Part of: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 1 Winner
This Counter-Strike 2 prediction market covers the Map 1 winner between Natus Vincere and M80 in the BLAST Open Porto Group A upper-bracket quarterfinal. The market resolves to Natus Vincere or M80 based on who wins Map 1, with the match scheduled for August 26, 2026. PolySpotter tracks $7,503 in smart-money activity, including buying signals for both NAVI and M80.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $34,126.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Six-wallet NAVI buying cluster
Six wallets coordinated on Natus Vincere amid a massive pre-event volume spike, making this a meaningful directional signal despite the individual bettor having only a modest proven edge.
- Six wallets bought Natus Vincere for a combined $9,517, showing concentrated one-sided conviction.
- Trading volume surged to nearly 495 times its recent average before the match.
- The bettor has a 65% win rate across 565 resolved trades and entered Natus Vincere at 74¢.
$1,456 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 65%
Sharp bettor backs M80
A proven 85% bettor made a fresh $3,009 M80 purchase within a larger $25,139 four-wallet M80 cluster, despite the market pricing M80 at only 24%.
- A bettor with an 85% win rate and $1.9M profit made a fresh $3,009 M80 purchase at 42¢.
- Four wallets bought M80 for $25,139 across eight trades, while a separate wallet sold $1,881 of Natus Vincere.
- The market has since fallen to 24¢ for M80, creating a potentially attractive price but also showing the trade is currently underwater.
$24,570 on M80
Serial bettor scaling into Natus Vincere
A highly experienced serial trader with an 82% win rate is adding a substantial position on Natus Vincere, though the price offers only modest apparent edge.
- This bettor has won 82% of 1,032 resolved trades and is up $308,633 lifetime.
- They added $6,900 at 69¢ to an existing $9,937 Natus Vincere position at the same price.
- The trade represents meaningful conviction in a match market with about $18,700 in 24-hour volume.
$6,900 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 82%
Proven sharp backing Natus Vincere
A highly profitable esports bettor with a large sample and substantial edge is buying Natus Vincere at 67 cents.
- This bettor wins 81% of 243 resolved positions and is up $171,636 lifetime.
- Their average winning entry is 50%, indicating a meaningful edge beyond simply backing favorites.
- The $1,200 position adds conviction in Natus Vincere despite the market already pricing them at 66%.
$1,200 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0x6d20...a165 — Outcome 66470748, $241,271 (48% win rate)
- 0x86e9...4cdf — Outcome 66470748, $10,440 (92% win rate)
- 0xf377...4159 — Outcome 66470748, $10,000 (85% win rate)
- 0x0ee5...e798 — Outcome 66470748, $7,647 (88% win rate)
- 0x19ae...395c — Outcome 66470748, $6,315 (49% win rate)
- 0xa4f0...b287 — Outcome 66470748, $4,680 (38% win rate)
- 0x87da...53d1 — Outcome 66470748, $3,787 (78% win rate)
- 0x5045...914a — Outcome 66470748, $2,940 (82% win rate)
- 0x901b...e325 — Outcome 66470748, $2,527 (89% win rate)
- 0xfeb9...95c9 — Outcome 66470748, $2,282 (50% win rate)
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