Part of: Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Map 2 winner between Monte and paiN in their Counter-Strike 2 Round 5 match at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. It resolves on June 9, 2026, based on which team wins Map 2, with recent smart money activity showing $3,182 tracked and signals heavily backing paiN.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between Monte and paiN in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 9 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Monte" if Monte win Map 2 against paiN. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win Map 2 against Monte. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $48,306.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Perfect-record bettor on paiN
A proven sharp wallet with a perfect 21/21 resolved record bought paiN alongside one-sided cluster flow and a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 21 of 21 resolved positions and is up $66k lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $21.9k total, suggesting coordinated conviction on paiN.
- Market volume spiked nearly 60x before the event, adding momentum behind the move.
$3,182 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 100%
92% winner joins paiN cluster
Elite 92% lifetime winner bought paiN alongside one-sided clustered flow, despite the price later pulling back below their entry.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.6M lifetime.
- Six wallets bought the same side, totaling $27K on paiN.
- The market saw a 21x volume spike and a 20-point move toward paiN.
$3,239 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 92%
94% winner backs paiN
Elite 94% winner with $1.45M profit bought paiN alongside one-sided cluster flow and event-wide positioning.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $1.45M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 301 events tracked and the same 94% win rate.
- Six wallets bought paiN in the same window for $15.1K total, with volume spiking 44x.
$2,095 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 94%
New wallet joins one-sided flow
A brand-new wallet bought paiN as part of a 5-wallet one-sided flow with a major pre-event volume spike.
- Five wallets are all buying paiN, totaling $20.9k on the same side.
- This wallet is under 1 hour old and has already triggered repeat large-bet alerts.
- Market volume is running 58x above its recent pace before the match.
$3,075 on paiN
5-wallet paiN push
Surface as coordinated one-sided flow: five wallets bought paiN for $20.9k during a 58x pre-event volume spike, despite this specific wallet having a mixed historical record.
- Five wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $20.9k on paiN.
- Market volume spiked 58x before the match, suggesting a coordinated pre-event move.
- Entry at 40¢ offers a 2.5x payout if paiN wins Map 2.
$4,451 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 39%
Sharp cluster buying Monte
Four wallets, including multiple highly profitable serial cross-market bettors, bought $11.4k of Monte as the price jumped sharply in a liquid CS market.
- A bettor who wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.6M bought Monte even at 81–82¢.
- Four wallets put $11.4k on the same side, with two other strong records at 86% and 72% wins.
- Monte moved up about 26 percentage points during the buying burst, suggesting strong momentum behind the bet.
$11,379 on Monte
94% winner buying underdog
Elite 94% winner with $1.45M profit is buying paiN across this event amid a major pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $1.45M lifetime.
- They put $9.8K on paiN around 39¢–40¢, taking the underdog side before Map 2.
- This wallet is a serial cross-market trader with 301 events tracked and the same 94% hit rate.
$9,831 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 94%
Sharp serial esports bettor
A highly profitable esports bettor with a 77% long-term win rate bought $6.8k of Monte while also trading multiple related markets in the same event.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $3.46M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 522 events and $5.6M in tracked volume.
- They bought $6.8k of Monte at 61¢ amid a 218x pre-event volume spike.
$6,773 on Monte | Wallet win rate: 77%
Elite esports sharp buying
Sharp high-volume esports bettor with a 77% long-run win record and $3.46M profit is buying Monte on Map 2.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $3.46M lifetime.
- They have traded 852 markets across 522 events, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
- The $4.3K Monte buy is larger than recent market activity, showing strong conviction at 58¢.
$4,280 on Monte | Wallet win rate: 77%
Top Holders
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — Monte, $50,000 (77% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — paiN, $47,181 (67% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — paiN, $25,073 (94% win rate)
- 0x880b...c98b — Monte, $22,746 (72% win rate)
- 0xdb83...1e50 — paiN, $22,112 (68% win rate)
- 0xd3b0...329e — Monte, $20,500 (61% win rate)
- 0xcd66...664f — Monte, $20,000 (65% win rate)
- 0xfa88...85a5 — paiN, $17,239 (74% win rate)
- 0x67bb...b6ef — paiN, $15,000 (62% win rate)
- 0x1032...c372 — paiN, $12,283 (39% win rate)
Related Theses
Monte beats paiN
Covers 4 related markets
G2 sweeps BIG
Covers 3 related markets
TYLOO sweeps 9z
Covers 3 related markets
