Part of: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner

18 smart money signals detected, totaling $150,017.

Categories: counter strike 2, Games, Sports, Esports

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor fading favorite

Surfacing because a proven profitable esports/cross-market bettor with a 79% record is leaning toward Natus Vincere, though two trades look like Spirit position exits rather than fresh buys.

One wallet in this cluster wins 79% of resolved bets and is up about $93.8K lifetime.
The same bettor is a serial cross-market trader across 40 events with a strong 68% hit rate.
The Natus Vincere side is now cheaper than their effective 30¢ entry, though part of the flow came from closing Spirit positions.

$4,138 on Natus Vincere

83% winning esports trader

Sharp esports trader with an 83% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Spirit despite a recent move lower.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $41K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 53 events with the same 83% hit rate.
They bought Spirit at 90¢ while the market has since pulled back to 82¢, offering a cheaper follow entry than their fill.

$1,038 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 84%

92% win-rate esports whale

Elite profitable serial cross-market bettor bought $5.9k of Spirit at 82¢, supported by a 25.8x pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.6M lifetime.
They are a massive serial cross-market trader, with $6.6M traded across 680 markets.
Spirit has heavy market support, with a 25.8x pre-event volume spike and odds now at 82¢.

$5,859 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable serial esports trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Spirit at 74¢ before an 8-point move, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 60% of 309 resolved trades and is up $143K lifetime.
They have traded 106 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports/esports edge.
Bought Spirit at 74¢ before the market moved to 82¢ amid a 25.8x volume spike.

$1,500 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 64%

Sharp esports bettor backing favorite

Sharp wallet with an 81% resolved win rate and positive P&L bought Spirit despite only a modest composite score, supported by a large pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $2.3k on $9.6k invested.
They bought Spirit at 90¢, showing high conviction on the Map 2 favorite.
Market activity spiked 25.8x before the event, suggesting broader momentum around this match.

$2,149 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 85%

94% sharp in 9-wallet push

A highly profitable 94% winner bought Natus Vincere alongside 9 same-direction wallets, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor has won 17 of 18 resolved bets and is up $133k lifetime.
9 wallets are buying the same side, totaling $19k in one-sided flow.
Their 41¢ entry has fallen to 20¢, making this a high-risk contrarian sharp signal.

$1,497 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 94%

9-wallet esports cluster

Coordinated one-sided flow and a major volume spike make this Natus Vincere buy worth watching, though the price has moved sharply against the entry.

Nine wallets bought Natus Vincere the same way, totaling about $19k in one-sided flow.
This market saw a 108x volume spike before the event, suggesting unusual attention on this side.
The bettor is profitable over a very large sample, but this entry has already moved from 40¢ down to 20¢.

$1,800 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 56%

Sharp bettor in 9-wallet wave

Sharp 91% win-rate bettor joined a 9-wallet one-sided Natus Vincere buy wave during a major volume spike, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $57K lifetime.
Nine wallets bought the same side, totaling $19K on Natus Vincere.
The entry was 46¢, but the market has fallen to about 20¢ since the trade.

$7,000 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 86%

Sharp underdog cluster

A high-conviction Natus Vincere cluster includes multiple highly profitable wallets, with $55K bought despite the price moving lower afterward.

One of the biggest buyers is 21-for-21 and up about $800K lifetime.
10 wallets bought $55K of Natus Vincere, including two linked wallets and several profitable accounts.
Current price is 34¢, below the cluster’s roughly 40¢ average entry.

$55,475 on Natus Vincere

94% winner backs Spirit

Elite 94% win-rate wallet with $4.37M profit bought Spirit amid a 9-wallet one-sided move and major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $4.37M lifetime.
They have traded 609 events and $8.3M across markets, suggesting a deep sports edge.
Nine wallets are buying the same side, with $30.9K flowing into Spirit.

$1,292 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

0x5291...d4b6 — Outcome 44692094, $97,527 (100% win rate)
0x1d2e...896d — Outcome 44692094, $23,183 (58% win rate)
0x9679...9315 — Outcome 44692094, $15,063 (86% win rate)
0x93f6...4814 — Outcome 44692094, $8,711 (39% win rate)
0x86e9...4cdf — Outcome 44692094, $6,087 (92% win rate)
0x9368...80a3 — Outcome 44692094, $5,983 (94% win rate)
0x8c0b...7aa5 — Outcome 44692094, $4,852 (56% win rate)
0x5809...9868 — Outcome 44692094, $4,600 (71% win rate)
0x5b10...9659 — Outcome 44692094, $4,373 (73% win rate)
0xa22b...3525 — Outcome 44692094, $3,705 (60% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Spirit wins after dropping Game 1

Covers 3 related markets

Spain out, France or England win

Covers 3 related markets

PARIVISION sweeps BetBoom

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$150,017 tracked18 signalscounter strike 2GamesSportsEsports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Natus Vincere and Spirit in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 11 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 2 against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 2 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.