Part of: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 Winner

This Counter-Strike 2 prediction market covers the Map 2 winner in the BLAST Open Porto Upper Bracket Quarterfinal between Natus Vincere and M80. The market resolves to NAVI or M80 based on the completed Map 2 result on August 26, 2026; recent smart money signals have favored NAVI.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between Natus Vincere and M80 in the BLAST Open Porto Group A, initially scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 2 against M80. This market will resolve to "M80" if M80 win Map 2 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $419,976.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Whale scaling into NAVI

A serial high-volume trader added $371,662 to an existing Natus Vincere position amid an exceptional pre-event volume spike, signaling substantial conviction despite an unremarkable historical win rate.

  • A single bettor added $371,662 to Natus Vincere at 75¢, after already investing $495,564 in the same position.
  • The trade coincided with a 785× volume spike and represents over half of the market’s reported liquidity.
  • This serial trader has placed over $108 million across 2,397 markets and is adding despite NAVI’s recent 6-point price decline.

$371,662 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 60%

91% winner scaling into NAVI

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial edge is adding $6,000 to an existing Natus Vincere position amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 94 of 103 resolved trades, earning $115,134 while buying at an average winning price of 59%.
  • They added $6,000 to an existing Natus Vincere position, showing increased conviction rather than a one-off bet.
  • Market volume spiked 102.7x its recent average, while NAVI has risen from 75¢ to 79¢.

$6,000 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 91%

94% win-rate esports trader

A highly profitable serial trader with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge exited M80 exposure, equivalent to buying Natus Vincere at 75%, amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 94% of 337 resolved positions and is up $13.8 million lifetime.
  • Selling M80 at 25¢ is equivalent to buying Natus Vincere at an effective 75¢ entry.
  • Trading activity was 102.7 times the 24-hour average, while Natus Vincere has risen 17% over the past week.

$2,026 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 94%

Sharp serial esports bettor backs NAVI

A highly profitable serial trader with an 81% win rate and substantial edge bought Natus Vincere amid a major event-volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 81% of 243 resolved positions and is up $171,676, while entering at average winning odds of just 50%.
  • They bought Natus Vincere at 75¢, with the market already moving to 79%.
  • Trading across three markets in the same event coincided with a 102.7x volume spike, adding confirmation to the position.

$2,100 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 81%

New whale scaling into NAVI

A one-day-old wallet repeatedly added $10,000 to Natus Vincente at 75¢, alongside an extreme pre-event volume spike, though it has no resolved track record.

  • A wallet less than two days old added $10,000 across four buys and already has $15,639 invested in Natus Vincente.
  • The market saw a 102.7× volume spike versus its 24-hour average, while Natus Vincente rose from 75¢ to 79¢.
  • There is no resolved betting history yet, so the conviction signal is strong but unproven.

$10,000 on Natus Vincente | Wallet win rate: 0%

Sharp bettors pile into NAVI

A $28,187 one-sided Natus Vincere cluster includes several highly profitable bettors with exceptional win rates and a 279x volume spike.

  • Six wallets committed $28,187 to Natus Vincere, creating a strongly one-sided signal in a market with only $58,816 total volume.
  • Two major bettors have won 91% and 94% of more than 400 combined resolved positions while entering at average odds near 55%.
  • The trades drove a 279x spike versus typical volume, and the equivalent blended entry implies a NAVI price around 76%.

$28,187 on Natus Vincere

Top Holders

  1. 0x6d20...a165 M80, $688,855 (48% win rate)
  2. 0x2c33...0563 Natus Vincere, $588,768 (60% win rate)
  3. 0x73e3...1be9 M80, $82,075 (98% win rate)
  4. 0x61fe...0956 M80, $66,943 (90% win rate)
  5. 0xcd36...0f01 M80, $55,000 (99% win rate)
  6. 0x1610...ae49 M80, $31,923 (56% win rate)
  7. 0x997c...51f3 Natus Vincere, $26,048 (64% win rate)
  8. 0x82dc...5700 Natus Vincere, $25,039 (50% win rate)
  9. 0xb6ce...7a7d Natus Vincere, $25,020 (50% win rate)
  10. 0xdf80...3259 Natus Vincere, $22,439 (73% win rate)

Related Theses

HANJIN takes Game 1; KT responds

Covers 3 related markets

Karmine wins, games split early

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Gen.G Wins Series, T1 Takes Game 2

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Sentinels sweep Karmine Corp

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Bilibili takes games, Dplus series

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Karmine Corp sweeps Dplus KIA

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LGD Gaming Wins All Markets

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FaZe sweeps EYEBALLERS

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Team WE will sweep Top Esports

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JD Gaming wins series 2-1

Covers 3 related markets

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 Winner

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A$419,976 tracked6 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Natus Vincere
0¢
M80
100¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between Natus Vincere and M80 in the BLAST Open Porto Group A, initially scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 2 against M80. This market will resolve to "M80" if M80 win Map 2 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “M80
102¢
62¢
21¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 Winner

7h ago

$371,662 on Natus Vincere at 75¢

75¢0¢75¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 Winner

8h ago

$6,000 on Natus Vincere at 75¢

75¢0¢75¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 Winner

8h ago

$2,026 on Natus Vincere at 75¢

75¢0¢75¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 Winner

7h ago

$2,100 on Natus Vincere at 75¢

75¢0¢75¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 Winner

8h ago

$10,000 on Natus Vincente at 75¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 Winner

8h ago

$28,187 on Natus Vincere at 76¢

76¢0¢76¢

Related Theses

HANJIN takes Game 1; KT responds
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRIO…LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRIO…LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRIO…
Karmine wins, games split early
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LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) …LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game…LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game…
Gen.G Wins Series, T1 Takes Game 2
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LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Espor…LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winn…LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winn…
Sentinels sweep Karmine Corp
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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels…LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels…LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels…
Bilibili takes games, Dplus series
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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus …LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus …LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus …
Karmine Corp sweeps Dplus KIA
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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA…LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA…LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA…
LGD Gaming Wins All Markets
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LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gami…LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gami…LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gami…
FaZe sweeps EYEBALLERS
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Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs …Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs …Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs …
Team WE will sweep Top Esports
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JD Gaming wins series 2-1
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LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Leg…LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Leg…LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Leg…