Part of: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner
This Polymarket market predicts the Map 2 winner between FURIA and Gentle Mates in their Counter-Strike Round 4 match at the PGL Astana Group Stage. It resolves to FURIA if FURIA win Map 2, or Gentle Mates if Gentle Mates win Map 2, with resolution expected on May 12, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $11,218 in smart money across 4 signals, including sharp esports activity and both favorite and underdog backing.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,218.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
86% winner buying favorite
Sharp high-volume sports/esports bettor with an 86% win rate bought Gentle Mates at 90c during a rapid price move, making the wallet track record the main signal despite a low composite score.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades across 383 bets, with over $821k invested.
- They bought Gentle Mates at 90¢ as the price jumped 14 points in under 4 minutes.
- The market is liquid, so the edge comes more from the bettor’s strong track record than trade size.
$1,257 on Gentle Mates | Wallet win rate: 86%
91% winner backing underdog
A highly profitable 91% win-rate bettor joined a 4-wallet pro-FURIA cluster, though the trade has moved sharply against their 38–55¢ entries with FURIA now around 10¢.
- A bettor who wins 91% of resolved bets is backing FURIA and is up $418K lifetime.
- Four wallets pushed the same FURIA side for $6.2K, including both direct FURIA buys and equivalent Gentle Mates sells.
- Entry was much higher at 38–55¢, while FURIA now trades near 10¢, so this is a high-risk underdog copy.
$6,217 on FURIA
91% win-rate esports sharp
A highly profitable 91% win-rate esports bettor bought FURIA, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $418k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 175 events with the same 91% hit rate.
- FURIA is now 42¢ versus their 63¢ entry, so the market is offering a much cheaper price than they paid.
$2,500 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 91%
Profitable serial event trader
Serial cross-market bettor with a strong 92-bet history and $135k profit bought the underdog Gentle Mates at 26%, though the market has since moved against them to 14%.
- This bettor has a real track record: 62% wins across 92 resolved bets and $135k lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 32 events and 46 markets with $126k in detected event positioning.
- This is a contrarian underdog buy at 26¢, but the current price has fallen to 14¢ since their entry.
$1,244 on Gentle Mates | Wallet win rate: 62%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 62810921, $12,984 (73% win rate)
- 0xa1e4...4f8a — Outcome 62810921, $9,878 (91% win rate)
- 0x8b9a...3f5f — Outcome 62810921, $7,389 (56% win rate)
- 0xb100...6461 — Outcome 62810921, $4,760 (58% win rate)
- 0x61f7...d633 — Outcome 62810921, $4,400
- 0x8056...b64d — Outcome 62810921, $4,356 (49% win rate)
- 0x66e5...d3c7 — Outcome 62810921, $2,644 (69% win rate)
- 0x8d03...100e — Outcome 62810921, $2,264 (76% win rate)
- 0x009b...26da — Outcome 62810921, $2,261 (84% win rate)
- 0x0e62...f6ff — Outcome 62810921, $2,250 (53% win rate)
