Part of: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B
This Polymarket covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three match between Natus Vincere and Passion UA in the IEM Atlanta Group B upper bracket quarterfinal. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, with resolution expected by May 12, 2026, and PolySpotter currently tracks $3,379 in smart money activity across 1 signal.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Natus Vincere and Passion UA in the IEM Atlanta Group B, initially scheduled for May 11 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Passion UA. This market will resolve to "Passion UA" if Passion UA win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,644.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor backing longshot
Sharp-wallet override: a highly profitable bettor with an 86% resolved win rate is taking a contrarian 6¢ shot on Passion UA despite only a weak standalone signal.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up about $858K lifetime.
- They are buying the 6¢ underdog, implying a high-upside view against the market favorite.
- The market is liquid with tight pricing, so this looks more like a deliberate contrarian bet than a random thin-market fill.
$3,379 on Passion UA | Wallet win rate: 86%
90% winner backing favorite
Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has a 90% record with positive P&L and is buying Natus Vincere despite only a modest single win-rate signal.
- This bettor has won 9 of 10 resolved bets and is up $6.6K lifetime.
- They are buying $2.3K of Natus Vincere at 90¢ in a liquid match market.
- Their past wins came at 68¢ average odds, suggesting they have beaten the market by a wide margin.
$2,265 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0x5966...f804 — Passion UA, $56,680 (86% win rate)
- 0xee00...cea1 — Natus Vincere, $48,315 (62% win rate)
- 0x996a...e3cc — Natus Vincere, $21,370 (100% win rate)
- 0x4713...4d21 — Passion UA, $12,632 (44% win rate)
- 0x29b5...cc6c — Natus Vincere, $12,352 (58% win rate)
- 0x4e8d...febf — Natus Vincere, $11,605 (72% win rate)
- 0x880b...c98b — Passion UA, $11,070 (62% win rate)
- 0x52b7...0aa1 — Passion UA, $8,500
- 0x8c3a...eb16 — Passion UA, $5,947
- 0x8056...b64d — Passion UA, $5,874 (49% win rate)
