Part of: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A
This Polymarket covers the Counter-Strike 2 BO3 lower bracket final between MOUZ and paiN at the CS Asia Championships Group A, scheduled for May 22, 2026. It resolves to MOUZ if MOUZ wins the match, to paiN if paiN wins, and to 50-50 if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than seven days without a winner. PolySpotter is tracking $65,064 in smart money with one signal, including whale-led MOUZ activity and high win-rate esports bettors backing the market.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket final match between MOUZ and paiN in the CS Asia Championships Group A, initially scheduled for May 22 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against paiN. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win the match against MOUZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $81,402.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Whale-led MOUZ cluster
High-score MOUZ favorite buy driven by a $62k whale, coordinated same-side flow, a huge pre-event volume spike, and linked-wallet corroboration despite mixed wallet records.
- Three wallets put $65k on MOUZ, led by one $62k buy at 70¢.
- Market volume spiked over 1,600x before the match, and all flagged flow was on the same side.
- An 8-wallet linked group has appeared in prior runs, adding support despite mixed long-term records.
$65,064 on MOUZ
98% winner backs underdog
Elite 98% winning bettor with nearly $1.9M profit is taking a $13.5K underdog position on paiN amid a large volume spike.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $1.9M lifetime.
- They put $13.5K on paiN at 30¢, a contrarian underdog entry against the 70% favorite.
- This wallet has traded 58 events with the same 98% hit rate, and this market just saw a 278x volume spike.
$13,498 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 98%
83% win-rate esports bettor
Sharp esports bettor with an 83% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying MOUZ at 71¢, backed by a long serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $58,416 lifetime.
- They have a broad cross-market track record: 25 events, 36 markets, and $88,712 traded.
- Buying MOUZ at 71¢ suggests confidence despite the market already pricing MOUZ as the favorite.
$1,775 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 83%
82% win-rate bettor
Sharp-wallet override: a profitable bettor with an 82% resolved win rate and strong edge bought MOUZ at 71¢.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $53.7K lifetime.
- Their historical bets beat market odds by about 30 points on average.
- Entry at 71¢ implies they see MOUZ as underpriced despite already being favored.
$1,065 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0x47a8...52f9 — paiN, $134,000 (98% win rate)
- 0x1136...0c2e — MOUZ, $98,546 (54% win rate)
- 0x21ec...5348 — MOUZ, $40,000 (57% win rate)
- 0x183f...85e3 — MOUZ, $10,610 (59% win rate)
- 0x7645...3117 — paiN, $6,000 (50% win rate)
- 0x29b5...cc6c — MOUZ, $5,655 (58% win rate)
- 0xe111...685a — paiN, $5,000 (41% win rate)
- 0x6b97...8d30 — MOUZ, $4,464 (83% win rate)
- 0x4337...8882 — paiN, $3,960 (75% win rate)
- 0x58d1...7ab6 — paiN, $3,433 (100% win rate)
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