Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner
This Polymarket tracks who will win Map 2 of the Counter-Strike match between Natus Vincere and FURIA in the IEM Rio Group B upper bracket semifinal. The market resolves based only on the Map 2 result, even if the full match is not completed, and is set to resolve by April 15, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $6,311 in smart money activity on this market, with recent alerts highlighting notable interest on FURIA.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Natus Vincere and FURIA in the IEM Rio Group B, initially scheduled for April 14 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 2 against FURIA. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win Map 2 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,027.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
79% win-rate serial trader
A proven high-volume sports trader with a 79% win rate bought FURIA before a sharp price jump in a market seeing unusual volume.
- This bettor wins 79% of 306 resolved trades and has put over $1.0M to work across 246 markets.
- They bought FURIA at 82¢ and the market moved to 90¢ after a 35-point price jump.
- Volume ran 12.7x above normal, which supports the idea that sharp money was piling in before the move.
$6,311 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 79%
7-wallet esports pile-in
Seven wallets piled nearly $21k into Natus Vincere within minutes, including several large high-volume traders with solid long-run records, making this coordinated esports flow worth watching despite the market moving against their entry.
- Seven wallets bought the same side within minutes, putting $20.8k on Natus Vincere together.
- Three of the wallets are seasoned cross-market bettors with 63% to 75% win rates across 837 to 1,249 resolved bets.
- They paid 54¢ to 56¢ while the market is now 40¢, so this is a high-conviction call rather than momentum chasing.
$20,780 on Natus Vincere
New wallet cluster on FURIA
A very new wallet has already fired 14 large alerts and is joining a 5-wallet one-sided push into FURIA during a major volume surge, making this coordinated sports flow worth watching despite no proven track record yet.
- Five wallets all bought FURIA, putting over $10.1k on the same side in a short window.
- This wallet is less than 9 hours old and has already made 14 large flagged bets totaling $27.4k.
- Market activity is running nearly 50x normal volume, which adds momentum behind this move.
$2,541 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 0%
Sharp cluster backing FURIA
A proven high-volume sports bettor with 1,119 resolved trades joined a 5-wallet one-sided move into FURIA during a major pre-match volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction at 47¢.
- This bettor has 1,119 resolved trades, wins 65% of them, and is up nearly $60k overall
- Five wallets all bought FURIA in the same window for $10.1k total, showing clear one-sided conviction
- They entered at 47¢ while FURIA now sits around 46¢, in a market seeing a 49.7x volume spike
$2,350 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 65%
Proven cross-market sports bettor
A proven high-volume sports trader with 1,236 resolved bets bought Natus Vincere at 53¢, and the bet briefly outweighed the market’s recent activity despite modest overall signal strength.
- This bettor has 754 wins across 1,236 resolved bets and is up $62k overall
- They trade heavily across related events — 70 markets over 57 events for $106.9k total
- Bought Natus Vincere at 53¢, a price that was bigger than the market’s recent $875 trading activity
$1,045 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 61%
Top Holders
- 0x67bb...b6ef — Natus Vincere, $50,910 (63% win rate)
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — FURIA, $37,205 (53% win rate)
- 0x724c...1521 — FURIA, $18,444 (70% win rate)
- 0xe557...9597 — FURIA, $18,290
- 0xbf5e...4189 — Natus Vincere, $17,344 (56% win rate)
- 0x62f1...8432 — FURIA, $16,000
- 0x2cad...eb66 — FURIA, $10,733 (65% win rate)
- 0x9fe1...4d7f — Natus Vincere, $10,622 (59% win rate)
- 0xf679...16ac — FURIA, $10,145 (51% win rate)
- 0xafd4...7e61 — FURIA, $7,000 (65% win rate)
