Part of: Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A
This prediction market covers the best-of-three Counter-Strike 2 match between NRG and FUT Esports in the IEM Atlanta Group A upper bracket quarterfinal, scheduled for May 11 at 11:30 AM ET. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with resolution expected by May 12, 2026, unless the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules. PolySpotter is tracking $1,098 in smart money and 1 signal, including sharp buying on NRG and underdog-related activity.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between NRG and FUT Esports in the IEM Atlanta Group A, initially scheduled for May 11 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win the match against FUT Esports. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against NRG. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,703.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial esports trader
Surfacing because this is a highly experienced cross-market sports trader with a large profitable history buying FUT Esports at 81¢, despite the alert score being modest.
- This bettor has traded 229 markets across 187 events and is up $134K lifetime.
- Their 59% win rate comes across 2,298 resolved bets, showing a long track record rather than a one-off wager.
- They bought FUT Esports at 81¢ in a liquid market, backing the current favorite with over $1K.
$1,098 on FUT Esports | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable new esports bettor
Very new wallet with strong early results and repeat large-bet flags bought FUT Esports despite already being marked down from its 79% entry.
- This 1-day-old wallet is already up $4,083 with 7 wins in 8 resolved bets.
- It has been flagged 7 times for large new-wallet bets, totaling $12,509 across 8 positions.
- The bettor paid 79¢ for FUT Esports, implying high conviction even though the market is now available around 70¢.
$1,000 on FUT Esports | Wallet win rate: 90%
87% win-rate serial trader
Sharp serial cross-market esports bettor with an 87% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought FUT, though the market has since moved against the entry.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $268,669 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.63M tracked across 162 events.
- They bought FUT at 74¢, but the market is now 64¢, so the copy entry is meaningfully cheaper than theirs.
$1,000 on FUT Esports | Wallet win rate: 87%
88% winner buying underdog
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 88% resolved win rate is buying the NRG underdog at 29¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $519k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.7M in prior volume across 163 events.
- Entry at 29¢ backs the underdog despite NRG already moving up about 9% today.
$3,105 on NRG | Wallet win rate: 88%
87% win-rate esports sharp
Surfaced because a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 87% resolved win rate is buying FUT Esports despite only a modest trade size.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $268,669 lifetime.
- They are a proven cross-market trader, with $1.63M deployed across 161 events.
- Buying FUT at 74¢ suggests confidence even after the market moved toward FUT.
$1,000 on FUT Esports | Wallet win rate: 87%
88% winner buying NRG
Sharp esports bettor with an 88% resolved win rate and $519k lifetime profit bought $7.5k of NRG amid a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $519k lifetime.
- They have a large cross-market track record: 293 markets across 162 events with the same 88% win rate.
- NRG is now cheaper than their average fill, with current odds around 26% versus their roughly 38% entry.
$7,501 on NRG | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0x21ec...5348 — NRG, $13,742 (57% win rate)
- 0x4ad6...464c — FUT Esports, $12,792
- 0xa7df...5eee — NRG, $12,511 (51% win rate)
- 0x0e1b...ecaf — FUT Esports, $12,002 (50% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — NRG, $11,111 (88% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — FUT Esports, $10,000 (63% win rate)
- 0x8cbf...0eb4 — FUT Esports, $10,000 (78% win rate)
- 0x29b5...cc6c — FUT Esports, $9,911 (58% win rate)
- 0xdd88...dadb — FUT Esports, $8,944 (58% win rate)
- 0xadfa...324e — FUT Esports, $7,579 (50% win rate)
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