Part of: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Map 1 winner between FURIA and Gentle Mates in their Counter-Strike 2 Round 4 match at the PGL Astana Group Stage. The market resolves to the team that wins Map 1, with resolution scheduled for May 12, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $1,292 in smart money and 1 smart money signal on this market.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $28,945.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable new esports bettor
Repeat new wallet with early profit bought FURIA at 84¢ before the market moved to 100%, suggesting a correctly timed esports position but now likely too late to chase.
- This newer wallet is already up $1.3K and has been flagged 12 times for larger bets.
- The bettor bought FURIA at 84¢ shortly before the market moved to 100%.
- Entry at 84¢ has already paid off, so chasing above 94¢ would offer little value.
$1,680 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial event trader
High-volume profitable esports/sports bettor bought FURIA at 80¢ before a fast move to 100¢, though the trade is likely no longer copyable at current odds.
- This high-volume bettor is up $2.24M lifetime across more than 27,000 resolved bets.
- They bought FURIA at 80¢ before the market quickly moved to 100¢.
- This wallet has traded across 1,600+ related markets, suggesting a repeat event-specialist pattern.
$1,034 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 55%
Serial 80% winner buying favorite
Serial cross-market esports bettor with an 80% resolved win rate bought FURIA at 88¢ ahead of an 18-point move to 92¢.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades across 334 markets and is up $8.2K lifetime.
- They have traded 192 events and $1.37M total, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports process.
- FURIA moved from their 88¢ entry to 92¢, so the market is already following their direction.
$1,292 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 80%
Perfect-record esports bettor
Despite a weak price-impact alert, the buyer has a perfect 10-0 resolved record with positive P&L, making this a sharp-wallet copy candidate on a liquid esports market.
- This bettor has won 10 of 10 resolved trades and is up $1,456 lifetime.
- They paid 71¢ for FURIA, above the current 65¢ market price, showing strong conviction.
- The trade helped push FURIA up 10 points in under 4 minutes.
$1,160 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 100%
91% winner contrarian dog
Elite 91% winner with strong lifetime profit is taking a contrarian 14¢ position on Gentle Mates despite the market pricing them near 8%.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $410K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 173 events with the same 91% hit rate.
- Entry at 14¢ on Gentle Mates is a contrarian underdog bet versus current 8% odds.
$2,500 on Gentle Mates | Wallet win rate: 91%
Sharp esports cluster
Three wallets bought FURIA together ahead of the match, including a perfect 11-0 bettor, and the price quickly moved from the low 70s to 92%.
- A bettor who is 11-for-11 with $81K profit joined this FURIA buy cluster.
- Three wallets bought $9.2K of FURIA in the same direction before the match.
- The market jumped from around 71–73¢ to 92¢ shortly after these buys.
$9,171 on FURIA
Profitable serial esports bettor
A very high-volume serial sports bettor with $2.24M lifetime profit bought FURIA before a quick 10-point move higher.
- This bettor is up $2.24M lifetime across more than 27,000 resolved bets.
- They bought FURIA at 71¢ before the market jumped to about 80¢ within minutes.
- This is a liquid esports market, and the bettor has nearly $177M in historical volume.
$4,488 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable esports whale buying FURIA
Profitable high-volume esports bettor bought $6.1k of FURIA at 71¢ in a relatively thin market, pushing odds to 80%.
- This bettor is up $2.24M lifetime across more than 27,000 resolved bets.
- They bought $6.1k of FURIA at 71¢, a large chunk of the market’s recent volume.
- The trade quickly moved FURIA from about 70¢ to 80¢, suggesting strong conviction.
$6,121 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable 320-bet bettor
A profitable wallet with a 76% record across 320 resolved bets is buying FURIA despite the alert itself being only a weak low-activity signal.
- This bettor has won 76% of 320 resolved bets and is up $5.5K lifetime.
- They put $1.5K on FURIA at 73¢ in a modest-volume esports market.
- Entry at 73¢ implies they are backing the current favorite with real bankroll behind it.
$1,500 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0x880b...c98b — Gentle Mates, $26,048 (62% win rate)
- 0xa1e4...4f8a — Gentle Mates, $18,242 (91% win rate)
- 0x56c9...0d9e — FURIA, $9,999 (92% win rate)
- 0x25ac...3e47 — FURIA, $5,132 (80% win rate)
- 0xfdc0...4b85 — Gentle Mates, $3,312 (48% win rate)
- 0x4713...4d21 — Gentle Mates, $2,491 (44% win rate)
- 0x12d9...01bb — Gentle Mates, $2,367 (30% win rate)
- 0xb8cb...8f46 — Gentle Mates, $2,057 (56% win rate)
- 0x0e62...f6ff — Gentle Mates, $2,019 (53% win rate)
- 0x36b9...bdf4 — FURIA, $2,009 (67% win rate)
