Part of: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 Winner
This Polymarket market covers the Map 2 winner between MOUZ and 9z in their Counter-Strike 2 Round 3 match at the PGL Astana Group Stage. It resolves to MOUZ if MOUZ win Map 2, to 9z if 9z win Map 2, and is scheduled to resolve by May 11, 2026 at 15:00 UTC. PolySpotter is tracking $6,855 in smart money activity across 4 signals, including sharp-wallet interest on the favorite and profitable bettor activity on the underdog.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between MOUZ and 9z in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 11 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against 9z. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win Map 2 against MOUZ. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,845.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable new underdog bettor
A 20-hour-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets and $36.7k early profit is taking a contrarian underdog shot on 9z.
- This 20-hour-old wallet is already up $36.7k across 3 resolved wins.
- It has now been flagged 6 times for large new-wallet bets, totaling about $50.7k.
- This is a contrarian underdog entry on 9z at 35¢, with the market now pricing 9z around 22¢.
$2,953 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market wallet bought MOUZ at 74¢ and the market has already moved to 78¢, despite the trade being modest relative to liquidity.
- This bettor is up $90k lifetime with a 63% record across 125 resolved markets.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $373k deployed across 90 markets in 77 events.
- Bought MOUZ at 74¢ before the market moved to 78¢, suggesting early momentum on the same side.
$1,007 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 64%
92% winner buying favorite
Elite sports bettor with a 92% historical win rate and $2.27M profit bought MOUZ despite the price later drifting lower.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.27M lifetime.
- They are a serial esports trader across 313 events with over $3.5M in flagged cross-market volume.
- They bought MOUZ at 85¢, while the market is now around 78¢, offering a cheaper entry than the sharp paid.
$1,700 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% win-rate esports sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 92% resolved win rate bought MOUZ at 85¢ despite the market now sitting lower.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.27M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 313 events with $3.55M in flagged volume.
- They paid 85¢ for MOUZ, while the market is now around 76¢, offering a cheaper follow entry than the original bet.
$1,195 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% win-rate sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate bought MOUZ, alongside a sharp upward price move.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.27M lifetime.
- They have traded 399 markets across 313 events, suggesting a long-running repeatable edge.
- MOUZ moved up 17.8%, and this buy came near the current market price around 80¢.
$1,030 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 92%
83% winner caught MOUZ move
Sharp wallet with an 83% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought MOUZ at 63¢ before the market moved to 79¢.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $168,860 lifetime.
- They bought MOUZ at 63¢ before the price jumped to 79¢.
- Their average past entry was 57¢, so this is a proven bettor paying a meaningful price for conviction.
$1,474 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 83%
Three sharp wallets on favorite
Three profitable esports bettors, including two wallets with 82-83% win rates, bought MOUZ together before the price moved from the mid-60s to 80%.
- Two of the three wallets win over 80% of their resolved bets and are up a combined $212K lifetime.
- All three bought MOUZ in the same two-minute window, totaling $4.3K in one-sided flow.
- Their entries at 63–67¢ have already moved to 80¢, suggesting the market followed their side quickly.
$4,315 on MOUZ
68% serial market winner
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market bettor bought 9z at 39¢ during a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 68% of resolved trades and is up $681k lifetime.
- They have bet across 390 events with $3.7M in tracked volume, suggesting a serious repeat edge.
- The market saw a 46x pre-event volume spike, and this entry at 39¢ backs the underdog 9z.
$2,627 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 68%
Sharp esports winner
Despite only a weak low-activity signal, this is a proven sharp wallet with an 87% record and nearly $490k profit buying MOUZ for a meaningful $6.5k position.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up about $490k lifetime.
- They put $6.5k on MOUZ at 62¢, larger than the market’s recent 24h volume.
- Their average winning entry is 54¢, so buying at 62¢ still fits their history of finding value.
$6,545 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 87%
Top Holders
- 0x996a...e3cc — MOUZ, $49,119 (100% win rate)
- 0xe7e1...ec43 — MOUZ, $33,918 (49% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — MOUZ, $20,592 (73% win rate)
- 0x3936...366d — 9z, $12,095 (100% win rate)
- 0x18bb...e5cd — 9z, $11,251 (63% win rate)
- 0xe405...c67e — 9z, $10,000 (58% win rate)
- 0x8f69...7df1 — 9z, $10,000 (69% win rate)
- 0x880b...c98b — 9z, $9,640 (62% win rate)
- 0xa7df...5eee — MOUZ, $7,500 (51% win rate)
- 0x634a...6de3 — 9z, $7,000 (68% win rate)
