Part of: Counter-Strike: Omega vs TDK (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Omega vs TDK (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs
This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 BO3 quarterfinal match between Omega and TDK in the Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs, scheduled for May 30 at 4:00AM ET. It resolves to Omega if Omega win the match and to TDK if TDK win; if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner, special resolution rules apply. PolySpotter is tracking $3,209 in smart money across 2 signals, with recent sharp-bettor alerts pointing toward Omega.
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $28,941.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable esports sharp backs Omega
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 75% win rate and +$307,869 lifetime P&L is effectively backing Omega at even odds.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $307,869 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 122 events, with $364,756 tracked in that pattern.
- Selling TDK at 50¢ is equivalent to buying Omega at 50¢, an even-money entry.
$2,100 on Omega | Wallet win rate: 75%
Perfect-record esports bettor
Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with a 43-0 resolved record and +$20k P&L sold Omega, implying TDK exposure despite the modest trade size.
- This bettor is 43-for-43 on resolved markets and is up about $20k lifetime.
- They exited Omega around 49¢, which translates to backing TDK at roughly 51¢.
- The market is highly liquid, so the edge here is the wallet’s track record rather than market impact.
$1,109 on TDK | Wallet win rate: 100%
82% winner flips sides
Sharp bettor with an 82% win rate and positive lifetime P&L sold TDK, effectively backing Omega at 51¢ despite previously holding TDK.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $15K lifetime.
- They sold TDK, which is equivalent to backing the other side at roughly 51¢.
- This looks like a sharp opinion change after previously holding TDK.
$1,230 on Omega | Wallet win rate: 82%
86% esports sharp
Sharp wallet with an 86% resolved win rate and +$27.6k P&L is effectively backing TDK in a liquid Counter-Strike market.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $27.6k lifetime.
- They are fading Omega, which is equivalent to backing TDK at about 51¢.
- Their historical wins came at average 65¢ odds, meaning they have beaten market prices by a wide margin.
$2,450 on TDK | Wallet win rate: 87%
90% win-rate esports sharp
Sharp esports bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and strong positive P&L is effectively backing Omega by selling TDK at 50¢.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $19.1K lifetime.
- Their past bets beat market odds by about 21 points, making the wallet the main signal here.
- Selling TDK at 50¢ is equivalent to backing Omega at even odds.
$1,144 on Omega | Wallet win rate: 90%
93% win-rate esports sharp
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and +$109,952 P&L is effectively backing TDK against Omega at 50¢.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $109,952 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 28 events, with the same 93% win rate.
- Selling Omega at 50¢ is equivalent to buying TDK at 50¢.
$1,190 on TDK | Wallet win rate: 93%
Perfect-record esports sharp
A proven sharp wallet with a perfect 43-0 resolved record and +$20k P&L bought Omega at near-even odds.
- This bettor has won 43 of 43 resolved trades and is up $20,128 lifetime.
- They bought Omega at 51¢ in a near-even match, implying they see an edge where the market is split.
- Their past wins averaged 64¢ entry prices, so this 51¢ bet is meaningfully below their typical winning price.
$1,080 on Omega | Wallet win rate: 100%
Perfect-record bettor backs Omega
Surface: a proven 43-for-43 profitable bettor is buying Omega alongside one-sided cluster flow totaling $6.7k.
- One Omega bettor has won 43 of 43 resolved trades and is up $20.1k lifetime.
- Three wallets are all positioned the same way, totaling $6.7k on Omega.
- Entry around 51¢ implies they see Omega as better than a coin flip.
$6,742 on Omega
85% winner backing underdog
Sharp profitable wallet with an 85% resolved win rate is buying Omega at 31¢ despite only a modest alert score.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $26.1K lifetime.
- They bought Omega at 31¢, backing the underdog against the market's 70% TDK price.
- Their past bets beat market odds by 21 percentage points on average.
$1,500 on Omega | Wallet win rate: 87%
New repeat esports bettor
Very new wallet is making repeat sizable esports bets with early profit, and this trade effectively backs Omega at 39¢ in a relatively shallow market.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already had $7.1K in flagged bets and is adding another $2K position.
- The wallet is up $1.5K on its only resolved trade, an early sign of sharp timing.
- Selling TDK at 61¢ is the same as backing Omega at 39¢ in a market with only $4.4K liquidity.
$1,998 on Omega | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x60ec...f7b0 — Outcome 39476394, $1,000
- 0xc34b...9296 — Outcome 39476394, $938 (96% win rate)
- 0xebff...70e5 — Outcome 39476394, $600
- 0x76af...25c3 — Outcome 39476394, $560
- 0x5df5...c44c — Outcome 39476394, $503
- 0x03ba...beba — Outcome 39476394, $499
- 0x54ea...f74a — Outcome 39476394, $435 (60% win rate)
- 0x4934...1cad — Outcome 39476394, $430
- 0x0a7c...8964 — Outcome 39476394, $354
- 0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 39476394, $322 (69% win rate)
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