanted Goons, $2,465
- 0x29b5...cc6c — F5 Esports, $1,263 (58% win rate)
- 0xd761...56e3 — F5 Esports, $924 (83% win rate)
- 0x568d...87d0 — Wanted Goons, $809 (82% win rate)
- 0xda77...683f — F5 Esports, $688
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