Part of: Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

This Polymarket prediction market covers the Counter-Strike BO3 grand final between magic and NIP in the Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs, scheduled for May 30 at 12:30 PM ET. Live market odds indicate which team traders currently expect to win, while PolySpotter is tracking $1,600 in smart money and 1 signal on this matchup. The market resolves on the official match winner, with 50-50 resolution possible if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond 7 days without a winner.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between magic and NIP in the Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 30 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against NIP. This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win the match against magic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $78,120.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Million-profit bettor cluster

Surfacing because a million-dollar profitable sports/esports bettor joined a small one-sided NIP cluster, though the market has since moved against the earlier entries.

  • A veteran bettor in the cluster has won 73% of 1,052 resolved bets and is up $1.28M lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought $6.8K of NIP in the same window, showing concentrated one-way conviction.
  • NIP now trades near 24%, below the cluster’s roughly 38% average entry.

$6,819 on NIP

Profitable serial trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought magic at 68¢ before an almost 20-point move to 76¢.

  • This bettor is up $35,982 lifetime across 93 resolved trades.
  • They have traded 37 markets across 29 events, winning 61% overall.
  • Their 68¢ entry came before magic moved nearly 20 points upward.

$1,600 on magic | Wallet win rate: 61%

Profitable serial esports trader

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 1,052-bet history bought NIP despite the market later moving against them.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 1,052 resolved bets and is up about $1.28M lifetime.
  • They are a serious cross-market trader, active across 381 events with $2.7M total volume.
  • They bought $3.9K of NIP at 59¢; NIP is now around 38¢, making this a contrarian follow rather than momentum.

$3,886 on NIP | Wallet win rate: 73%

99% win-rate esports sharp

Surfacing because a highly profitable sharp wallet with a 68/69 resolved record bought magic despite this being a liquid market.

  • This bettor has won 68 of 69 resolved trades and is up about $2.1M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 62 events with a 99% historical win rate.
  • Buying magic at 62¢ implies they still see value even after heavy market volume.

$1,170 on magic | Wallet win rate: 99%

89% esports sharp

Sharp, highly profitable esports bettor bought magic despite the market later moving against them, with supporting cross-market track record and a pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved positions and is up $146,641 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 77 events with the same 89% win rate.
  • The market is now around 42¢, below their 57¢ entry, so the same side is currently cheaper than the sharp’s buy.

$2,500 on magic | Wallet win rate: 89%

$8M profitable serial bettor

Proven high-volume trader with 60% win rate and +$8.2M lifetime P&L bought NIP before the price moved sharply from 44% to 58%.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 60% wins across 1,317 resolved bets and +$8.2M lifetime profit.
  • They bought $19K of NIP at 44¢, and the market has already moved to 58¢ in their favor.
  • The market saw a 21.6x volume spike before the match, suggesting broader money is arriving on the same event.

$19,018 on NIP | Wallet win rate: 60%

Sharp 10-wallet magic cluster

Strong one-sided cluster on magic with 10 wallets, linked funding, a sharp 86% winner, and nearly $20k deployed despite the price later drifting below their entries.

  • A bettor who wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $27k joined this magic side.
  • 10 wallets bought the same outcome for $19.9k, with 8 wallets sharing a funder.
  • They paid mostly 51–54¢ while magic is now around 44¢, offering a cheaper entry than the cluster got.

$19,908 on magic

92% win-rate esports sharp

A highly profitable 92% win-rate esports bettor bought NIP alongside one-sided flow from three wallets and a pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $214K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 100 events and a 92% hit rate.
  • Three wallets bought NIP in the same window for $20K total, with market volume spiking 27.8x.

$5,000 on NIP | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable serial esports sharp

Sharp serial esports bettor with a 75% win rate and $317k profit bought NIP at 45¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $317k lifetime.
  • They have traded 154 markets across 123 events, showing a repeatable cross-market edge.
  • They bought NIP at 45¢ before the market moved to 50¢, suggesting early sharp positioning.

$1,326 on NIP | Wallet win rate: 76%

82% winner esports sharp

Sharp 82% lifetime winner with strong profit and extensive cross-market history bought magic despite the market now pricing it lower.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $102,534 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 68 events with the same 82% hit rate.
  • They bought magic at 56¢, while the market is now around 50¢, offering a cheaper entry than the sharp paid.

$2,793 on magic | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

  1. 0x47a8...52f9 magic, $71,132 (99% win rate)
  2. 0x2c33...0563 NIP, $62,424 (60% win rate)
  3. 0x30c7...ac3b NIP, $40,000 (61% win rate)
  4. 0xe40e...9770 magic, $33,832 (100% win rate)
  5. 0xa7df...5eee NIP, $30,104 (51% win rate)
  6. 0x6049...f14f NIP, $20,055
  7. 0x21ec...5348 magic, $15,333 (58% win rate)
  8. 0xcf60...a6f5 magic, $14,442 (74% win rate)
  9. 0x5922...3388 NIP, $11,300 (68% win rate)
  10. 0xc49f...9e05 NIP, $10,500 (96% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Gen.G wins Game 1

Covers 1 related market

NRG beats FURIA

Covers 1 related market

Aurora wins Game 2

Covers 1 related market

Tundra beats Xtreme Gaming

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

2hCounter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs$78,120 tracked11 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
magic
0¢
NIP
100¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between magic and NIP in the Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 30 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against NIP. This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win the match against magic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “NIP
102¢
70¢
38¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

1h ago

$6,819 on NIP at 38¢

38¢100¢62¢

Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

1h ago

$1,600 on magic at 68¢

68¢0¢68¢

Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

1h ago

$3,886 on NIP at 59¢

59¢100¢41¢

Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

1h ago

$1,170 on magic at 62¢

62¢0¢62¢

Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

1h ago

$2,500 on magic at 57¢

57¢0¢57¢

Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

2h ago

$19,018 on NIP at 44¢

44¢100¢56¢

Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

3h ago

$19,908 on magic at 53¢

53¢0¢53¢

Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

3h ago

$5,000 on NIP at 50¢

50¢100¢50¢

Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

3h ago

$1,326 on NIP at 45¢

45¢100¢55¢

Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

4h ago

$2,793 on magic at 56¢

56¢0¢56¢

Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

3h ago

$14,100 on NIP at 47¢

47¢100¢53¢

Related Theses