Part of: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against MOUZ. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $35,357.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Serial esports timer
Serial cross-market esports trader with a 73% hit rate bought MOUZ at 89% before it moved to 96%, though lifetime P&L is negative.
- This wallet has traded 167 markets across 155 events with a 73% hit rate.
- They bought MOUZ at 89¢ and the market has already moved to 96¢.
- The trade followed a sharp 19-point move in under 2 minutes, suggesting fast momentum around the match.
$1,934 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 73%
Sharp bettor faded by market
A proven profitable esports bettor bought Aurora at 34¢, but the market has since moved sharply against the position and the wallet appears to have closed it.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $173k lifetime.
- The bet was a $2.8k buy on Aurora at 34¢, but Aurora has since fallen to 8¢.
- Position history shows the Aurora stake is closed, so this is more useful to study than copy blindly.
$2,777 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable 83% sports bettor
Sharp CS bettor with an 83% record and strong lifetime profit bought MOUZ, though the market has since moved against the entry.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $35.2K lifetime.
- Their past wins came around 54¢ average odds, suggesting they are not just picking heavy favorites.
- Entry was 81¢, but the price has fallen to 68¢, offering a cheaper copy point with added risk.
$4,253 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 83%
New hot-streak esports whale
Very new wallet with a perfect 7-for-7 record and positive early P&L made a $5.1k MOUZ buy that preceded a 16-point move upward.
- This 1-day-old bettor is 7-for-7 so far and already up $5.3k.
- They put $5.1k on MOUZ at 67¢, and the market has already moved to 74¢.
- A new wallet with repeated positions and early profits suggests informed conviction, not a one-off bet.
$5,100 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial esports trader
Profitable high-volume esports trader joined a same-side Aurora cluster during a pre-event volume spike, though price has since moved against the entry.
- This bettor is up $2.4M lifetime across more than 28,000 resolved trades.
- Three wallets bought Aurora the same way for about $3.8K during the scan window.
- Aurora entry was 43¢, while the market is now 38¢, offering a cheaper price than this trader paid.
$1,209 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable serial trader
Profitable high-volume serial trader with $114k lifetime profit is taking a contrarian Aurora position, though the price has moved against the entry.
- This bettor has 559 resolved trades and is up $114,630 lifetime.
- They have traded across 38 related events, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports strategy.
- Aurora was bought at 39¢ while the market now shows 30¢, making this a contrarian position to watch.
$1,380 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 62%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large history is backing MOUZ across this event, with $7.7k positioned over 3 related markets.
- This bettor has won 66% of 635 resolved bets and is up about $731k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.54M bet across 226 events.
- They have $7.7k positioned across 3 markets in this match, including buying MOUZ at 62¢.
$1,841 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 66%
Sharp bettor buying MOUZ
Sharp profitable wallet with 81% wins and +$129k lifetime is buying MOUZ at 61¢ despite only a modest single win-rate signal.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $129,843 lifetime.
- They have beaten market odds by 17 points across 125 resolved bets.
- Entry at 61¢ implies they see MOUZ as underpriced versus the current 62–63¢ market.
$1,548 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Serial cross-market esports bettor with a large profitable history is buying MOUZ across the event, making this a credible copy-trade despite only moderate market movement.
- This bettor has a long record: 66% winners across 635 resolved bets and about $731k in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $1.54M placed across 226 events and 352 markets.
- They have $9.1k positioned across 3 markets in this same event, suggesting a clear MOUZ-side thesis.
$3,282 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 66%
Profitable serial esports trader
Surfacing because this is a highly experienced, profitable cross-market esports bettor buying MOUZ despite only a modest signal score.
- This bettor has a long track record: 700 resolved bets, 58% wins, and about $94k in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 62 events, with $145k recently deployed in related markets.
- Entry at 60¢ is slightly below the current 62¢ market price, implying they caught a better line on MOUZ.
$1,080 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 58%
Top Holders
- 0x4ad6...464c — MOUZ, $27,026
- 0x4e8d...febf — MOUZ, $14,303 (73% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — MOUZ, $14,000 (66% win rate)
- 0x8cbf...0eb4 — MOUZ, $10,050 (81% win rate)
- 0xfa88...85a5 — Aurora Gaming, $10,000 (66% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Aurora Gaming, $9,985 (73% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — MOUZ, $8,385 (55% win rate)
- 0x4b59...3aa6 — Aurora Gaming, $7,039 (62% win rate)
- 0x482d...ba5e — MOUZ, $5,250 (83% win rate)
- 0x5bbe...c65d — Aurora Gaming, $5,182
