Part of: Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Final match between Luminosity and Nemiga in the Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Luminosity" if Luminosity win Map 1 against Nemiga. This market will resolve to "Nemiga" if Nemiga win Map 1 against Luminosity. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $49,568.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Proven profitable trader ahead of sharp move

A highly experienced, million-dollar-profitable trader bought Nemiga at 68¢ before an 18.3x volume spike and a rise to 92¢, making this a notable but now more expensive entry.

  • This trader is up over $1.09M across 2,799 resolved bets.
  • They bought Nemiga at 68¢; the odds have since climbed to 92%.
  • Market volume spiked to 18.3 times its 24-hour average, though the current price is above the suggested entry ceiling.

$1,443 on Nemiga | Wallet win rate: 63%

Proven profitable trader ahead of sharp move

A highly experienced, million-dollar-profitable trader bought Nemiga at 68¢ before an 18.3x volume spike and a rise to 92¢, making this a notable but now more expensive entry.

  • This trader is up over $1.09M across 2,799 resolved bets.
  • They bought Nemiga at 68¢; the odds have since climbed to 92%.
  • Market volume spiked to 18.3 times its 24-hour average, though the current price is above the suggested entry ceiling.

$1,126 on Nemiga | Wallet win rate: 63%

Serial cross-market bettor, 76% wins

A highly experienced, profitable bettor backed Nemiga at 71¢, with a 76% record across 1,155 resolved bets, amid an 18.3x volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 76% of 1,155 resolved bets and is up $135,019 overall.
  • They bought Nemiga at 71¢; the market has since moved to 92¢.
  • Trading activity spiked to 18.3 times the recent average around this market.

$1,417 on Nemiga | Wallet win rate: 77%

Proven profitable trader ahead of sharp move

A highly experienced, million-dollar-profitable trader bought Nemiga at 68¢ before an 18.3x volume spike and a rise to 92¢, making this a notable but now more expensive entry.

  • This trader is up over $1.09M across 2,799 resolved bets.
  • They bought Nemiga at 68¢; the odds have since climbed to 92%.
  • Market volume spiked to 18.3 times its 24-hour average, though the current price is above the suggested entry ceiling.

$2,595 on Nemiga | Wallet win rate: 63%

Profitable whales buying the underdog

Three highly profitable wallets committed about $13,000 to Luminosity, including a wallet with a 25-for-25 record, though the market has since moved sharply against their entries.

  • Three wallets put about $13,000 on Luminosity, including one with a 100% record across 25 resolved positions.
  • The largest bettor is up about $8.8 million across more than 36,000 resolved positions.
  • Luminosity has since fallen to 24% from their 45–49¢ entries, so this is a high-risk follow rather than confirmed momentum.

$7,091 on Luminosity

25-for-25 bettor adds to Luminosity

A highly profitable 25-for-25 bettor added $29,000 to an existing Luminosity position, despite the market moving sharply against their entries.

  • This bettor has won all 25 resolved positions and is up $486,017 on $2.28M invested.
  • They added $29,000 to an existing Luminosity position at 43¢–49¢; the market has since fallen to about 30¢.
  • Their past winning positions averaged 51¢, making this a notable high-conviction add despite the adverse move.

$29,000 on Luminosity | Wallet win rate: 99%

Profitable bettor makes concentrated esports bet

A highly profitable trader with a large verified record made a concentrated Luminosity bet that dwarfed the market’s recent volume, though the price has since fallen sharply.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 36,802 resolved trades and is up $8.77M overall.
  • Four buys totaling about $6,900 were more than six times the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • Luminosity has since fallen from the trader’s 45–48¢ entries to about 30¢, so the position is currently moving against them.

$6,897 on Luminosity | Wallet win rate: 69%

Related Theses

Belgium won't beat Egypt

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Germany dominates Curaçao shutout

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Cloud9 wins a five-game series

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Natus Vincere wins series and games

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JD Gaming wins every game

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KOI wins series after 1-1 start

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Movistar KOI win series, split games

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Cloud9 beats LYON in series

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Global Esports beats LOUD

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Team WE stages impossible comeback

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Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs$49,568 tracked7 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Luminosity
0¢
Nemiga
100¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Final match between Luminosity and Nemiga in the Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Luminosity" if Luminosity win Map 1 against Nemiga. This market will resolve to "Nemiga" if Nemiga win Map 1 against Luminosity. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner

2026-10-03 15:46 UTC

$1,443 on Nemiga at 68¢

68¢→100¢↑32¢

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner

2026-10-03 15:39 UTC

$1,126 on Nemiga at 68¢

68¢→100¢↑32¢

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner

2026-10-03 15:24 UTC

$1,417 on Nemiga at 71¢

71¢→100¢↑29¢

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner

2026-10-03 15:24 UTC

$2,595 on Nemiga at 68¢

68¢→100¢↑32¢

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner

2026-10-03 15:51 UTC

$7,091 on Luminosity at 48¢

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner

2026-10-03 15:06 UTC

$29,000 on Luminosity at 44¢

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner

2026-10-03 15:06 UTC

$6,897 on Luminosity at 47¢

Related Theses

Belgium won't beat Egypt
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15…Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in …
Germany dominates Curaçao shutout
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Spread: Germany (-2.5)Spread: Germany (-3.5)Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5
Cloud9 wins a five-game series
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Natus Vincere wins series and games
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JD Gaming wins every game
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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gam…LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gam…LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gam…
KOI wins series after 1-1 start
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Movistar KOI win series, split games
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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar …Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Mo…LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar …
Cloud9 beats LYON in series
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LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 4 W…LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LC…LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 W…
Global Esports beats LOUD
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Team WE stages impossible comeback
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LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (…LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION -…LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION -…