Part of: Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
This Polymarket market predicts the Map 2 winner between PARIVISION and Aurora Gaming in their Counter-Strike 2 Round 3 match at the PGL Astana Group Stage. It resolves to the team that wins Map 2, with resolution expected by May 11, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $7,905 in smart money and 2 smart money signals on this market.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between PARIVISION and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 11 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win Map 2 against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 2 against PARIVISION. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,734.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable esports flow
Strong esports alert: a highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Aurora alongside six-wallet one-sided flow, a 36.9x volume spike, and a 16-point price move.
- This bettor has a long track record: 1,805 resolved bets, 61% winners, and $285,606 in profit.
- Six wallets bought Aurora the same way, totaling $7,777 in one-sided flow.
- Aurora moved from the low 40s to 47¢ after a 36.9x volume spike, supporting the trade direction.
$1,290 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 61%
Sharp bettor joins Aurora flow
Sharp 87% winner joined one-sided Aurora flow during a major pre-event volume spike and large PARIVISION price drop, effectively buying Aurora at 60¢.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $51K lifetime.
- Six wallets are all betting Aurora, totaling $7.8K on the same side.
- The market saw a 36.9x volume spike and a 34-point move against PARIVISION.
$1,476 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 87%
Profitable serial esports bettor
High-volume serial cross-market bettor with $2.1M lifetime profit joined one-sided Aurora flow amid a major pre-event volume spike and price impact.
- This bettor is up $2.1M lifetime across a very large sample of resolved trades.
- Six wallets bought Aurora in the same window, totaling $7,777 on one side.
- Aurora saw a 36.9x volume spike and a 16-point price move, suggesting coordinated momentum before the map.
$1,017 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 55%
92% winner joins PARIVISION flow
Elite 92% winner with huge lifetime profit bought PARIVISION as part of one-sided pre-event flow, though the price has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $2.26M lifetime.
- Six wallets bought PARIVISION in the same window for about $16K total.
- This is part of a 37x volume spike, but the market has moved from their 72¢ entry down to about 30¢.
$1,604 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 92%
Sharp esports cluster on Aurora
Three profitable, high-volume esports bettors converged on Aurora with strong price movement, including one 87% winner selling PARIVISION as the equivalent of buying Aurora at 60¢.
- Three active bettors all moved the same way, putting $3.7K behind Aurora as the price swung sharply upward.
- One wallet wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $51K lifetime, entering the Aurora side at an effective 60¢.
- Two serial cross-market traders have placed millions across markets, suggesting this is experienced esports flow rather than a random bet.
$3,693 on Aurora Gaming
Elite esports sharp buying
Elite 92% winner with over $2.2M profit is buying PARIVISION after a sharp move, making the wallet track record the core signal.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $2.26M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $3.5M flagged across 394 markets.
- Bought PARIVISION at 89¢ after a rapid 15.5-point price drop, suggesting confidence the move was overdone.
$3,950 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 92%
Sharp bettor flips sides
Sharp esports bettor with an 87% resolved win rate and $53.6k profit flipped from Aurora to PARIVISION, making the wallet itself worth surfacing despite the modest trade size.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $53.6k lifetime.
- They just flipped from an Aurora position into PARIVISION, suggesting a fresh change in view.
- Entry at 52¢ implies they see PARIVISION as mispriced despite a tight market.
$1,219 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 87%
Profitable trio buying dip
Surface despite adverse price action because three wallets bought PARIVISION together, including one bettor with a 75% record and two high-volume profitable accounts, amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- Three wallets bought PARIVISION for $4.1K, including one bettor who wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $13.3K.
- Two other high-volume bettors are also profitable, with over $244K combined lifetime profit across millions wagered.
- The entry has moved sharply against them from 39–58¢ to 22¢, so this is a risky contrarian dip rather than clean momentum.
$4,053 on PARIVISION
87% winner backs Aurora
Sharp bettor with an 87% historical win rate and strong positive P&L bought Aurora Gaming at 51¢ despite only a modest single-signal alert.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $53.6K lifetime.
- Their past bets beat market odds by 28 percentage points on average, a strong copy-trading signal.
- They bought Aurora at 51¢ in a liquid, tight-spread esports market.
$1,133 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 87%
Profitable esports regular
Surfaced because this is a highly experienced, profitable sports/esports trader with over $2M lifetime P&L, despite the alert's modest composite score.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 26,688 resolved bets and over $2.0M in lifetime profit.
- They have traded across 1,603 markets with a 55% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 49¢ is near even money, so the bettor is backing PARIVISION as slightly mispriced.
$1,774 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 55%
Top Holders
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — Aurora Gaming, $15,025 (63% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Aurora Gaming, $14,444 (87% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Aurora Gaming, $12,446 (55% win rate)
- 0x8c0b...7aa5 — PARIVISION, $11,252 (56% win rate)
- 0x56c9...0d9e — PARIVISION, $11,173 (92% win rate)
- 0xd3b0...329e — Aurora Gaming, $8,225 (61% win rate)
- 0x2d39...6053 — PARIVISION, $7,288 (48% win rate)
- 0xb2cb...2bad — Aurora Gaming, $6,400 (99% win rate)
- 0xec98...afcd — PARIVISION, $6,341 (48% win rate)
- 0x3471...f17e — PARIVISION, $6,145 (49% win rate)
