Part of: Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three match between PARIVISION and Aurora Gaming in Round 3 of the PGL Astana Group Stage, scheduled for May 11 at 1:00AM ET. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, with $4,794 in smart money tracked and 1 smart money signal currently noted.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between PARIVISION and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 11 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against PARIVISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,418.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
84% winner buying underdog
Sharp bettor with an 84% win rate and strong positive P&L is buying PARIVISION at near-even odds.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $18.2K lifetime.
- Their average winning entry is 49¢, and this PARIVISION buy is at 47¢.
- Entry at 47¢ implies a roughly 2.1x payout if PARIVISION wins.
$3,178 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 84%
Profitable serial esports trader
Surfaced because this is a highly experienced cross-market esports trader with positive lifetime P&L making a meaningful buy, despite the modest composite score.
- This bettor has traded 128 markets across 104 events and is up about $50.7K lifetime.
- They have a 58% record over 132 resolved bets, with nearly $1.85M previously invested.
- The $4.8K buy at 47¢ backs the underdog side in a liquid market.
$4,794 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 58%
Serial esports bettor
Serial cross-market esports trader with a large 268-bet history and positive P&L is buying PARIVISION at 47c, though the edge signal is moderate rather than exceptional.
- This bettor has a deep track record with 268 resolved bets, winning 63% and staying profitable overall.
- They repeatedly trade across related markets, with activity in 28 events and $43K in cross-market volume.
- Entry at 47¢ suggests they see PARIVISION as better than the market’s near-coinflip price.
$1,964 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 63%
Million-dollar sharp buyer
Surfaced because this is a highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a large resolved sample buying PARIVISION at 47¢.
- This bettor has won 73% of 783 resolved bets and is up about $1.1M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 38 events, suggesting an established strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 47¢ implies they see PARIVISION as a near-even underdog with upside.
$2,027 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 73%
84% winner buying underdog
Sharp esports bettor with an 84% win rate and strong positive P&L bought PARIVISION at 47¢.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $18.2K lifetime.
- Their average entry is near 49¢, so buying PARIVISION at 47¢ fits their proven edge profile.
- Entry at 47¢ implies a roughly 2.1x payout if PARIVISION wins.
$2,455 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0xba38...e406 — Aurora Gaming, $35,000 (56% win rate)
- 0x29b5...cc6c — Aurora Gaming, $17,837 (58% win rate)
- 0x0352...86b0 — PARIVISION, $11,920 (84% win rate)
- 0xa69d...509b — PARIVISION, $10,200 (58% win rate)
- 0xdd88...dadb — PARIVISION, $8,564 (58% win rate)
- 0xf4ec...c574 — PARIVISION, $8,511 (53% win rate)
- 0xc49f...9e05 — Aurora Gaming, $7,447 (96% win rate)
- 0xb7f5...c669 — Aurora Gaming, $6,000 (48% win rate)
- 0x4b59...3aa6 — Aurora Gaming, $4,860 (61% win rate)
- 0xef26...05ba — PARIVISION, $4,312 (73% win rate)
Related Theses
FlyQuest wins Game 2
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PARIVISION beats Aurora Gaming
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