Part of: Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 1 Winner
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $46,893.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp bettors scaling into Liquid
Multiple highly profitable bettors and a large one-sided Liquid cluster drove a 24-point price surge amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.
- Three participating bettors have strong records: 78% and 83% win rates over 240 and 1,023 resolved positions, plus one at 89% over 46.
- Seven wallets committed $25,549 to Liquid, while the market moved from roughly 68% to 92% on a 5,784x historical volume spike.
- The group’s weighted entry was about 53¢, but Liquid is now priced at 92%, so the edge has largely been repriced.
$25,549 on Liquid
Coordinated G2 bet from proven bettor
A highly experienced bettor with a meaningful track record added to G2 at 47 cents amid a 4-wallet coordinated position and an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the market has since moved sharply against the trade.
- This bettor has won 74% of 795 resolved trades and is up $182,284 lifetime.
- Four wallets bought G2 for a combined $11,077 during a 5,784x historical volume spike.
- The bettor was adding to an existing G2 position at 47¢; the market is now near 8%, so the original entry should not be chased above the suggested ceiling.
$2,000 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 74%
Sharp bettor leads G2 conviction
Three wallets concentrated $8,244 into G2, including a highly profitable 74% bettor adding to an existing position despite the market moving sharply against them.
- A bettor with a 74% win rate across 795 resolved trades invested another $2,000 in G2.
- Three wallets committed $8,244 to G2 and several were adding to sizable existing G2 positions.
- G2 buys were made around 47–50% while the market has since fallen to 28%, creating a notable contrarian position after a sharp move toward Liquid.
$8,244 on G2
Large bettor caught Liquid surge
A large add-on by a repeat bettor preceded a sharp 23-point move in Liquid, supported by an extreme pre-event volume spike despite the wallet's mediocre track record.
- This bettor added $6,709 to Liquid near 48¢, and the price has since climbed to 72¢.
- Trading activity was 4,812 times the historical average while Liquid jumped roughly 20 percentage points.
- The wallet has invested $23.5M but wins only 50% of resolved bets, so the market move is more compelling than the bettor's track record.
$6,709 on Liquid | Wallet win rate: 52%
95% win-rate esports sharp
A highly profitable serial trader with a 95% win rate placed a fresh, outsized G2 bet in a very low-volume market.
- This bettor has won 700 of 738 resolved trades (95%) and is up $739,366 lifetime.
- The $1,477 G2 position is more than twice the market’s entire 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in a thin market.
- The wallet has traded 307 markets across 281 events, making this part of a broad, repeatable strategy rather than a one-off bet.
$2,915 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 95%
95% win-rate esports sharp
A highly profitable serial trader with a 95% win rate placed a fresh, outsized G2 bet in a very low-volume market.
- This bettor has won 700 of 738 resolved trades (95%) and is up $739,366 lifetime.
- The $1,477 G2 position is more than twice the market’s entire 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in a thin market.
- The wallet has traded 307 markets across 281 events, making this part of a broad, repeatable strategy rather than a one-off bet.
$1,477 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 25199965, $40,990 (63% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Outcome 25199965, $23,333 (96% win rate)
- 0xf7c2...9b8d — Outcome 25199965, $8,287 (95% win rate)
- 0xf3ef...ca6b — Outcome 25199965, $5,950 (61% win rate)
- 0xaa6c...a9b3 — Outcome 25199965, $4,252 (74% win rate)
- 0x2d39...6053 — Outcome 25199965, $2,978 (52% win rate)
- 0xfdc0...4b85 — Outcome 25199965, $2,714 (48% win rate)
- 0x3471...f17e — Outcome 25199965, $2,547 (50% win rate)
- 0x791e...9bda — Outcome 25199965, $2,000 (98% win rate)
- 0xfa88...85a5 — Outcome 25199965, $1,813 (74% win rate)
Related Theses
Team Liquid beats Spirit
Covers 3 related markets
Hanwha Life covers handicap
Covers 1 related market
Team Spirit wins Game 1
Covers 1 related market
