Part of: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winner
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Map 1 winner between Natus Vincere and Passion UA in the IEM Atlanta Group B upper bracket quarterfinal. It resolves to the team that wins Map 1, with resolution scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 02:30 UTC. PolySpotter is tracking $5,544 in smart money activity across 2 signals, including sharp esports flow and favorite-chasing alerts.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $29,275.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial esports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor bought Natus Vincere at 56¢ before a major move to 94¢, alongside a large pre-event volume spike and strong price impact.
- This bettor has a long track record: 569 resolved trades, 63% wins, and about $501k in profit.
- They bought Natus Vincere at 56¢ before the market surged to 94¢, showing strong timing on the move.
- The market saw a 29x pre-event volume spike and a 27-point price jump toward the same side.
$3,709 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 63%
Serial esports flow
Serial cross-market sports bettor bought Natus Vincere at 90¢ amid a major pre-match volume spike and a 27-point price move, though their lifetime P&L is negative.
- This is a very active cross-market bettor with 1,540 resolved bets and $5.3M invested.
- Natus Vincere has moved sharply, up about 27 percentage points with 29x normal pre-event volume.
- The wallet flipped away from a prior Passion UA position and bought Natus Vincere at 90¢.
$1,835 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 60%
Sharp cluster chasing favorite
Three wallets drove a sharp pre-event move into Natus Vincere, including a highly profitable serial cross-market trader, with price jumping from mid-50s/70s entries to 92%.
- A profitable high-volume bettor is in this cluster, with 63% wins and about $501k lifetime profit.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $10.1k as the market saw a 100x volume spike before the match.
- Natus Vincere moved sharply from entries around 56–79¢ to 92¢, showing strong one-way momentum.
$10,121 on Natus Vincere
Profitable esports specialist
Serial high-volume cross-market bettor with a long profitable record bought Passion UA before a quick price move from 76% to 83%.
- This bettor has a long track record: 2,307 resolved bets, 59% wins, and about $138.8K profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 190 events with nearly $449K tracked in this pattern.
- Their 76¢ Passion UA buy was followed by a fast move to 83¢, suggesting the market agreed quickly.
$1,031 on Passion UA | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable esports regular fading spike
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with strong lifetime profit sold Passion UA after a sharp price surge, implying a buy on Natus Vincere at 26¢.
- This bettor is up $138,795 lifetime across nearly $3.95M traded.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 2,307 resolved bets and a 59% win rate.
- They sold Passion UA after a fast price spike, implying a Natus Vincere entry around 26¢.
$1,242 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Passion UA before a sharp move from 42¢ to 68¢, alongside a 44x pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has a long track record: 73% wins across 788 resolved bets and $1.1M in profit.
- They bought Passion UA at 42¢ before the market jumped to 68¢, giving strong confirmation to the move.
- Market volume spiked 44x above normal before the match, suggesting broader sharp interest in the same direction.
$3,581 on Passion UA | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable serial trader fades move
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Natus Vincere into a sharp selloff and heavy pre-event volume spike, suggesting a contrarian esports position worth tracking.
- This bettor has a long record: 569 resolved trades, a 63% win rate, and about $501k in profit.
- They bought Natus Vincere at 48¢ after the market had already fallen hard from around 80¢.
- The market saw a 44x volume spike and a fast price move, so this looks like a deliberate contrarian entry into major pre-match flow.
$4,753 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 63%
Million-profit serial sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Passion UA at 44¢ before the market moved to 55¢.
- This bettor has won 73% of 788 resolved bets and is up $1.12M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 41 events with $87.6K flagged in this pattern.
- Their 44¢ entry has already moved to 55¢, suggesting the market is following their side.
$3,002 on Passion UA | Wallet win rate: 73%
Top Holders
- 0xef26...05ba — Outcome 36763407, $17,294 (73% win rate)
- 0x611a...e171 — Outcome 37026885, $9,525 (85% win rate)
- 0x0e1b...ecaf — Outcome 36763407, $8,976 (50% win rate)
- 0xe3d4...2bac — Outcome 37026885, $8,065 (60% win rate)
- 0x8c0b...7aa5 — Outcome 36763407, $3,666 (56% win rate)
- 0xf3ef...ca6b — Outcome 36763407, $3,595 (59% win rate)
- 0x849c...eb10 — Outcome 37026885, $3,408 (79% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Outcome 37026885, $3,368 (50% win rate)
- 0x977b...0e58 — Outcome 36763407, $2,870
- 0x4713...4d21 — Outcome 36763407, $2,563 (44% win rate)
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