Part of: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between MOUZ and Spirit in the ESL Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against MOUZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 10, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $149,064.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Seven-wallet cluster led by proven winners

Seven wallets added $276,695 to MOUZ, including several traders with strong, large-sample records, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.

  • Seven wallets added $276,695 to MOUZ, with several already holding sizable positions and buying more.
  • Several traders have standout records, including 95% wins across 378 resolved positions and 84% across 781.
  • The buying coincided with a 121× volume spike; trades averaged about 43¢ while the current ask is 44¢.

$17,716 on MOUZ

14-wallet Spirit buying cluster

A large 14-wallet Spirit cluster and sharp price movement make this worth tracking, though substantial MOUZ buying creates a meaningful opposing signal.

  • Fourteen wallets bought $79,756 of Spirit, alongside a 13.8× volume spike.
  • Spirit’s price moved up 25%, but 12 wallets also bought $53,245 of MOUZ, so the flow is contested.
  • One cross-market trader in the alert has a 92% win rate across 830 events, though that record is not necessarily attributable to the whole cluster.

$79,756 on Spirit

Profitable serial trader backs Spirit

A highly experienced bettor with 2,201 resolved trades, a 77% win rate, and over $3.1 million in profit bought Spirit at 58¢.

  • This bettor has won 77% of 2,201 resolved trades and is up $3.1 million.
  • They put $2,900 on Spirit at 58¢, adding a fresh position in a heavily traded match.

$2,900 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 77%

92% winner adding to Spirit

A highly profitable bettor with 92% wins across 200 resolved markets is adding to an existing Spirit position at 58¢.

  • This bettor has won 185 of 200 resolved trades and earned $125,085 in profit.
  • They are adding $1,392 to an existing Spirit position, buying at 58¢ while the market is near 57¢.
  • The bettor has traded across 82 events, suggesting a broad and consistent track record.

$1,392 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 93%

Proven 98% winner backs MOUZ

A highly profitable bettor with 533 resolved positions is buying MOUZ at 42¢, supported by a 98% win rate and a strong historical edge over average entry odds.

  • This bettor has won 521 of 533 resolved positions and is up $358,563.
  • Their average winning entry was 67¢, while they’re buying MOUZ at 42¢.
  • They’ve traded across 209 events, with nearly $685,000 in total activity.

$1,100 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 98%

95% winner scaling into MOUZ

A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate across 377 resolved positions is adding substantially to an existing MOUZ position at 42¢.

  • This bettor has won 358 of 377 resolved positions and is up $4.78M.
  • They added $37,800 to MOUZ at 42¢, on top of an existing $90,000 position.
  • The entry is near the 41¢ best bid, with a tight 1¢ spread.

$37,800 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 95%

Proven bettor backing MOUZ

A highly profitable bettor with 1,178 resolved trades and an 82% win rate put $8,400 on MOUZ at 42¢.

  • This bettor has won 82% of 1,178 resolved trades and is up nearly $4 million.
  • They placed an $8,400 bet on MOUZ at 42¢, well below the bettor’s reported average odds.
  • The wallet has traded across 922 events, showing a long-running, high-volume track record.

$8,400 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7b6c...6305 — Spirit, $400,139 (49% win rate)
  2. 0x3eb3...6a2a — Spirit, $256,705 (100% win rate)
  3. 0xa1f4...9681 — Spirit, $112,122 (73% win rate)
  4. 0x31e5...4879 — Spirit, $81,048 (71% win rate)
  5. 0xb675...5400 — Spirit, $30,416 (56% win rate)
  6. 0x4572...5e86 — Spirit, $25,560 (81% win rate)
  7. 0x2787...e0c4 — Spirit, $22,744 (81% win rate)
  8. 0x1037...5b09 — Spirit, $20,000 (86% win rate)
  9. 0xed88...e838 — Spirit, $15,266 (91% win rate)
  10. 0x52ec...a6f3 — Spirit, $15,000 (70% win rate)

Related Theses

G2 wins in five

Covers 4 related markets

Germany scores three and routs Paraguay

Covers 5 related markets

Brazil routs Scotland in shootout

Covers 5 related markets

France routs Norway with goals

Covers 4 related markets

Argentina wins big, both score

Covers 5 related markets

Bilibili wins after dropping opener

Covers 5 related markets

BetBoom wins Games 2 and 3, series

Covers 3 related markets

Spain-Argentina stays under 1.5 goals

Covers 3 related markets

Team Spirit completes reverse sweep

Covers 4 related markets

Dplus KIA Sweeps KT Rolster 3-0

Covers 5 related markets

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$149,064 tracked7 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
MOUZ
100¢
Spirit
0¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between MOUZ and Spirit in the ESL Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against MOUZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 10, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

2026-10-10 20:33 UTC

$17,716 on MOUZ at 43¢

43¢→100¢↑57¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

2026-10-10 20:48 UTC

$79,756 on Spirit at 60¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

2026-10-10 16:40 UTC

$2,900 on Spirit at 58¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

2026-10-10 15:48 UTC

$1,392 on Spirit at 58¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

2026-10-10 13:58 UTC

$1,100 on MOUZ at 42¢

42¢→100¢↑58¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

2026-10-10 13:05 UTC

$37,800 on MOUZ at 42¢

42¢→100¢↑58¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

2026-10-10 09:33 UTC

$8,400 on MOUZ at 42¢

42¢→100¢↑58¢

Related Theses

G2 wins in five
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Germany scores three and routs Paraguay
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Spread: Germany (-2.5)Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Brazil routs Scotland in shootout
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Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/…Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
France routs Norway with goals
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Norway vs. France: France O/U …Spread: France (-1.5)Norway vs. France: France O/U …
Argentina wins big, both score
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Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Arge…Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U …Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Arge…
Bilibili wins after dropping opener
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BetBoom wins Games 2 and 3, series
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Spain-Argentina stays under 1.5 goals
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Spain vs. Argentina: Both Team…Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
Team Spirit completes reverse sweep
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Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Sp…Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Sp…Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Sp…
Dplus KIA Sweeps KT Rolster 3-0
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