Part of: Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
This Polymarket market covers the Counter-Strike 2 PGL Astana Playoffs Semifinal 2 best-of-three match between magic and Team Falcons. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with resolution expected by May 16, 2026; PolySpotter currently tracks $8,271 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between magic and Team Falcons in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 16 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against magic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $102,106.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market trader
A highly active cross-market trader with a large positive track record bought $8.3k of Team Falcons amid a major pre-event volume spike, and the price has already moved from 87% to 90%.
- This bettor has 975 resolved trades, a 61% win rate, and is up about $160k lifetime.
- They put $8.3k on Team Falcons at 87¢, and the market has already moved to 90¢.
- Volume is running 48x above its usual pace before the match, suggesting strong pre-event positioning.
$8,271 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 61%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Profitable serial esports bettor bought Team Falcons at 88¢ amid a 60x pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 72% of 285 resolved trades and is up $25.7K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 59 events, with $126.8K tracked in similar activity.
- Market volume spiked 60x before the match, supporting the move into Team Falcons.
$2,600 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable serial bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader put $25.7k on Team Falcons amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has traded 344 markets across 292 events and is up $159k lifetime.
- They put $25.7k on Team Falcons at 87¢, a concentrated bet on the heavy favorite.
- Market activity spiked 57.6x above normal before the match, supporting the move.
$25,671 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 61%
Serial esports market bettor
High-volume serial cross-market bettor bought $8.7k of the Falcons favorite during a major pre-event volume spike, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative.
- This bettor has traded across 351 events and wins 78% of resolved bets.
- The market saw a 58x pre-event volume spike, suggesting broader money is moving the same matchup.
- They put $8.7k on Team Falcons at 87¢, backing the heavy favorite with meaningful size.
$8,700 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable serial esports trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Team Falcons during a 57.6x pre-event volume spike, giving the favorite-side bet some follow value despite modest size.
- This bettor has a long record: 65% wins over 239 resolved bets and $81.7K in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $706K deployed across 82 events.
- The market is seeing a 57.6x pre-event volume spike, supporting momentum toward Team Falcons.
$2,566 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 65%
Profitable serial bettor
Serial cross-market bettor with a large positive track record put $17.4k on Team Falcons despite already-high odds.
- This bettor has 974 resolved trades, wins 61% of them, and is up $159k lifetime.
- They have traded across 291 events with $1.77M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable strategy.
- The $17.4k buy at 87¢ is a high-conviction favorite bet in a liquid esports market.
$17,400 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 61%
Serial bettor buying underdog
Serial cross-market bettor with a 70% resolved record and positive P&L is buying the 14¢ underdog amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 70% of 44 resolved trades and is up about $10.3K lifetime.
- They have traded across 27 events, suggesting a repeat sports/esports betting pattern rather than a one-off punt.
- Market volume is spiking 131x above its historical average while they buy the 14¢ underdog.
$1,300 on magic | Wallet win rate: 70%
Fresh wallet backs underdog
A brand-new wallet is repeatedly backing the 14¢ underdog during a large pre-match volume spike, suggesting possible informed positioning despite limited wallet history.
- A wallet created less than 3 hours ago has already placed repeat flagged bets totaling $3.4K.
- This trade backs the 14¢ underdog while market volume is spiking 85x above its usual pace.
- The bet is modest versus liquidity, but the timing and repeat activity make it worth watching.
$1,500 on magic
99% win-rate esports sharp
Elite 99% win-rate wallet bought $5k of Team Falcons amid a major pre-event volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade candidate.
- This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades and is up $172,812 lifetime.
- They bought $5,006 of Team Falcons at 87¢, adding conviction to the heavy favorite.
- This wallet has traded across 35 events with a 99% hit rate, and this market just saw a 268x volume spike.
$5,006 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 99%
89% winning esports sharp
A highly profitable esports bettor with an 89% resolved win rate is making a $29k buy on Team Falcons, backed by serial cross-market history and linked-wallet activity.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $1.61M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 32 events with the same 89% win rate.
- A $29k buy at 86¢ shows strong conviction despite Team Falcons already being the heavy favorite.
$29,091 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 89%
Top Holders
- 0x37e4...c991 — magic, $76,123 (75% win rate)
- 0x5966...f804 — Team Falcons, $75,000 (89% win rate)
- 0x29b5...cc6c — magic, $63,801 (59% win rate)
- 0x733b...7260 — Team Falcons, $28,528 (88% win rate)
- 0xdd88...dadb — Team Falcons, $22,720 (61% win rate)
- 0xcd66...664f — Team Falcons, $22,524 (65% win rate)
- 0x8f69...7df1 — Team Falcons, $20,000 (69% win rate)
- 0x4337...8882 — magic, $18,888 (76% win rate)
- 0xda34...01a8 — magic, $16,680 (100% win rate)
- 0x86e9...4cdf — Team Falcons, $15,025
Related Theses
Team Falcons beat magic
Covers 1 related market
Real Madrid won’t win
Covers 1 related market
Team Falcons beat magic
Covers 1 related market
