Part of: Counter-Strike: Omega vs TDK (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Omega vs TDK (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs

This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 BO3 quarterfinal match between Omega and TDK in the Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs, scheduled for May 30 at 4:00AM ET. It resolves to Omega if Omega win the match and to TDK if TDK win; if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner, special resolution rules apply. PolySpotter is tracking $3,209 in smart money across 2 signals, with recent sharp-bettor alerts pointing toward Omega.

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $28,941.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable esports sharp backs Omega

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 75% win rate and +$307,869 lifetime P&L is effectively backing Omega at even odds.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $307,869 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 122 events, with $364,756 tracked in that pattern.
  • Selling TDK at 50¢ is equivalent to buying Omega at 50¢, an even-money entry.

$2,100 on Omega | Wallet win rate: 75%

Perfect-record esports bettor

Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with a 43-0 resolved record and +$20k P&L sold Omega, implying TDK exposure despite the modest trade size.

  • This bettor is 43-for-43 on resolved markets and is up about $20k lifetime.
  • They exited Omega around 49¢, which translates to backing TDK at roughly 51¢.
  • The market is highly liquid, so the edge here is the wallet’s track record rather than market impact.

$1,109 on TDK | Wallet win rate: 100%

82% winner flips sides

Sharp bettor with an 82% win rate and positive lifetime P&L sold TDK, effectively backing Omega at 51¢ despite previously holding TDK.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $15K lifetime.
  • They sold TDK, which is equivalent to backing the other side at roughly 51¢.
  • This looks like a sharp opinion change after previously holding TDK.

$1,230 on Omega | Wallet win rate: 82%

86% esports sharp

Sharp wallet with an 86% resolved win rate and +$27.6k P&L is effectively backing TDK in a liquid Counter-Strike market.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $27.6k lifetime.
  • They are fading Omega, which is equivalent to backing TDK at about 51¢.
  • Their historical wins came at average 65¢ odds, meaning they have beaten market prices by a wide margin.

$2,450 on TDK | Wallet win rate: 87%

90% win-rate esports sharp

Sharp esports bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and strong positive P&L is effectively backing Omega by selling TDK at 50¢.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $19.1K lifetime.
  • Their past bets beat market odds by about 21 points, making the wallet the main signal here.
  • Selling TDK at 50¢ is equivalent to backing Omega at even odds.

$1,144 on Omega | Wallet win rate: 90%

93% win-rate esports sharp

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and +$109,952 P&L is effectively backing TDK against Omega at 50¢.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $109,952 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 28 events, with the same 93% win rate.
  • Selling Omega at 50¢ is equivalent to buying TDK at 50¢.

$1,190 on TDK | Wallet win rate: 93%

Perfect-record esports sharp

A proven sharp wallet with a perfect 43-0 resolved record and +$20k P&L bought Omega at near-even odds.

  • This bettor has won 43 of 43 resolved trades and is up $20,128 lifetime.
  • They bought Omega at 51¢ in a near-even match, implying they see an edge where the market is split.
  • Their past wins averaged 64¢ entry prices, so this 51¢ bet is meaningfully below their typical winning price.

$1,080 on Omega | Wallet win rate: 100%

Perfect-record bettor backs Omega

Surface: a proven 43-for-43 profitable bettor is buying Omega alongside one-sided cluster flow totaling $6.7k.

  • One Omega bettor has won 43 of 43 resolved trades and is up $20.1k lifetime.
  • Three wallets are all positioned the same way, totaling $6.7k on Omega.
  • Entry around 51¢ implies they see Omega as better than a coin flip.

$6,742 on Omega

85% winner backing underdog

Sharp profitable wallet with an 85% resolved win rate is buying Omega at 31¢ despite only a modest alert score.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $26.1K lifetime.
  • They bought Omega at 31¢, backing the underdog against the market's 70% TDK price.
  • Their past bets beat market odds by 21 percentage points on average.

$1,500 on Omega | Wallet win rate: 87%

New repeat esports bettor

Very new wallet is making repeat sizable esports bets with early profit, and this trade effectively backs Omega at 39¢ in a relatively shallow market.

  • This 2-day-old wallet has already had $7.1K in flagged bets and is adding another $2K position.
  • The wallet is up $1.5K on its only resolved trade, an early sign of sharp timing.
  • Selling TDK at 61¢ is the same as backing Omega at 39¢ in a market with only $4.4K liquidity.

$1,998 on Omega | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x60ec...f7b0 Outcome 39476394, $1,000
  2. 0xc34b...9296 Outcome 39476394, $938 (96% win rate)
  3. 0xebff...70e5 Outcome 39476394, $600
  4. 0x76af...25c3 Outcome 39476394, $560
  5. 0x5df5...c44c Outcome 39476394, $503
  6. 0x03ba...beba Outcome 39476394, $499
  7. 0x54ea...f74a Outcome 39476394, $435 (60% win rate)
  8. 0x4934...1cad Outcome 39476394, $430
  9. 0x0a7c...8964 Outcome 39476394, $354
  10. 0x5b63...11a4 Outcome 39476394, $322 (69% win rate)

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Counter-Strike: Omega vs TDK (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Omega vs TDK (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs$28,941 tracked11 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between Omega and TDK in the Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 30 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Omega" if Omega win the match against TDK. This market will resolve to "TDK" if TDK win the match against Omega. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “TDK
75¢
57¢
39¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Omega vs TDK (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs

7h ago

$2,100 on Omega at 50¢

Counter-Strike: Omega vs TDK (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs

7h ago

$1,109 on TDK at 51¢

Counter-Strike: Omega vs TDK (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs

8h ago

$1,230 on Omega at 51¢

Counter-Strike: Omega vs TDK (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs

8h ago

$2,450 on TDK at 51¢

Counter-Strike: Omega vs TDK (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs

8h ago

$1,144 on Omega at 50¢

Counter-Strike: Omega vs TDK (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs

9h ago

$1,190 on TDK at 50¢

Counter-Strike: Omega vs TDK (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs

9h ago

$1,080 on Omega at 51¢

Counter-Strike: Omega vs TDK (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs

9h ago

$6,742 on Omega at 51¢

Counter-Strike: Omega vs TDK (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs

13h ago

$1,500 on Omega at 31¢

Counter-Strike: Omega vs TDK (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs

17h ago

$1,998 on Omega at 39¢

Counter-Strike: Omega vs TDK (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs

18h ago

$8,398 on Omega at 42¢

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