Part of: Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 BO1 Round 2 match between paiN and BIG at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, scheduled for June 6 at 12:30 PM ET. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with a 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner. PolySpotter is tracking $23,984 in smart money across 5 signals, with recent sharp activity reported on both paiN and BIG.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between paiN and BIG in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 6 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win the match against BIG. This market will resolve to "BIG" if BIG win the match against paiN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $47,350.

Categories: Games, Sports, Esports, counter strike 2

Notable Trades

9-0 new whale

A 9-day-old repeat whale with a 9-0 resolved record and +$224,889 P&L is making another large esports bet, buying $20.9k of paiN at 50¢.

  • This new bettor has won all 9 resolved trades and is up about $225k so far.
  • They have now been flagged 10 times, with nearly $97k in notable bets across 9 positions.
  • Entry at 50¢ on paiN is a sizable $20.9k conviction bet in a near-even match.

$20,916 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp bettor exits BIG

A proven profitable esports bettor with an 83% hit rate is exiting BIG, which converts to a paiN lean at about 51¢.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $63.9K lifetime.
  • They sold BIG at 49¢ after previously holding it, signaling a move away from BIG rather than adding conviction there.
  • Converted to the binary opposite, the copyable side is paiN at roughly 51¢.

$2,450 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 83%

Elite bettors backing paiN

Three wallets are buying paiN together, including two highly profitable bettors with 77% and 94% historical win rates.

  • Two strong bettors are on paiN: one wins 77% of bets and is up $1.35M, while another wins 94% and is up $367K.
  • Three wallets bought the same side for $9.4K near even odds, suggesting coordinated conviction at 49–50¢.
  • This market just saw a 29.9x pre-event volume spike, with sharp money driving the move before the match.

$9,359 on paiN

Profitable three-wallet BIG cluster

High-score esports alert with three profitable wallets buying BIG together amid a 64x pre-event volume spike and serial cross-market activity.

  • Three profitable wallets are all buying BIG, with lifetime profits of $154K to $353K each.
  • One trader has bet across 443 markets and is up $220K, winning 62% of resolved trades.
  • Volume is 64x normal before the match, and the cluster entered near even money at 50–52¢.

$6,321 on BIG

Sharp esports bettor buying paiN

Proven sharp bettor with 77% win rate and $1.35M lifetime profit is buying paiN at near-even odds amid a strong pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $1.35M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 258 events with $1.9M total tracked volume.
  • Market volume spiked 64x before the match, and they entered paiN at 49¢ near even odds.

$3,282 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 77%

Profitable serial sports trader

A highly experienced, profitable cross-market sports trader bought BIG at near-even odds, though the bet size is moderate and the signal is mainly the wallet’s track record.

  • This bettor has traded 1,316 resolved markets and is up about $220K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 314 events and $5.6M flagged in related event betting.
  • Entry at 51¢ is near even money, suggesting they see BIG as slightly mispriced.

$1,794 on BIG | Wallet win rate: 62%

Profitable serial bettor backs BIG

Profitable high-volume trader with a long cross-market history bought $3.2K of BIG at even odds in a relatively quiet esports market.

  • This bettor is up $353K across 407 resolved trades, with a 59% win rate.
  • They have traded 163 events and over $1M total, suggesting a serious repeat bettor rather than a one-off whale.
  • Entry at 50¢ gives a clean even-money copy point on BIG.

$3,227 on BIG | Wallet win rate: 59%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1136...0c2e BIG, $128,438 (49% win rate)
  2. 0x73e3...1be9 paiN, $120,000 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x5e6e...be00 paiN, $40,000 (51% win rate)
  4. 0x30c7...ac3b BIG, $35,000 (59% win rate)
  5. 0xa9c4...7433 BIG, $25,815 (81% win rate)
  6. 0x29b5...cc6c BIG, $17,133 (58% win rate)
  7. 0x9854...6bf2 paiN, $15,000 (58% win rate)
  8. 0x67bb...b6ef paiN, $14,374 (62% win rate)
  9. 0x44c5...8d45 paiN, $10,270 (77% win rate)
  10. 0x6902...b4ca paiN, $10,000 (94% win rate)

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Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

5hCounter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$47,350 tracked7 signalsGamesSportsEsportscounter strike 2
paiN
49¢
BIG
52¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between paiN and BIG in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 6 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win the match against BIG. This market will resolve to "BIG" if BIG win the match against paiN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

38m ago

$20,916 on paiN at 50¢

50¢49¢1¢

Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

38m ago

$2,450 on paiN at 51¢

51¢49¢2¢

Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

1h ago

$9,359 on paiN at 50¢

50¢49¢1¢

Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

1h ago

$6,321 on BIG at 51¢

51¢52¢1¢

Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

56m ago

$3,282 on paiN at 49¢

49¢49¢

Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

1h ago

$1,794 on BIG at 51¢

51¢52¢1¢

Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

1h ago

$3,227 on BIG at 50¢

50¢52¢2¢

Related Theses