Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner

This Polymarket tracks who will win Map 2 in the Counter-Strike match between Legacy and HOTU at IEM Rio Group B. The market resolves to Legacy or HOTU based solely on the Map 2 result, even if the full match is not completed, as long as Map 2 finishes. It is scheduled around April 14, 2026, and resolves by April 15, 2026, with smart money activity already being tracked on PolySpotter.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Legacy and HOTU in the IEM Rio Group B, initially scheduled for April 14 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 2 against HOTU. This market will resolve to "HOTU" if HOTU win Map 2 against Legacy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,680.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

18-wallet funded cluster

Three linked wallets from a large 18-wallet funded cluster piled into Legacy on the same esports map while the market saw a sharp price swing and unusual volume, signaling coordinated conviction worth watching.

  • Three linked wallets backed by the same funder all bought Legacy within minutes, putting $4.4k on the same side.
  • This market saw a 19.4x volume spike and a sharp 24-point move in Legacy, showing coordinated money helped move the price.
  • Two of the wallets are large-volume profitable bettors, suggesting this is not random small-account flow.

$4,402 on Legacy

18-wallet funded cluster

An 18-wallet funded cluster is active here, and this wallet bought Legacy at 61¢ right after a fast 15.5-point drop, a notable coordinated dip-buy setup despite only average standalone win rate.

  • 18 wallets funded by the same source have been active, which points to coordinated conviction rather than a random single bet
  • This wallet bought Legacy at 61¢ after a sharp 15.5-point drop, and the market is now 68¢
  • The bettor is modestly profitable across 235 resolved markets, so this is more credible than a brand-new wallet punt

$1,278 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 57%

Top Holders

  1. 0xac47...d234 HOTU, $17,271 (45% win rate)
  2. 0xe77f...ebd0 HOTU, $15,254
  3. 0x507e...beae Legacy, $11,214 (50% win rate)
  4. 0xdf43...ae9a HOTU, $9,058 (69% win rate)
  5. 0xbf5e...4189 Legacy, $7,694 (57% win rate)
  6. 0xb2cb...2bad HOTU, $7,000
  7. 0x4a5e...8fd0 Legacy, $5,846 (54% win rate)
  8. 0xfdc0...4b85 Legacy, $4,800 (48% win rate)
  9. 0xdbb3...76a9 Legacy, $4,579 (52% win rate)
  10. 0x9d76...9045 Legacy, $4,365

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner

48m$5,680 tracked2 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Legacy
0¢
HOTU
100¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Legacy and HOTU in the IEM Rio Group B, initially scheduled for April 14 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 2 against HOTU. This market will resolve to "HOTU" if HOTU win Map 2 against Legacy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “HOTU
102¢
69¢
36¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner

1h ago

$4,402 on Legacy at 62¢

62¢0¢62¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner

1h ago

$1,278 on Legacy at 61¢

61¢0¢61¢

Related Theses

Legacy vs HOTU Map 2 Odds | Polymarket | PolySpotter