Part of: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winner
This Polymarket market predicts the winner of Map 2 between MOUZ and G2 in the PGL Astana Counter-Strike 2 Group Stage match, scheduled to resolve on May 10, 2026. PolySpotter tracks $9,354 in smart money activity on this market, with recent signals highlighting G2 interest from repeat and high-win-rate esports traders.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between MOUZ and G2 in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 10 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against G2. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win Map 2 against MOUZ. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,634.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Coordinated G2 esports flow
Four wallets, including a very new repeat large bettor and a profitable serial cross-market trader, clustered on G2 while the price moved sharply upward.
- Four wallets bought $6.6K of G2 in the same direction, pushing the price up about 10 points in 3 minutes.
- One wallet is only 26 minutes old but has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts totaling $9.5K.
- The strongest wallet has a 61% record across 1,788 resolved bets and is up $244K lifetime.
$6,640 on G2
Repeat new-wallet G2 buyer
New 8-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large esports bets and is buying G2 despite a negative early P&L, with modest supporting price momentum.
- This 8-day-old wallet has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts totaling $19.2K.
- The bettor put $3.3K on G2 at 55¢ as the price jumped 10.5 points in about 3 minutes.
- Market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like a deliberate directional esports bet rather than thin-market noise.
$3,344 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 75%
Serial esports winner
Serial cross-market sports trader with a large sample and positive P&L bought G2 at 53%, though the signal is only moderate and the bet size is not unusually large for market liquidity.
- This bettor has a long track record: 63% wins across 1,000 resolved markets and $121.9K in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 187 events with $3.86M in tracked bets.
- Entry at 53¢ is already slightly ahead of the current 55¢ market price.
$2,650 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 63%
98% win-rate bettor
Surfacing because a highly proven esports bettor with a 98% historical win rate bought G2 at 56% in a liquid CS map market.
- This bettor has won 190 of 194 resolved positions and is up $158K lifetime.
- They bought G2 at 56¢, showing confidence despite a fairly balanced market.
- The wallet’s average winning entry is 53¢, close to this trade’s price range.
$1,000 on G2 | Wallet win rate: 98%
Top Holders
- 0x67bb...b6ef — G2, $25,447 (63% win rate)
- 0x8148...3143 — G2, $21,260
- 0x31b0...8bf3 — MOUZ, $12,866 (48% win rate)
- 0xfa88...85a5 — MOUZ, $11,830 (66% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — MOUZ, $10,068 (55% win rate)
- 0x6df6...8458 — MOUZ, $6,862 (68% win rate)
- 0x1dab...b837 — G2, $6,030 (75% win rate)
- 0x55d9...832c — MOUZ, $5,000 (87% win rate)
- 0xd3b0...329e — G2, $3,717 (61% win rate)
- 0x8fbb...9a17 — MOUZ, $2,954 (75% win rate)
