Part of: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,951.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor joins three-wallet Natus cluster

Three wallets concentrated $4,249 on Natus Vincere, including a highly profitable 87% winner, despite the market subsequently moving sharply against the position.

Three wallets bought Natus Vincere for a combined $4,249, creating concentrated one-sided esports conviction.
One bettor wins 87% of 144 bets and is up $171,057, while another is up $851,807 lifetime.
The market has fallen to 29% from entries around 61%-74%, so the thesis has faced strong adverse movement and warrants caution.

$4,249 on Natus Vincere

Serial bettor caught Aurora move

A serial cross-market bettor with a strong 68% win rate bought Aurora at 32%, followed by a sharp 19-point price move in Aurora's favor.

This bettor wins 68% of trades across 170 resolved positions and is up $318,207 lifetime.
They bought Aurora Gaming at 32%, well below its current 71% market price.
Aurora's price rose 19 percentage points within five minutes after the trade, supporting the direction.

$1,527 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 69%

Veteran bettor buys NAVI at even odds

A highly experienced sports-market trader with 32,000 resolved bets entered at even odds alongside a major pre-event volume spike, making this a worthwhile directional signal despite only moderate demonstrated edge.

This bettor has a 66% win rate across 32,347 resolved bets and is up $7.75 million.
They placed a fresh $2,149 position on Natus Vincere at 50¢, indicating a strong view at a near-even price.
Market activity spiked 219× above its recent average across seven trades, adding support to the move.

$2,149 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 66%

Sharp bettors scaling into Aurora

Three wallets, including two highly profitable sharp bettors, are adding $7,638 to Aurora at roughly fair market prices in a thin esports market.

Two bettors have exceptional records: 96% wins across 225 positions and 77% across 75 positions.
Three wallets are buying Aurora together, with $7,638 representing 82% of the market's 24-hour volume.
All three already held Aurora and are adding near 52%–55%, signaling reinforced conviction rather than a casual entry.

$12,771 on Aurora Gaming

Serial sharp adding to Aurora

A highly profitable, serial cross-market bettor with a 77% win rate is adding to an Aurora Gaming position at 52%.

This bettor wins 77% of 75 resolved positions and is up about $103,000 overall.
They have traded across 31 events and 38 markets, indicating a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off wager.
The $1,256 purchase adds to an existing $5,269 Aurora position, signaling continued conviction despite Aurora already being priced as a slight favorite.

$1,256 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

0x4ebc...a33d — Outcome 11116957, $22,589 (65% win rate)
0xed44...4f76 — Outcome 11116957, $16,020 (62% win rate)
0xc44f...d49f — Outcome 11116957, $11,485 (79% win rate)
0x968e...1a51 — Outcome 11116957, $11,268 (100% win rate)
0xbbf3...aa3a — Outcome 11116957, $6,096 (87% win rate)
0x3724...69b5 — Outcome 11116957, $4,720 (78% win rate)
0x19ae...395c — Outcome 11116957, $4,709 (55% win rate)
0xe077...369b — Outcome 11116957, $2,053 (87% win rate)
0x78c9...f9b2 — Outcome 11116957, $1,999
0x994d...3d8d — Outcome 11116957, $1,977

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Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs$21,951 tracked5 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between Natus Vincere and Aurora Gaming in the StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.