Part of: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
This prediction market covers the Map 1 winner between Natus Vincere and Team Falcons in their Counter-Strike 2 Round 4 match at IEM Cologne Major Stage 3. It resolves to NAVI if Natus Vincere win Map 1, or Team Falcons if Falcons win Map 1, with resolution scheduled for June 14, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $53,771 in smart money activity across 2 signals, including recent sharp interest around Falcons.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Natus Vincere and Team Falcons in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 14 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 1 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 1 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $65,564.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
95% win-rate esports sharp
A highly profitable 95% win-rate serial cross-market bettor bought Team Falcons at 83¢ before the price moved to 91¢.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $106K lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 63 events, 112 markets, and $317K traded.
- Bought Team Falcons at 83¢ before the market jumped to 91¢.
$1,430 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 95%
Elite 92% esports winner
Elite profitable esports trader with a 92% win rate bought $7.3k of Team Falcons before a move from 85% to 91%, alongside volume and price momentum.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.66M lifetime.
- They have traded 724 markets across 543 events, suggesting a proven repeatable edge.
- Bought $7.3k of Team Falcons at 85¢ before the market moved to 91¢.
$7,262 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 92%
Sharp esports bettor riding momentum
Sharp wallet with an 87% resolved-bet win rate bought Team Falcons before a large pre-event volume spike and a move from 78% to 91%.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $5.4K lifetime.
- They bought Team Falcons at 78¢ before the market jumped to 91¢.
- The market saw a 27x volume spike and a 17-point move toward the same side.
$1,981 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 87%
Profitable serial esports trader
Profitable high-volume serial trader bought Team Falcons before a sharp move, with volume spike and price impact corroborating the bet.
- This bettor is up about $309k lifetime across more than 4,400 resolved bets.
- They bought Team Falcons at 70¢ before the market moved to 91¢.
- Market activity jumped 27x, with Team Falcons gaining 17 percentage points.
$1,120 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 61%
Sharp cluster chasing Falcons
High-conviction Falcons buy cluster with $52.6K one-sided flow, a 310x volume spike, major price impact, and multiple highly profitable sharp wallets participating.
- Several proven bettors are on Falcons, including one wallet that has won 37 of 37 resolved bets and is up $674K.
- Ten wallets bought the same side for $52.6K, driving Falcons from around 51¢ to 68¢.
- This market saw a 310x volume spike before the match, with serial cross-market winners adding to the move.
$52,564 on Team Falcons
84% winner buying near-even
Sharp wallet with an 84% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Natus Vincere at near-even odds.
- This bettor has won 21 of 25 resolved positions and is up $5.2K lifetime.
- Their past bets beat market odds by about 30 percentage points on average.
- Entry at 51¢ implies a near-even price on a trader with a strong esports track record.
$1,207 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Natus Vincere, $69,452 (65% win rate)
- 0x6adc...beba — Team Falcons, $52,042 (33% win rate)
- 0xffe9...a70e — Natus Vincere, $41,599 (74% win rate)
- 0x4e8d...febf — Team Falcons, $38,745 (75% win rate)
- 0xba8c...e77d — Team Falcons, $15,000 (88% win rate)
- 0x67bb...b6ef — Natus Vincere, $15,000 (61% win rate)
- 0x0997...c9f6 — Team Falcons, $14,657
- 0x5aa9...febe — Team Falcons, $11,510 (52% win rate)
- 0x73e3...1be9 — Team Falcons, $10,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — Natus Vincere, $10,000 (87% win rate)
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