Part of: Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 - Map 2 Winner
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Map 2 winner between Monte and G2 in Round 5 of the PGL Astana Counter-Strike 2 Group Stage, scheduled around May 13 at 4:00AM ET. The market resolves to Monte if Monte win Map 2, or G2 if G2 win Map 2, with resolution expected by May 13, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $3,043 in smart money across 2 signals, including activity from esports and sports traders.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between Monte and G2 in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 13 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Monte" if Monte win Map 2 against G2. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win Map 2 against Monte. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,043.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Serial esports momentum trader
Serial cross-market esports trader with a large sample bought G2 before an 11-point move, though lifetime P&L is negative so the edge is more momentum/pattern than proven profitability.
- This bettor has traded across 68 events and 86 related markets, with a 72% hit rate over 1,490 resolved bets.
- They bought G2 at 80¢ before the price moved to 86¢, suggesting they caught the market before the move.
- The trade aligns with rapid momentum: G2 rose 11 percentage points in about 3 minutes.
$1,149 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable serial sports trader
A high-volume serial cross-market sports trader with $657k lifetime profit is taking a fresh Monte position at 34c despite only a modest composite signal.
- This bettor has a long track record: 1,998 resolved bets and $657k in lifetime profit.
- They regularly trade related event markets, with $1.27M across 306 markets in this pattern.
- Buying Monte at 34¢ implies they see meaningful upset value against the current 66% G2 price.
$1,893 on Monte | Wallet win rate: 56%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Monte, $6,010 (73% win rate)
- 0x29e6...3365 — G2, $5,791 (72% win rate)
- 0x8c0b...7aa5 — Monte, $4,654 (56% win rate)
- 0xfa88...85a5 — G2, $4,248 (66% win rate)
- 0xaf6a...925f — Monte, $3,649 (100% win rate)
- 0x482d...ba5e — Monte, $3,397 (67% win rate)
- 0x60b6...eb2b — Monte, $2,725
- 0x182d...73e9 — Monte, $2,550 (39% win rate)
- 0x8f76...aea6 — Monte, $2,506 (80% win rate)
- 0xfdc0...4b85 — Monte, $2,502 (48% win rate)
Related Theses
G2 beats Movistar KOI
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Barcelona wins today
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