Part of: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 1 Winner
This Polymarket market predicts the Map 1 winner between MOUZ and 9z in their Counter-Strike 2 Round 3 match at the PGL Astana Group Stage. PolySpotter is tracking $3,816 in smart money activity across 2 signals, with recent sharp alerts highlighting interest in 9z. The market is scheduled to resolve on May 11, 2026, based on the completed Map 1 result.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between MOUZ and 9z in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 11 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 1 against 9z. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win Map 1 against MOUZ. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,642.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
92% winner caught 9z move
Elite esports bettor with a 92% long-term win record bought 9z at 85¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.27M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 313 events with $3.55M in tracked volume.
- Their 85¢ buy helped catch an 18.9-point move, with 9z now trading at 100¢.
$1,887 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable serial bettor
A very high-volume, profitable cross-market trader bought 9z at 76¢ before a sharp move to 100¢, suggesting strong esports timing despite the modest trade size.
- This bettor is up about $2.1M lifetime across more than 26,000 resolved markets.
- They bought 9z at 76¢ before the market moved to 100¢, capturing a major price move.
- This wallet trades across 1,300+ events, suggesting a systematic sports/esports betting edge.
$1,929 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 55%
Elite esports sharp
Elite serial cross-market trader with a 92% win rate bought 9z at 80%, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry to 50%.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.27M lifetime.
- They have traded across 313 events with $3.55M in tracked cross-market volume.
- Caution: they entered 9z at 80¢, but the market has since fallen to 50¢.
$1,059 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% winner backs 9z
Elite profitable esports bettor with a 92% resolved win rate bought 9z at 83% despite a short-term pullback, making the wallet’s track record the key signal.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.26M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $3.55M flagged across 398 markets.
- Entry at 83¢ suggests a high-conviction favorite bet despite 9z drifting to 79¢.
$1,437 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable serial bettor
A highly experienced, profitable cross-market trader bought 9z after a sharp short-term move, and the price has already moved in their favor.
- This bettor is up about $2.1M lifetime across more than 26,000 resolved trades.
- They have traded 1,600+ related markets, suggesting a very active sports/esports strategy.
- They bought 9z at 76¢ and the market has already moved to 79¢.
$1,148 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 55%
Serial esports trader buying dip
Serial cross-market esports trader with a large resolved sample and positive P&L bought 9z despite a recent price drop, making the wallet's track record the main signal.
- This bettor has traded 30 events and wins 63% of resolved bets across 269 outcomes.
- They are up about $2.9K lifetime on $179K invested, showing a modest but real edge.
- Bought 9z at 70¢ after a fast 12-point drop, suggesting conviction against short-term momentum.
$1,400 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable serial esports bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a long profitable record bought 9z at 47%, though the market has since moved sharply against them to 30%.
- This bettor has a long track record: 1,806 resolved bets, 62% wins, and about $290K in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 232 events with over $615K flagged in related positioning.
- Entry at 47¢ was a contrarian 9z bet, but the market has since fallen to 30¢.
$1,880 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 62%
Veteran esports sharp
Surface because this is a high-volume serial esports cross-market bettor with a strong 994-bet track record adding a fresh MOUZ buy amid a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 74% of 994 resolved bets and is up $47k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 144 events, with $868k tracked in similar activity.
- Market volume is surging 34x before the match, and they bought MOUZ at 63¢.
$1,165 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable high-volume grinder
A highly active profitable cross-market trader with $2.1M lifetime profit bought 9z at 42¢ and the market has already moved to 44¢.
- This bettor is up $2.1M across 26,768 resolved bets, with a 55% win rate over a huge sample.
- They have traded across 1,386 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 42¢ has already moved to 44¢, implying early market confirmation.
$1,546 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable esports cluster
Three profitable, high-volume sports bettors clustered on 9z with an $8.2k same-direction buy during a major pre-event volume spike, despite the price moving against their entries.
- Three profitable bettors put $8.2k on the same underdog side at 42–47¢.
- One wallet is up $2.1M lifetime across 26k resolved bets, and another is up $290k.
- This market saw a 34x pre-event volume spike, suggesting this 9z position is part of a broader move.
$8,192 on 9z
Top Holders
- 0x3b4c...e850 — 9z, $23,415
- 0xc30c...6509 — 9z, $15,000 (95% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — MOUZ, $11,111 (87% win rate)
- 0xd3b0...329e — 9z, $5,506 (62% win rate)
- 0xe169...4653 — MOUZ, $5,172 (69% win rate)
- 0xde8f...2c72 — MOUZ, $4,718 (63% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — MOUZ, $4,374 (55% win rate)
- 0xef26...05ba — MOUZ, $4,358 (73% win rate)
- 0xbf5e...4189 — 9z, $4,000 (57% win rate)
- 0x2ff4...d735 — MOUZ, $3,563
Related Theses
Monte wins Map 1
Covers 1 related market
