Part of: Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs

Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs

This Polymarket market covers the Counter-Strike 2 BO3 match between F5 Esports and Wanted Goons in the NSTLGA League Playoffs lower bracket round 1. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with resolution expected by June 13, 2026, unless the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules. PolySpotter is tracking $4,190 in smart money and 1 smart money signal, including sharp activity around the underdog and fading the favorite.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 1 match between F5 Esports and Wanted Goons in the NSTLGA League Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 12 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "F5 Esports" if F5 Esports win the match against Wanted Goons. This market will resolve to "Wanted Goons" if Wanted Goons win the match against F5 Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,623.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster buying underdog

Four wallets, including a proven 83% winner up $41,958, put $6.3k on Wanted Goons in the same direction on a moderately liquid esports market.

  • A bettor who wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $41,958 joined this Wanted Goons position.
  • Four wallets put $6,252 on the same side, including direct buys and equivalent buys from selling F5 Esports.
  • Entry around 69¢ implies they see Wanted Goons as meaningfully stronger than the current 64¢ market price.

$6,252 on Wanted Goons

Sharp bettor fading favorite

Sharp esports bettor with an 83% record and +$41.5k P&L exited Wanted Goons at 67¢, effectively favoring F5 at 33¢ before Wanted fell to 56¢.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $41.5k lifetime.
  • They sold Wanted Goons at 67¢, equivalent to backing F5 around 33¢.
  • The move has already been directionally right, with Wanted Goons now down to 56¢.

$1,162 on F5 Esports | Wallet win rate: 83%

Sharp cluster backing underdog

Three wallets are aligned on Wanted Goons, including two highly profitable bettors with 83% and 86% historical win rates and strong cross-market sports activity.

  • Two proven bettors are backing the same side, with 83% and 86% historical win rates and over $467K combined profit.
  • Three wallets put $4.2K on Wanted Goons in a $22.6K market, a meaningful coordinated position.
  • The best entry is now around 66¢, below one sharp buyer’s 80¢ entry and near the other two wallets’ 65¢ equivalent entry.

$4,190 on Wanted Goons

Elite esports sharp buying dip

Elite 86% lifetime bettor with major profit and extensive cross-market history bought Wanted Goons despite the price later falling.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up about $426k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 153 events with the same 86% win record.
  • They bought Wanted Goons at 80¢; the market is now around 66¢, offering a cheaper entry than the sharp paid.

$1,552 on Wanted Goons | Wallet win rate: 86%

Sharp bettor fading favorite

Sharp esports bettor with an 83% record and +$41.5k P&L exited Wanted Goons at 67¢, effectively favoring F5 at 33¢ before Wanted fell to 56¢.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $41.5k lifetime.
  • They sold Wanted Goons at 67¢, equivalent to backing F5 around 33¢.
  • The move has already been directionally right, with Wanted Goons now down to 56¢.

$1,466 on F5 Esports | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

  1. 0xd218...b5c9 F5 Esports, $11,687 (50% win rate)
  2. 0xefac...c9a1 Wanted Goons, $7,500 (57% win rate)
  3. 0x82d2...beea Wanted Goons, $5,712 (57% win rate)
  4. 0xb4d2...ce99 F5 Esports, $3,409 (49% win rate)
  5. 0xa9f5...937f F5 Esports, $2,739
  6. 0x6200...7d23 Wanted Goons, $2,465
  7. 0x29b5...cc6c F5 Esports, $1,263 (58% win rate)
  8. 0xd761...56e3 F5 Esports, $924 (83% win rate)
  9. 0x568d...87d0 Wanted Goons, $809 (82% win rate)
  10. 0xda77...683f F5 Esports, $688

Related Theses

Rays beat the Orioles

Covers 1 related market

Peru Spain stays low scoring

Covers 1 related market

FlyQuest beats Team Liquid

Covers 1 related market

Pablo Llamas Ruiz wins

Covers 1 related market

Angels Tigers stay under

Covers 1 related market

Dedura-Palomero beats Mikrut

Covers 1 related market

Siegemund beats Jones

Covers 1 related market

Jesper de Jong beats Milic

Covers 1 related market

Sparks beat the Storm

Covers 1 related market

Sabalenka beats Kasatkina

Covers 1 related market

Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs

4hCounter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs$14,623 tracked5 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
F5 Esports
61¢
Wanted Goons
40¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 1 match between F5 Esports and Wanted Goons in the NSTLGA League Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 12 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "F5 Esports" if F5 Esports win the match against Wanted Goons. This market will resolve to "Wanted Goons" if Wanted Goons win the match against F5 Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “F5 Esports
57¢
46¢
36¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs

1h ago

$6,252 on Wanted Goons at 69¢

69¢40¢29¢

Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs

1h ago

$1,162 on F5 Esports at 33¢

33¢61¢28¢

Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs

1h ago

$4,190 on Wanted Goons at 71¢

71¢40¢31¢

Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs

2h ago

$1,552 on Wanted Goons at 80¢

80¢40¢40¢

Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs

2h ago

$1,466 on F5 Esports at 33¢

33¢61¢28¢

Related Theses