Part of: Counter-Strike: HOTU vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,308.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Serial trader scaling into FOKUS

A serial esports trader significantly added to an existing FOKUS position in a thin market, coinciding with a sharp price breakout despite only a moderate historical win rate.

  • This trader added $1,011 to an existing FOKUS position in a market with only $2,125 of liquidity.
  • FOKUS surged from the 72¢ entry to roughly 84%, breaking well beyond its prior 39–44% price range.
  • The wallet has traded across 196 events and 342 markets, with $563,000 in recorded profit, though its 65% win rate is not exceptional.

$1,011 on FOKUS | Wallet win rate: 66%

88% winner buys against the market

A highly profitable, unusually sharp bettor made a $3.2K contrarian FOKUS purchase at 39% amid a major market repricing and volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 88% of 419 resolved positions and earned $2.62M in profit.
  • They placed a $3,201 FOKUS bet at 39%, while the market now prices FOKUS at only 18%.
  • Trading volume surged to 94 times its historical average, suggesting unusually active positioning around the match.

$3,201 on FOKUS | Wallet win rate: 88%

98% winner backs FOKUS

Three wallets committed nearly $20,000 to FOKUS, including a bettor with a 98% win rate and substantial existing positions.

  • A bettor with 98% wins across 319 resolved trades is backing FOKUS at 44¢.
  • Three wallets bought FOKUS for nearly $20,000, with two adding to existing positions.
  • FOKUS is priced at 42¢ despite concentrated buying, implying roughly a 2.4x payout if it wins.

$19,770 on FOKUS

98% win-rate bettor adds to FOKUS

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 98% win rate is adding $1,326 to FOKUS at 44% in a very low-volume market.

  • This bettor has won 306 of 313 resolved trades and earned $126,446 in profit.
  • They are adding $1,326 to an existing FOKUS position at 44%, showing increased conviction.
  • The trade is more than twice the market’s entire 24-hour volume, while FOKUS remains available near the bettor’s entry price.

$1,326 on FOKUS | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe40e...9770 Outcome 11436789, $70,000 (95% win rate)
  2. 0xa4fd...748b Outcome 11436789, $10,668 (88% win rate)
  3. 0xbdd2...6657 Outcome 11436789, $6,969 (82% win rate)
  4. 0xe116...752c Outcome 11436789, $5,447 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x2525...3ddd Outcome 11436789, $4,305 (77% win rate)
  6. 0x99e4...e4c4 Outcome 11436789, $3,276 (62% win rate)
  7. 0xc922...2618 Outcome 11436789, $3,000 (58% win rate)
  8. 0x182d...73e9 Outcome 11436789, $2,000 (42% win rate)
  9. 0xbd07...8d16 Outcome 11436789, $2,000
  10. 0x8f69...7df1 Outcome 11436789, $2,000 (67% win rate)

Related Theses

Morocco routs Haiti early

Covers 3 related markets

Iraq keeps high-scoring match close

Covers 5 related markets

Spain wins high-scoring match

Covers 4 related markets

JD Gaming wins every listed game

Covers 3 related markets

BNK series win, Nongshim Game 4

Covers 4 related markets

FUT Esports sweeps Legacy

Covers 3 related markets

BNK FearX wins, trades games

Covers 3 related markets

BNK FEARX Wins Series, Drops Game Four

Covers 4 related markets

Legacy will beat Falcons everywhere

Covers 3 related markets

Natus Vincere wins series 2-1

Covers 3 related markets

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

ResolvedCounter-Strike: HOTU vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs$25,308 tracked4 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between HOTU and FOKUS in the Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "HOTU" if HOTU win the match against FOKUS. This market will resolve to "FOKUS" if FOKUS win the match against HOTU. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 5, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “HOTU
72¢
62¢
53¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

6d ago

$1,011 on FOKUS at 72¢

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

6d ago

$3,201 on FOKUS at 39¢

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

6d ago

$19,770 on FOKUS at 42¢

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

7d ago

$1,326 on FOKUS at 44¢

Related Theses

Morocco routs Haiti early
Wallet_0xa4fd7 trades 3 related markets
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/…
Iraq keeps high-scoring match close
Wallet_0xa4fd7 trades 5 related markets
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Spread: Senegal (-3.5)
Spain wins high-scoring match
Wallet_0xa4fd7 trades 4 related markets
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
JD Gaming wins every listed game
Wallet_0xa4fd7 trades 3 related markets
LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Ga…LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Ga…LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Ga…
BNK series win, Nongshim Game 4
Wallet_0xa4fd7 trades 4 related markets
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK…LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK…LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK…
FUT Esports sweeps Legacy
Wallet_0xa4fd7 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT …Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT …Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Le…
BNK FearX wins, trades games
Wallet_0xa4fd7 trades 3 related markets
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX…LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX…LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX…
BNK FEARX Wins Series, Drops Game Four
Wallet_0xa4fd7 trades 4 related markets
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - L…LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 …LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 …
Legacy will beat Falcons everywhere
Wallet_0xa4fd7 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team…Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team…Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team…
Natus Vincere wins series 2-1
Wallet_0xa4fd7 trades 3 related markets
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX -…LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX -…LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (…