Part of: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,324.

Categories: counter strike 2, Games, Sports, Esports

Notable Trades

Profitable cluster buying Spirit

Strong Spirit-side esports flow: five wallets bought $13.7k pre-match, including a profitable new repeat whale and experienced winning bettors, alongside a major volume spike and price move.

Five wallets bought $13.7k of Spirit at 66–71¢, and the market has already moved to 80¢.
One 6-day-old repeat bettor is up $14.4k so far and has now been flagged 14 times for large bets.
This market saw a 165x volume spike before the match, suggesting unusually heavy positioning.

$13,683 on Spirit

Elite esports sharp buying underdog

Sharp high-volume bettor with an 80% long-run win rate and $4.2M profit is buying Natus Vincere at 38¢ despite only modest market movement.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $4.2M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $4.7M tracked across 294 events.
Entry at 38¢ backs Natus Vincere as a clear underdog with roughly 2.6x upside.

$1,064 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 81%

95% win-rate esports sharp

Elite proven bettor with a 95% resolved win rate and strong cross-market track record bought Natus Vincere at 35¢.

This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $326K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 44 events with a 95% hit rate.
Entry at 35¢ implies they see Natus Vincere as a mispriced underdog.

$1,577 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

0x1c93...33d5 — Outcome 62664816, $10,000 (82% win rate)
0x55d9...832c — Outcome 62664816, $6,401 (77% win rate)
0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 62664816, $5,638 (81% win rate)
0xfa88...85a5 — Outcome 62664816, $5,000 (74% win rate)
0x17cd...7423 — Outcome 62664816, $4,506 (95% win rate)
0x599a...6ef7 — Outcome 62664816, $4,333
0xac9c...50d8 — Outcome 62664816, $4,236
0x2668...9555 — Outcome 62664816, $4,200 (41% win rate)
0x2924...0f31 — Outcome 62664816, $3,999 (53% win rate)
0x3763...345f — Outcome 62664816, $3,531 (62% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$16,324 tracked3 signalscounter strike 2GamesSportsEsports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Natus Vincere and Spirit in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 11 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 1 against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 1 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.