Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

27 smart money signals detected, totaling $456,043.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster fading FURIA

Three wallets piled into the same anti-FURIA position, including a serial cross-market trader with a 73% win rate and over 1,400 resolved bets, making this coordinated fade worth watching despite the modest size.

  • Three wallets all took the other side of FURIA within minutes, a coordinated $3.9k fade.
  • One wallet wins 73% of 1,427 resolved bets and has traded 278 markets across 181 events.
  • They sold FURIA around 75-85¢ while FURIA now sits at 76¢, signaling conviction against a heavy favorite.

$3,940 on MOUZ

79% win-rate sports bettor

A high-volume serial sports trader with a 79% win rate bought FURIA despite already-rich odds, making this worth watching mainly because of the bettor’s long-term track record rather than the entry quality.

  • This bettor wins 79% of 307 resolved markets and has traded over $1.2M across 253 markets
  • They repeatedly bet across related sports markets, which suggests a real process rather than a one-off punt
  • The market moved fast before this buy, but the 90¢ entry was worse than the current 80¢ price

$1,345 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 79%

78% win-rate esports bettor

A proven 78% win-rate sports trader with 405 resolved bets is buying the heavy favorite in a liquid esports market after a sharp price move, making this worth tracking despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 78% of their trades across 405 resolved markets and is up nearly $47.8k lifetime.
  • They trade across 29 related markets and 28 events, which suggests a repeatable sports betting process rather than a one-off punt.
  • Bought FURIA at 90¢ after an 11.5-point jump, showing they were still willing to pay up for the favorite.

$1,115 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 78%

Serial winner chasing breakout

A high-volume serial sports trader with 1,231 resolved bets and a 73% win rate bought into a notable FURIA price breakout, making this worth watching despite the small size on a liquid market.

  • This bettor has 1,231 resolved bets with a 73% win rate across 263 events
  • FURIA jumped about 20 points, and this wallet bought during the move at 79¢
  • The market is very liquid, so the edge here is the trader's long track record more than raw bet size

$1,178 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 73%

79% win-rate bettor

A profitable sports bettor with a strong 79% win rate bought FURIA as the price was breaking higher, making this a decent momentum-follow signal despite modest size.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $13.4k overall
  • They bought FURIA as the market jumped nearly 20 points, confirming strong momentum
  • Entry at 78¢ is close to the current ask, so this is still reasonably followable

$1,646 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 79%

4-wallet FURIA pile-in

Four wallets with sizable historical activity piled into FURIA around 48-50¢ and the market has since moved to 64¢, making this a credible coordinated sports bet worth watching despite the market being liquid.

  • Four wallets hit FURIA at 48-50¢ for about $9.0k total, and the price is now 64¢
  • One bettor in the group wins 73% of 1,427 resolved bets, and another wins 75% of 84 bets
  • The same group has traded 278 markets across 181 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process

$9,010 on FURIA

13-wallet MOUZ cluster

A large coordinated cluster of 13 wallets, including 6 linked by funding, is buying MOUZ into a pre-match volume surge, and this wallet is part of a highly active profitable cross-market bettor set.

  • 13 wallets piled into MOUZ in the same direction for $68.4k total, including 6 wallets funded by the same source.
  • This wallet has a long track record: 5,356 resolved bets, 62% win rate, and $107k profit.
  • The buy came at 55¢ while market volume was running 30x normal, showing strong coordinated conviction before the match.

$5,389 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 62%

13-wallet MOUZ cluster

A large coordinated cluster of 13 wallets, including 6 linked by funding source, all bought MOUZ into a strong pre-match volume spike, making this one-sided flow worth following despite the featured wallet’s weak standalone edge.

  • 13 wallets all bought MOUZ, and 6 of them were funded by the same source.
  • The group put $68.4k behind one side as volume ran 30x above normal before the match.
  • This wallet alone is not sharp, but the coordinated size and linked-money pattern make the signal stronger than a single bet.

$2,694 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 56%

13-wallet MOUZ cluster

A large, profitable serial trader joined a 13-wallet coordinated buy on MOUZ, with several wallets linked by funding source and heavy pre-match volume backing the move.

  • 13 wallets all bought MOUZ for $68.4k total, and 6 of them are linked to the same funder.
  • This wallet has a long track record: 3,154 resolved bets, 56% wins, and $188k profit.
  • The bettor paid 55¢ in a liquid market with a 30x pre-match volume spike, showing broad conviction rather than random whale flow.

$8,083 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 55%

93% winner in 14-wallet cluster

A highly profitable 93% win-rate bettor bought $41.5k of FURIA alongside a 14-wallet one-sided cluster, making this a strong coordinated sports signal worth surfacing.

  • This bettor wins 93% of their trades and is up $1.73M across 199 resolved positions.
  • 14 wallets piled into FURIA in the same direction for $126.8k total, with linked funding across part of the group.
  • They bought $41.5k at 50¢ before a 37.8x volume spike, implying they saw FURIA as better than a coin flip.

$41,469 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0x63a5...8e33 Outcome 16467026, $638,664 (87% win rate)
  2. 0xc65c...ea39 Outcome 16467026, $114,741 (54% win rate)
  3. 0x153a...9d6d Outcome 16467026, $59,744 (59% win rate)
  4. 0x3993...cded Outcome 16467026, $44,884 (68% win rate)
  5. 0xd2fb...8931 Outcome 16467026, $30,920 (0% win rate)
  6. 0xafd4...7e61 Outcome 16467026, $28,168 (65% win rate)
  7. 0x9fe1...4d7f Outcome 16467026, $21,885 (58% win rate)
  8. 0x3833...33d1 Outcome 16467026, $15,732 (98% win rate)
  9. 0x6551...e043 Outcome 16467026, $14,845 (100% win rate)
  10. 0x0a63...fc03 Outcome 16467026, $14,424 (77% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

Resolved$456,043 tracked27 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket final match between FURIA and MOUZ in the IEM Rio Group B, initially scheduled for April 15 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against FURIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1d ago

$3,940 on MOUZ at 23¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1d ago

$1,345 on FURIA at 90¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1d ago

$1,115 on FURIA at 90¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1d ago

$1,178 on FURIA at 79¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1d ago

$1,646 on FURIA at 78¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1d ago

$9,010 on FURIA at 48¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1d ago

$5,389 on MOUZ at 55¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1d ago

$2,694 on MOUZ at 55¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1d ago

$8,083 on MOUZ at 55¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1d ago

$41,469 on FURIA at 50¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1d ago

$985 on FURIA at 50¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1d ago

$39,306 on FURIA at 47¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1d ago

$1,465 on FURIA at 48¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1d ago

$3,409 on FURIA at 48¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1d ago

$1,019 on MOUZ at 53¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1d ago

$8,338 on MOUZ at 53¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1d ago

$5,748 on MOUZ at 53¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1d ago

$7,216 on FURIA at 52¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1d ago

$2,859 on FURIA at 48¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1d ago

$1,181 on FURIA at 48¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1d ago

$88,214 on MOUZ at 53¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1d ago

$197,216 on MOUZ at 54¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1d ago

$3,870 on MOUZ at 53¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1d ago

$1,969 on FURIA at 49¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

2d ago

$3,015 on MOUZ at 51¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

2d ago

$1,568 on MOUZ at 50¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1d ago

$12,796 on MOUZ at 22¢

Related Theses