Part of: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
This Polymarket market covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three match between MOUZ and 9z in Round 3 of the PGL Astana Group Stage. It resolves to the winning team, with a 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner; final resolution is listed for May 11, 2026 at 17:00 UTC. PolySpotter is tracking $3,450 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between MOUZ and 9z in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 11 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against 9z. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win the match against MOUZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
15 smart money signals detected, totaling $61,487.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
New profitable wallet backs 9z
Three wallets are all moving toward 9z, led by a 20-hour-old repeat new wallet already up $36.7k and a highly profitable serial cross-market trader.
- A 20-hour-old wallet is making another large bet and is already up $36.7k across early positions.
- Three wallets all backed 9z for $6.4k total, with entries as low as 43¢ before the price moved to 60¢.
- One wallet has traded across 1,600+ markets and is up $2.1M lifetime, adding weight to the 9z side.
$6,381 on 9z
New profitable esports whale
A 20-hour-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets and early $36.7k profit is buying 9z at 55¢.
- This wallet is less than a day old but is already up $36.7k across 3 resolved bets.
- It has now been flagged 5 times for large bets, totaling $47.7k in notable positions.
- Buying 9z at 55¢ suggests continued confidence despite a highly active market.
$3,450 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable new esports wallet
A 22-hour-old repeat bettor with early profit is making another meaningful esports bet, though the market has moved slightly against their entry.
- This brand-new wallet has already placed 4 flagged positions totaling $6.8k in under a day.
- Early results are positive: 3 wins from 4 resolved bets and +$798 P&L.
- They bought 9z at 57¢ in a liquid esports market, showing fresh conviction despite the price now sitting near 53¢.
$2,303 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable serial esports bettor
A very high-volume serial cross-market bettor with over $2M lifetime profit bought 9z at 33%, and the market has since moved to 47%.
- This bettor is up $2.1M lifetime across more than 26,000 resolved bets.
- They bought 9z at 33¢, and the market has already moved to 47¢.
- Their huge cross-market history suggests this is a practiced trader, not a one-off bet.
$1,258 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 55%
Sharp bettor joins MOUZ flow
Sharp profitable esports bettor bought MOUZ with supporting one-sided flow and a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $96.5K lifetime.
- Three wallets bought MOUZ in the same window, totaling $11.4K of one-sided flow.
- Market volume is running 47x above its historical pace before the match.
$6,698 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 78%
Sharp esports cluster
Three profitable wallets, including a 79% winner up $354k and a serial cross-market trader, bought $11.4k of MOUZ amid a 47x pre-event volume spike.
- Three profitable wallets are all buying MOUZ, totaling $11.4k in the same direction.
- The strongest bettor wins 79% of resolved bets and is up about $354k lifetime.
- Market volume is running 47x above its historical average before the match.
$11,426 on MOUZ
Profitable serial esports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports/esports bettor with a 79% record and $353k lifetime profit bought MOUZ amid a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $353,830 lifetime.
- They have traded 334 events with a strong long-term record, making the wallet itself the main signal.
- Entry at 66¢ comes during a 32.9x pre-event volume spike, suggesting timely conviction on MOUZ.
$1,917 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 79%
93% winner backs underdog
A highly profitable 93% lifetime winner with extensive cross-market history bought the 9z underdog amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $2.56M lifetime.
- They have traded 397 events and over $5.3M, suggesting a deep repeatable edge.
- Buying 9z at 34¢ backs the underdog while market volume is spiking 82x above normal.
$5,780 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 93%
Elite sharp on underdog
Elite cross-market bettor with a 93% long-term win rate and $2.56M profit is buying the underdog 9z at 33¢.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $2.56M lifetime.
- They have traded 397 events with a strong cross-market track record, suggesting repeatable edge.
- Buying 9z at 33¢ goes against MOUZ as the favorite and implies a ~3x payout if right.
$1,223 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 93%
New whale backs upset
Three wallets bought the 9z upset, led by a 20-hour-old repeat whale already up $36.7k and a high-volume esports trader with over $2.0M lifetime profit.
- A 20-hour-old wallet is already up $36.7k and has now put $3.45k on this side.
- Three wallets bought the same 9z outcome for $7.35k total, creating a clear one-sided cluster.
- One wallet has a huge trading history with $2.09M profit across more than 26k resolved bets.
$7,348 on 9z
Top Holders
- 0xf4ec...c574 — 9z, $37,646 (55% win rate)
- 0x30c7...ac3b — MOUZ, $29,684 (60% win rate)
- 0x8c0b...7aa5 — MOUZ, $28,158 (56% win rate)
- 0x4d32...9dfc — 9z, $26,722 (71% win rate)
- 0xe111...685a — 9z, $22,965 (63% win rate)
- 0x0dcf...c556 — 9z, $22,563 (93% win rate)
- 0xa69d...509b — MOUZ, $22,199 (58% win rate)
- 0x4d6e...5cfd — MOUZ, $20,244 (48% win rate)
- 0x21ec...5348 — MOUZ, $20,000 (57% win rate)
- 0xa7df...5eee — MOUZ, $20,000 (51% win rate)
