Part of: Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
This Counter-Strike 2 prediction market covers the Esports World Cup Playoffs semifinal between Legacy and Spirit, scheduled for August 22, 2026. The market resolves to the match winner, while a cancellation or tie results in a 50-50 outcome; tracked smart money signals currently favor Spirit.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between Legacy and Spirit in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against Legacy. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 22, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,115.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
89% winner scaling into Spirit
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 89% win rate is adding to a Spirit position amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 89% of 160 resolved trades and is up $51,515.
- They are adding $2,000 to Spirit at 74¢ after already investing $2,703 at the same price.
- Market activity is running 76x above its historical average, reinforcing the directional signal.
$2,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 89%
98% winner adds to Spirit
A highly proven bettor with a 98% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding to an existing Spirit position at 73%.
- This bettor wins 98% of trades across 486 resolved positions and is up $315,142.
- They have repeatedly traded across 179 events, indicating a sustained edge rather than a one-off result.
- The $3,000 buy adds to an existing Spirit position at 73%, matching the market’s 72% implied odds.
$3,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 98%
Perfect-record bettor adds to Spirit
A proven bettor with a perfect 49-0 record is adding to an existing Spirit position at 74%.
- This bettor has won all 49 resolved positions, with a 65% average entry price and $22,679 in realized profit.
- The wallet is increasing an existing Spirit position at 74%, matching the current market price rather than taking routine profit.
- Spirit is already favored at 74% in a liquid market, so the main appeal is the bettor’s exceptional track record.
$2,359 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 100%
Proven sharp backing Spirit
A highly experienced bettor with 1,874 resolved trades and a meaningful edge is backing Spirit at near-market odds.
- This bettor wins 75% of 1,874 resolved trades and is up $2.49 million.
- The fresh $1,444 Spirit position comes from a serial trader active across 783 events.
- Spirit was bought at 73¢, broadly matching the 74% market price while reflecting this bettor’s demonstrated edge.
$1,444 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable serial esports bettor
A highly experienced, profitable serial cross-market trader made a sizable Spirit bet amid a 500x volume spike, though the wallet's edge is modest and the entry matches market odds.
- This bettor has won 64% of 13,478 resolved trades and is up $481,000 overall.
- A $1,311 Spirit bet accounted for 61.7% of the detected 24-hour volume during a 500x volume spike.
- The 75¢ entry is close to the current market price, so this is a followable directional signal rather than a clear bargain.
$1,311 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0x6d20...a165 — Spirit, $1,336,805 (47% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Legacy, $582,265 (60% win rate)
- 0x73e3...1be9 — Legacy, $150,000 (98% win rate)
- 0x8e74...5972 — Legacy, $100,000 (32% win rate)
- 0x79ae...9a4a — Legacy, $99,000 (93% win rate)
- 0x67ac...edf1 — Legacy, $95,830 (63% win rate)
- 0xf9d6...730a — Legacy, $75,081 (81% win rate)
- 0x7e5e...7315 — Spirit, $75,000 (48% win rate)
- 0xf68a...5b1b — Legacy, $53,061 (53% win rate)
- 0xad89...f6e1 — Legacy, $40,000 (67% win rate)
Related Theses
Germany scores three and routs Paraguay
Covers 5 related markets
Brazil routs Scotland in shootout
Covers 5 related markets
France routs Norway with goals
Covers 4 related markets
Argentina wins big, both score
Covers 5 related markets
Bilibili wins after dropping opener
Covers 5 related markets
Vitality sweeps MOUZ
Covers 3 related markets
LYON beats Team Liquid
Covers 3 related markets
Norway England turns into shootout
Covers 4 related markets
T1 sweeps Karmine Corp
Covers 4 related markets
Colombia wins big, Congo scores
Covers 3 related markets
