Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 1 Winner
This Polymarket tracks who will win Map 1 in the Counter-Strike match between Legacy and HOTU in the IEM Rio Group B lower bracket quarterfinal, scheduled for April 14. The market resolves to Legacy if Legacy win Map 1, and to HOTU if HOTU take the opening map. It is set to resolve by April 15, 2026, with Map 1 completion determining the outcome even if the full match is not finished.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Legacy and HOTU in the IEM Rio Group B, initially scheduled for April 14 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 1 against HOTU. This market will resolve to "HOTU" if HOTU win Map 1 against Legacy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,254.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
76% win-rate serial trader
A high-volume serial sports trader with a 76% win rate sold HOTU, which translates to buying Legacy around 74¢, making this a notable sharp-bettor signal despite the modest stake size.
- This bettor has won 451 of 593 resolved trades and has put $844k across 162 related markets
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- Selling HOTU at 26¢ is equivalent to buying Legacy at 74¢, showing a clear side on this match
- HOTU moved about 19 points after the trade, suggesting the market repriced quickly around this position
$1,422 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 76%
4-wallet sharp cluster
Four wallets piled into Legacy for $9.2k, including multiple high-volume winning traders, and the coordinated buying pushed implied odds meaningfully toward Legacy.
- Four wallets all bet Legacy within minutes, totaling $9.2k in a coordinated push
- Two of the bettors have strong records: one wins 83% of 399 bets and another wins 76% across 592 bets
- They bought between 61¢ and 71¢, and the market moved to 70¢ as the cluster came in
$9,182 on Legacy
3-wallet sharp Legacy cluster
Three wallets piled into Legacy at the same time, including one bettor with an 83% win rate and nearly $89k profit, making this coordinated esports buy flow worth watching despite the mixed quality of the cluster.
- Three wallets bought Legacy together for $5.5k, led by a bettor who wins 83% of 399 resolved trades and is up $88.6k
- Two of the wallets are active cross-market traders, suggesting this is part of a repeat betting process rather than a one-off punt
- They paid 61-71¢ while Legacy now trades at 57¢, so copying only makes sense near the low end of their entries
$5,506 on Legacy
76% win-rate esports bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong 76% win rate is taking a contrarian position on HOTU at 34¢, making this a worthwhile sharp-bettor signal despite only one detection flag.
- This bettor wins 76% of 589 resolved markets and is up $28k overall.
- They trade heavily across related events — 97 events and 162 markets for $841k total volume.
- Bought HOTU at 34¢ while the market is pricing them at 36%, suggesting they see underdog value.
$1,168 on HOTU | Wallet win rate: 76%
76% win-rate sports bettor
A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 76% win rate put nearly $8k into HOTU across related markets, and this position alone exceeded the market’s recent volume in a relatively thin book.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades across 589 bets and has put $832k across 161 related markets
- They bought nearly $8k of HOTU around 35¢, implying they see a strong underdog mispricing
- This order was bigger than the market’s recent trading flow and landed in a book with only about $15.8k of liquidity
$7,977 on HOTU | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0x14f1...4a46 — HOTU, $15,554
- 0xe3aa...1485 — Legacy, $11,036 (52% win rate)
- 0x4ad6...464c — HOTU, $6,859
- 0xfdc0...4b85 — Legacy, $5,328 (48% win rate)
- 0xcdca...66eb — Legacy, $3,769 (84% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — HOTU, $3,397 (50% win rate)
- 0xbf5e...4189 — Legacy, $3,333 (57% win rate)
- 0xa56f...ee5f — Legacy, $2,434 (21% win rate)
- 0xaa6c...a9b3 — Legacy, $2,165 (19% win rate)
- 0xdbb3...76a9 — HOTU, $2,118 (52% win rate)
