Part of: Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D

Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $227,839.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Four-wallet contrarian magic bet

Four wallets coordinated roughly $80,000 of contrarian buys on magic during a 128.7x volume spike, though the main bettor was averaging down from a large existing position and has a mixed record.

  • Four wallets bought magic for about $80,000 as its price fell to 20%, signaling coordinated contrarian conviction.
  • The market saw a 128.7x historical volume spike, making this more notable than an isolated whale trade.
  • The lead wallet is adding to a $242,000 magic position and is up $2.47 million lifetime, but its 48% win rate makes this a high-risk signal.

$70,675 on magic | Wallet win rate: 47%

Elite serial bettor backs TheMongolz

A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and 23-point edge bought TheMongolz amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 82% of 1,536 resolved trades and is up $4.45 million.
  • The $1,400 purchase of TheMongolz came during a 26.3x surge in market activity.
  • The entry at 56¢ implies this proven trader sees meaningful value despite the match being a liquid, heavily traded market.

$1,400 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 82%

95% winner scales into TheMongolz

Three wallets committed $37.4K to TheMongolz, including a 95% historical winner adding to an existing position, alongside a major volume spike.

  • A bettor with a 95% win rate across 176 resolved positions bought $15,192 at 55¢ and is adding to an existing position.
  • Three wallets committed $37,395 to TheMongolz at 55–56¢, while market activity surged to 32 times its historical average.
  • The position aligns with the current 56% market price, but the coordinated buying and elite track record indicate meaningful conviction.

$37,395 on TheMongolz

81-0 sharp scaling into magic

A proven 81-0 bettor with a substantial historical edge is adding to an existing magic position during a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won all 81 resolved positions, earning $181,958 while buying at an average price of 43%.
  • They are adding $2,700 to an existing $6,000 magic position at 45%, signaling increased conviction.
  • The market saw a 32.4x historical volume spike, providing additional confirmation of unusually strong activity.

$2,700 on magic | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp cluster backing magic

A high-volume one-sided magic cluster includes a bettor with an 87% win rate and substantial coordinated buying, despite significant opposing flow and the market moving below most entries.

  • Five wallets bought $88,196 of magic, including a bettor with an 87% win rate across 67 resolved positions.
  • The market saw a 317x volume spike and a sharp 27-point move toward magic, signaling unusually concentrated conviction.
  • The main buyer already held a large magic position, while three wallets also bought TheMongolz, so the signal is strong but contested.

$93,583 on magic

Elite 95% win-rate bettor backs magic

A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial positive edge is making a fresh $1,507 purchase of magic at 47%.

  • This bettor has won 95% of 1,635 resolved positions and is up nearly $779,000.
  • Their results indicate a strong edge over the average price paid, making this fresh 47¢ magic position notable.
  • The $1,507 trade backs magic despite the market pricing them as a 46% underdog.

$1,507 on magic | Wallet win rate: 94%

98% win-rate esports specialist

A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate and substantial implied edge placed an $8,792 fresh bet on TheMongolz.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved positions—93 of 95—and is up $1.35 million.
  • The wallet has traded 62 markets across 59 events, showing a repeatable cross-market record rather than a one-off bet.
  • It placed $8,792 on TheMongolz at 53%, making this a concentrated position in a near-evenly priced match.

$8,792 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 98%

Profitable serial trader adds to TheMongolz

A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with a 72% win rate and $683,676 profit is adding $11,787 to an existing TheMongolz position at 53%.

  • This bettor wins 72% of 3,012 resolved bets and is up $683,676 lifetime.
  • They added $11,787 to an existing $22,240 TheMongolz position, signaling increased conviction.
  • The trader has positioned across 92 events and 102 markets, making this more credible than a one-off bet.

$11,787 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf559...f462 Outcome 71132722, $21,277 (91% win rate)
  2. 0xeac2...dddc Outcome 71132722, $14,516 (70% win rate)
  3. 0x6b97...8d30 Outcome 71132722, $7,500 (86% win rate)
  4. 0xda34...01a8 Outcome 71132722, $6,000 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x8cbf...0eb4 Outcome 71132722, $5,275 (74% win rate)
  6. 0xdcaf...e271 Outcome 71132722, $5,000 (58% win rate)
  7. 0x8adb...e4f6 Outcome 71132722, $4,500 (72% win rate)
  8. 0x7645...3117 Outcome 71132722, $4,000 (51% win rate)
  9. 0xdbaf...f5d1 Outcome 71132722, $3,994 (92% win rate)
  10. 0x21b7...c861 Outcome 71132722, $3,500 (40% win rate)

Related Theses

FUT wins in three maps

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FUT sweeps EDward Gaming

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Monte beats paiN

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Team Liquid beats Spirit

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G2 sweeps BIG

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TYLOO sweeps 9z

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FUT wins in three maps

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Falcons sweep G2 convincingly

Covers 4 related markets

Spirit sweeps Natus Vincere

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B8 and Mongolz split maps

Covers 3 related markets

Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D

ResolvedCounter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D$227,839 tracked8 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between magic and TheMongolz in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for August 12 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against TheMongolz. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against magic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “TheMongolz
102¢
71¢
41¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D

11d ago

$70,675 on magic at 71¢

Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D

11d ago

$1,400 on TheMongolz at 56¢

Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D

11d ago

$37,395 on TheMongolz at 55¢

Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D

11d ago

$2,700 on magic at 45¢

Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D

11d ago

$93,583 on magic at 67¢

Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D

12d ago

$1,507 on magic at 47¢

Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D

11d ago

$8,792 on TheMongolz at 53¢

Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D

13d ago

$11,787 on TheMongolz at 53¢

Related Theses

FUT wins in three maps
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Espo…Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Espo…Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Espo…
FUT sweeps EDward Gaming
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 3 related markets
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT…Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs ED…Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT…
Monte beats paiN
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 4 related markets
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN …Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN …Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs p…
Team Liquid beats Spirit
Wallet_0x6d20c trades 3 related markets
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Li…Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Li…Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Te…
G2 sweeps BIG
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Ma…Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3…Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG…
TYLOO sweeps 9z
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - …Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (B…Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - …
FUT wins in three maps
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 4 related markets
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (…Games Total: O/U 2.5Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG -…
Falcons sweep G2 convincingly
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 4 related markets
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v…Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v…Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v…
Spirit sweeps Natus Vincere
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere …Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nat…Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere …
B8 and Mongolz split maps
Wallet_0xcf609 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs …Games Total: O/U 2.5Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs …