Part of: Counter-Strike: megoshort vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group B

Counter-Strike: megoshort vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group B

This Polymarket-style prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three elimination match between megoshort and ASTRAL in the Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group B. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, with resolution scheduled for May 24, 2026, and PolySpotter is tracking $4,593 in smart money activity from 1 signal.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Elimination match between megoshort and ASTRAL in the Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group B, initially scheduled for May 24 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "megoshort" if megoshort win the match against ASTRAL. This market will resolve to "ASTRAL" if ASTRAL win the match against megoshort. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,593.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

New whale on thin market

An 8-day-old wallet made a $4.6k megoshort bet worth 340% of the market's 24h volume, making this a notable conviction trade in a thin esports market despite limited track record.

  • An 8-day-old wallet put $4.6k on megoshort, more than 3x this market’s 24h volume.
  • The wallet already has 8 positions and a small early profit, suggesting active positioning rather than a one-off punt.
  • This is a thin esports market where one large informed bet can matter, though the price has moved against the entry from 39¢ to 32¢.

$4,593 on megoshort | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4c8f...0942 megoshort, $18,324 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x4b59...3aa6 ASTRAL, $6,001 (63% win rate)
  3. 0x64d4...f056 ASTRAL, $4,275
  4. 0x527d...3d71 ASTRAL, $2,500
  5. 0x19bb...b1e7 ASTRAL, $812
  6. 0x7138...8c89 ASTRAL, $604
  7. 0xfd14...2267 megoshort, $600 (39% win rate)
  8. 0xdec9...b8ab ASTRAL, $533
  9. 0xadfb...c2ef ASTRAL, $505
  10. 0x0c99...0c88 ASTRAL, $500

Counter-Strike: megoshort vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group B

megoshort
50¢
ASTRAL
51¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Elimination match between megoshort and ASTRAL in the Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group B, initially scheduled for May 24 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "megoshort" if megoshort win the match against ASTRAL. This market will resolve to "ASTRAL" if ASTRAL win the match against megoshort. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “ASTRAL
70¢
60¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: megoshort vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group B

3h ago

$4,593 on megoshort at 39¢

39¢50¢11¢