Part of: Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner
This Polymarket covers the Map 2 winner between Liquid and FlyQuest in their Counter-Strike 2 Round 5 match at IEM Cologne Major Stage 1. PolySpotter is tracking $33,369 in smart money across 4 signals, including recent sharp-cluster activity on Liquid and some profitable bettor interest in FlyQuest. The market resolves on June 5, 2026, based on which team wins Map 2 if it is completed.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between Liquid and FlyQuest in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, initially scheduled for June 5 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win Map 2 against FlyQuest. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win Map 2 against Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
17 smart money signals detected, totaling $81,110.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial esports trader
A highly active profitable cross-market trader is taking a contrarian position against FlyQuest, effectively buying Liquid at 10¢ after thousands of resolved bets and $241k lifetime profit.
- This bettor has 3,905 resolved trades and is up about $242k lifetime.
- They are effectively buying Liquid at 10¢ while the market now prices Liquid around 16¢.
- This wallet regularly trades across related markets, with activity in 240 events and nearly $591k deployed.
$1,539 on Liquid | Wallet win rate: 60%
93% cross-market sharp
A highly profitable 93% win-rate wallet bought Liquid at 53% while also showing a long-running cross-market edge, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $282K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 131 events with a 93% win rate.
- Entry was 53¢, but Liquid has since fallen to 30¢, so the market moved sharply against this position.
$3,000 on Liquid | Wallet win rate: 93%
Sharp cluster buying Liquid
Six wallets bought $27k of Liquid, led by multiple highly profitable esports/sports-style bettors with 93–98% historical win rates, despite some opposing FlyQuest flow.
- Several proven bettors are on Liquid, including wallets winning 93% and 98% of resolved bets with over $2M combined profit.
- Six wallets bought $27k of Liquid, a strong one-sided cluster in a market with $44k liquidity.
- Liquid is now around 48¢ after most sharp entries near 57–59¢, giving a cheaper entry than the main cluster paid.
$27,176 on Liquid
Profitable serial bettor backing FlyQuest
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 71% record is backing FlyQuest alongside one-sided wallet flow and a sharp pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 71% of 171 resolved bets and is up about $370k lifetime.
- Four wallets are all buying FlyQuest, totaling about $10.6k on the same side.
- Market volume spiked 21x before the match, suggesting fresh conviction around this side.
$1,240 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 71%
Profitable esports sharp on FlyQuest
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought FlyQuest before a one-sided 4-wallet move and the price has already jumped from 43% to 52%.
- This bettor has won 73% of 786 resolved bets and is up $1.63M lifetime.
- Four wallets bought the same side, totaling $10.6K on FlyQuest.
- Entry at 43¢ has already moved to 52¢, showing the market is following this bet.
$1,954 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 73%
77% sharp joins Liquid cluster
A highly profitable 77% winner with extensive cross-market history bought Liquid, alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $1.35M lifetime.
- Five wallets bought the same side, putting $21.6K behind Liquid.
- Market volume spiked 40x before the match, and Liquid is now cheaper than this sharp bettor’s 58¢ entry.
$3,951 on Liquid | Wallet win rate: 77%
5-wallet Liquid push
Surfaced because five wallets bought the same side amid a 40x pre-event volume spike, though this specific wallet has a weak long-term P&L record and the price has since moved against the entry.
- Five wallets bought Liquid in the same window, totaling $21.6K on one side.
- Market activity spiked 40x above its normal pace before the match.
- This wallet is highly active across esports markets, but is down lifetime, so the cluster is the main signal.
$1,694 on Liquid | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable cross-market cluster
Three wallets are buying FlyQuest together, including profitable cross-market bettors, with the move already pushing price up 17 points.
- A major bettor in this flow has won 71% of 171 resolved bets and is up about $370k lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $6.4k, helping move the price up 17 points.
- One trader has a long cross-market history across 88 events with a 71% win rate.
$6,407 on FlyQuest
93% sharp joins Liquid cluster
A highly profitable 93% win-rate wallet bought Liquid, alongside a five-wallet same-side cluster and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $1.28M lifetime.
- Five wallets bought the same side, totaling $23.5K on Liquid.
- Market volume spiked 117x before the match, suggesting strong pre-event positioning.
$6,676 on Liquid | Wallet win rate: 93%
98% sharp joining Liquid cluster
Elite 98% win-rate wallet with major lifetime profit is buying Liquid alongside one-sided cluster flow and a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $798K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 113 events with a 98% hit rate.
- Five wallets are all buying Liquid, with $23K moving the same way.
$2,898 on Liquid | Wallet win rate: 98%
Top Holders
- 0x880b...c98b — FlyQuest, $31,104 (71% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — FlyQuest, $27,509 (73% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Liquid, $16,192 (93% win rate)
- 0x86e9...4cdf — Liquid, $16,000 (98% win rate)
- 0x18bb...e5cd — Liquid, $15,573 (65% win rate)
- 0x44c5...8d45 — Liquid, $15,438 (77% win rate)
- 0x5aa9...febe — FlyQuest, $12,863 (53% win rate)
- 0x3e53...bf9a — Liquid, $11,954 (54% win rate)
- 0x3da8...80c3 — Liquid, $11,865 (93% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Liquid, $10,148 (69% win rate)
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