Part of: Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three match between Monte and G2 in Round 5 of the PGL Astana Group Stage. It resolves to Monte if Monte win the match, to G2 if G2 win, and to 50-50 if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner. PolySpotter is tracking $3,000 in smart money and 1 signal, including alerts from profitable and serial esports bettors backing the favorite.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between Monte and G2 in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 13 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Monte" if Monte win the match against G2. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win the match against Monte. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,416.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial esports bettor

Serial cross-market esports bettor with a strong 70% record and $122k profit is buying G2 in a liquid CS2 market.

  • This bettor has won 70% of 158 resolved bets and is up $122k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 28 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting approach.
  • A $3,000 buy on G2 at 73¢ shows confident backing of the current favorite.

$3,000 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 70%

Elite esports sharp

Elite 95% winner with large lifetime profit is buying Monte at 27¢ despite G2 being favored, making this a strong copy-trade signal.

  • This bettor has won 95% of 450 resolved bets and is up about $430K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 139 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • Buying Monte at 27¢ implies they see major value on the underdog against the current 28% market price.

$2,222 on Monte | Wallet win rate: 95%

87% serial sharp

Sharp, highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought G2 at 73¢ with an 87% historical win rate across 118 resolved positions.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $86.4K lifetime.
  • They have traded 65 related events, suggesting a repeatable edge in these markets.
  • Entry at 73¢ backs the current favorite with room before the 83¢ copy ceiling.

$1,794 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 87%

Serial esports bettor backing favorite

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a positive 919-market track record placed a large $14.4k G2 bet representing 74% of daily volume.

  • This bettor has traded 919 resolved markets, winning 59% and making about $21k profit.
  • The $14.4k buy is large for this market, equal to 74% of the last 24 hours of volume.
  • This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 265 events with over $1.5M in tracked volume.

$14,400 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 59%

Top Holders

  1. 0x30c7...ac3b Monte, $25,000 (62% win rate)
  2. 0xa69d...509b G2, $20,035 (59% win rate)
  3. 0xdd88...dadb G2, $20,000 (59% win rate)
  4. 0x29b5...cc6c G2, $17,305 (58% win rate)
  5. 0x6902...b4ca Monte, $14,148 (93% win rate)
  6. 0xa7df...5eee Monte, $12,500 (49% win rate)
  7. 0x8cbf...0eb4 G2, $10,000 (79% win rate)
  8. 0xcf60...a6f5 G2, $8,523 (65% win rate)
  9. 0xf7c2...9b8d Monte, $8,230 (95% win rate)
  10. 0xfdc0...4b85 Monte, $6,387 (48% win rate)

Related Theses

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Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

6hCounter-Strike: Monte vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$21,416 tracked4 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Monte
28¢
G2
73¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between Monte and G2 in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 13 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Monte" if Monte win the match against G2. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win the match against Monte. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “G2
74¢
72¢
69¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

56s ago

$3,000 on G2 at 73¢

73¢73¢

Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

12m ago

$2,222 on Monte at 27¢

27¢28¢1¢

Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

1h ago

$1,794 on G2 at 73¢

73¢73¢

Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

3h ago

$14,400 on G2 at 72¢

72¢73¢1¢

Related Theses