Part of: Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
This prediction market covers the Map 2 winner between magic and Team Falcons in the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match at the PGL Astana Playoffs. It resolves to the team that wins Map 2, with settlement scheduled for May 16, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $19,493 in smart money and 3 recent signals, including notable backing for Falcons.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between magic and Team Falcons in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 16 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 2 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 2 against magic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,493.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Five-wallet esports steam
A five-wallet one-sided cluster bought Team Falcons at 82–83¢ before the price moved to 91¢, with several profitable or high-win-rate wallets participating.
- Five wallets bought the same side for $12.7K, pushing Team Falcons from 83¢ to 91¢.
- One participating bettor is 30-for-30 on resolved bets, and another is up $159K lifetime across 975 resolved trades.
- Market volume spiked 42x before the event, suggesting this was coordinated conviction rather than a random bet.
$12,675 on Team Falcons
Profitable serial event bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large history is buying the underdog into a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has a long record across 113 events and is up $274K lifetime.
- They bought magic at 17¢ while the market saw a 678x pre-event volume spike.
- Entry at 17¢ implies a high-upside underdog bet before Map 2 resolves.
$1,818 on magic | Wallet win rate: 65%
76% winner backing Falcons
A proven profitable bettor with a 76% record and +$27.6k lifetime P&L placed a $5k Team Falcons bet despite only a weak low-activity signal.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $27.6k lifetime.
- The $5k buy was large for this market, equal to about 86% of recent 24h volume.
- Entry at 83¢ suggests they are confidently backing the heavy favorite.
$5,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 77%
Top Holders
- 0x30c7...ac3b — magic, $25,000 (65% win rate)
- 0x4ad6...464c — Team Falcons, $11,634
- 0xcd66...664f — Team Falcons, $10,000 (65% win rate)
- 0xfdc0...4b85 — magic, $7,512 (48% win rate)
- 0x56c9...0d9e — Team Falcons, $7,072 (92% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Team Falcons, $6,851 (55% win rate)
- 0xdd88...dadb — Team Falcons, $6,141 (61% win rate)
- 0xa7df...5eee — magic, $6,061 (48% win rate)
- 0x3da8...80c3 — Team Falcons, $5,996 (77% win rate)
- 0xa9ca...6a8b — magic, $4,000 (43% win rate)
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