Part of: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
This Polymarket market covers the Map 2 winner between Natus Vincere and Team Falcons in their Counter-Strike 2 Round 4 match at IEM Cologne Major Stage 3. It resolves to the team that wins Map 2, with $18,285 in smart money tracked and recent signals leaning toward NAVI activity from sharp esports traders. The market is scheduled to resolve on June 14, 2026, after the Map 2 result is confirmed.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Natus Vincere and Team Falcons in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 14 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 2 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 2 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $44,812.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
9-wallet sharp Falcons cluster
Nine wallets bought $18.5k of Team Falcons amid a 63x volume spike, with multiple profitable high-win-rate bettors in the cluster despite some opposing flow.
- Nine wallets bought $18.5k of Team Falcons, pushing the price from the mid-40¢ range to 56¢.
- The cluster includes a bettor who wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $225k lifetime.
- Market volume is running 63x above its normal pace, suggesting unusually strong pre-match positioning.
$18,540 on Team Falcons
97% win-rate esports sharp
A highly profitable esports bettor with a 97% historical win rate and $1.0M+ lifetime profit bought Natus Vincere at 59¢, with additional signal from serial cross-market success.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up over $1.0M lifetime.
- They have traded 291 markets across 183 events with the same 97% hit rate.
- This $3.6K buy was larger than the market’s prior 24h volume, showing real conviction.
$3,000 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 97%
Sharp serial trader fading Falcons
A profitable high-volume serial trader sold Falcons at 69¢ before the move to 44¢, with a larger one-sided flow and volume spike supporting Natus Vincere.
- This serial bettor wins 68% of resolved markets and is up $643k lifetime.
- They faded Falcons at 69¢ before the price fell to 44¢.
- Pre-match volume spiked 72x, with the larger cluster putting $28k on Natus Vincere.
$7,326 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 68%
97% winner buying underdog
Surface because a highly profitable 97% win-rate wallet is buying the underdog, alongside one-sided cluster flow and a fast price move.
- A bettor who wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $1.04M bought this side at 46¢.
- Three wallets put $9.4K on the same outcome, pushing the price up 18 points in about 4 minutes.
- Current odds around 44–45¢ are below the sharp wallet’s 46¢ entry, while other wallets chased as high as 58¢.
$9,396 on Natus Vincere
97% win-rate esports sharp
A highly profitable esports bettor with a 97% historical win rate and $1.0M+ lifetime profit bought Natus Vincere at 59¢, with additional signal from serial cross-market success.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up over $1.0M lifetime.
- They have traded 291 markets across 183 events with the same 97% hit rate.
- This $3.6K buy was larger than the market’s prior 24h volume, showing real conviction.
$3,564 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 97%
86% winner buying NAVI
Sharp esports bettor with an 86% win rate and $116.8k profit is buying Natus Vincere on Map 2, backed by a strong serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $116.8k lifetime.
- They have traded across 96 events with the same 86% win rate, suggesting a repeatable esports edge.
- The $3.0k buy is large for this market’s recent activity and entered at 59¢.
$2,987 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Team Falcons, $59,280 (65% win rate)
- 0x4ad6...464c — Natus Vincere, $42,857
- 0x9cb9...32f2 — Team Falcons, $42,600 (40% win rate)
- 0xc44f...d49f — Natus Vincere, $26,474 (74% win rate)
- 0x96f7...d6ae — Team Falcons, $23,671 (73% win rate)
- 0x8c0b...7aa5 — Team Falcons, $17,042 (58% win rate)
- 0x86e9...4cdf — Natus Vincere, $12,636 (97% win rate)
- 0xd202...8973 — Team Falcons, $11,897 (43% win rate)
- 0x751b...73fd — Natus Vincere, $11,800 (53% win rate)
- 0xdf2a...5ae1 — Team Falcons, $10,742 (76% win rate)
Related Theses
Heroic sweeps Gaimin Gladiators
Covers 3 related markets
Knicks win high-scoring game
Covers 5 related markets
Spurs win high-scoring game
Covers 3 related markets
Thunder win low-scoring matchup
Covers 7 related markets
Iran peace deal odds mispriced
Covers 3 related markets
Vitality sweeps MOUZ
Covers 3 related markets
Spurs win high-scoring game
Covers 5 related markets
Knicks win high-scoring game
Covers 7 related markets
Knicks-Spurs stays low scoring
Covers 3 related markets
SpaceX IPO near $1.9T
Covers 4 related markets
