Part of: Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,035.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable new wallet scaling into Spirit

A highly profitable new wallet with a perfect resolved record is repeatedly adding to a large Spirit position amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This seven-hour-old wallet has won all 6 resolved bets and is up $22,419.
It has made 9 flagged bets totaling $30,247, showing repeated conviction rather than a one-off wager.
The latest $1,864 buy adds to an existing $23,597 Spirit position while market activity is running 59x above normal.

$1,864 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 100%

Proven sharp backing Spirit

A highly experienced bettor with 294 resolved trades and a substantial edge is buying the heavily favored Spirit outcome in an esports market.

This bettor wins 80% of 294 resolved trades and is up $20,527 lifetime.
Their results beat implied odds by 23 percentage points, indicating a meaningful edge rather than simple favorite betting.
They placed $1,696 on Spirit at 87¢, aligned with the current 88% market estimate.

$1,696 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 80%

Six-wallet Spirit conviction cluster

Six wallets deployed $18.5K on Spirit, including two highly profitable bettors with exceptional long-term records, alongside a 112x volume spike.

Six wallets bought Spirit for $18,475, creating a concentrated one-sided position in a relatively thin market.
Two major participants have exceptional records: one wins 98% of 101 bets and another wins 82% of 544 bets.
The trades coincided with a 112x surge over normal volume, suggesting unusually strong pre-event conviction.

$18,475 on Spirit

Top Holders

0xeac2...dddc — Outcome 16850088, $28,886 (70% win rate)
0x55d9...832c — Outcome 16850088, $10,000 (75% win rate)
0xfaf1...795f — Outcome 16850088, $6,000 (55% win rate)
0x880b...c98b — Outcome 16850088, $5,486 (74% win rate)
0xdbaf...f5d1 — Outcome 16850088, $4,252 (92% win rate)
0x2772...ac19 — Outcome 16850088, $2,394 (78% win rate)
0x3724...69b5 — Outcome 16850088, $2,175 (81% win rate)
0xf3ef...ca6b — Outcome 16850088, $2,173 (62% win rate)
0x96f7...d6ae — Outcome 16850088, $1,980 (79% win rate)
0xfeb9...95c9 — Outcome 16850088, $1,876 (50% win rate)

Related Theses

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Shenzhen Leopards beat Zhejiang Lions

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FOKUS wins Counter-Strike series

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Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A$22,035 tracked3 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Luminosity and Spirit in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for August 13 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Luminosity" if Luminosity win Map 2 against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 2 against Luminosity. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Spirit”

102¢

72¢

42¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction