Part of: Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,722.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Four-wallet HOTU conviction cluster

Four experienced, high-volume traders bought HOTU between 71¢ and 85¢ for nearly $6,000 before the market moved to 100%, creating a strong coordinated directional signal despite mixed individual edge.

  • Four wallets committed nearly $5,915 to HOTU at 71–85¢ before the outcome moved to 100%.
  • The group includes serial cross-market traders with 628 to 2,139 resolved bets and substantial lifetime trading volume.
  • The opportunity has largely passed: HOTU is now priced at 99–100%, far above the observed entries.

$5,915 on HOTU

Sharp bettor adds to HOTU

A proven 88% winner with substantial edge added to an existing HOTU position at 48¢ before the market rose sharply.

  • This bettor has won 88% of 17 resolved trades and is up $34,502.
  • They added $1,106 to an existing HOTU position at 48¢, while the market has since risen to about 68%.
  • The trade was meaningful in a relatively quiet market, and their average winning entry price is only 43¢.

$1,106 on HOTU | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable whale buys HOTU

A highly profitable long-term trader made a concentrated $6.6K HOTU bet in a thin market during a 56.7x volume spike, despite subsequent adverse price movement.

  • This bettor is up $9.2M across more than 106,000 resolved trades.
  • The $6,643 position is nearly the market’s entire 24-hour volume and about twice its displayed liquidity.
  • Trading surged to 56.7 times the historical average as the bettor bought HOTU at 46–48¢, though the price has since fallen to 40¢.

$6,643 on HOTU | Wallet win rate: 56%

Contrarian bettor buys HOTU dip

A sizable contrarian HOTU buy in a thin esports market followed a rapid 26.5% price drop, making the positioning notable despite the wallet lacking a clear odds-based edge.

  • A $1,058 HOTU buy is substantial against just $3,269 of market liquidity.
  • The trade entered at 46¢ after HOTU fell 26.5% in about five minutes, signaling conviction against the sharp move.
  • The wallet is up $9.2M lifetime, but its 56% win rate at a 68¢ average winning price is not strong evidence of a betting edge.

$1,058 on HOTU | Wallet win rate: 56%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4ebc...a33d Outcome 48671967, $3,650 (65% win rate)
  2. 0xed44...4f76 Outcome 48671967, $3,403 (62% win rate)
  3. 0x4d35...b406 Outcome 48671967, $1,459 (84% win rate)
  4. 0xfeb9...95c9 Outcome 48671967, $735 (51% win rate)
  5. 0x272d...bc2f Outcome 48671967, $698 (89% win rate)
  6. 0xfdc0...4b85 Outcome 48671967, $563 (49% win rate)
  7. 0xdbaf...f5d1 Outcome 48671967, $540 (92% win rate)
  8. 0x513d...54c5 Outcome 48671967, $532
  9. 0x67f9...d72e Outcome 48671967, $448 (88% win rate)
  10. 0xf1ee...519c Outcome 48671967, $403

Related Theses

Heidenheim will beat Köln

Covers 3 related markets

Manchester City beats Chelsea

Covers 3 related markets

Falcons win a long series

Covers 7 related markets

Algeria Austria stays low-scoring

Covers 6 related markets

Brazil and Morocco draw

Covers 3 related markets

Twins win nine-run game

Covers 6 related markets

Tunisia will not beat Japan

Covers 3 related markets

Iran beats Belgium 2-0

Covers 6 related markets

Scotland wins three nil

Covers 4 related markets

Qatar keeps it close

Covers 6 related markets

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner

ResolvedCounter-Strike: HOTU vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs$14,722 tracked4 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between HOTU and Eternal Fire in the Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "HOTU" if HOTU win Map 1 against Eternal Fire. This market will resolve to "Eternal Fire" if Eternal Fire win Map 1 against HOTU. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 4, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner

7d ago

$5,915 on HOTU at 71¢

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner

7d ago

$1,106 on HOTU at 48¢

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner

7d ago

$6,643 on HOTU at 48¢

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner

7d ago

$1,058 on HOTU at 46¢

Related Theses

Heidenheim will beat Köln
Wallet_0x2005d trades 3 related markets
Will 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heid…Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05…Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win…
Manchester City beats Chelsea
Wallet_0x2005d trades 3 related markets
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester…Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05…Will Manchester City FC win on…
Falcons win a long series
Wallet_0x2005d trades 7 related markets
Games Total: O/U 4.5Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v…Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Le…
Algeria Austria stays low-scoring
Wallet_0x2005d trades 6 related markets
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Algeria vs. Austria: Both Team…Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 3.5
Brazil and Morocco draw
Wallet_0x2005d trades 3 related markets
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in…Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13…Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Twins win nine-run game
Wallet_0x2005d trades 6 related markets
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Ti…Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Ti…Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)
Tunisia will not beat Japan
Wallet_0x2005d trades 3 related markets
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21…Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in …
Iran beats Belgium 2-0
Wallet_0x2005d trades 6 related markets
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O…Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5Spread: Belgium (-1.5)
Scotland wins three nil
Wallet_0x2005d trades 4 related markets
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Tea…Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
Qatar keeps it close
Wallet_0x2005d trades 6 related markets
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qat…Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina…Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qat…