Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A
This Polymarket tracks the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-3 lower bracket semifinal between RED Canids and Spirit at IEM Rio Group A, scheduled for April 15. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, with cancellation, a tie, or a delay of more than 7 days resulting in special resolution rules. PolySpotter also shows $1,501 in tracked smart money activity on this market, including recent alerts tied to Spirit and sharp esports bettors.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $106,450.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp esports bettor
A proven sports trader with 101 resolved bets and a 70% win rate bought Spirit before a major volume surge, and the market has already moved from 83¢ to 88¢.
- This bettor has won 71 of 101 resolved trades and is up $11.2k overall
- They trade across many related markets with a solid track record: 29 events and $56.6k deployed
- Bought Spirit at 83¢ and the price is already up to 88¢ after a 14.8x volume spike
$1,501 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 70%
91% winner backs underdog
Three wallets piled into RED Canids for $22k during a major volume spike, led by a bettor with a 91% win rate and $1.38M profit, making this coordinated underdog flow worth watching.
- A bettor who wins 91% of their trades and is up $1.38M led this move with a $19.5k buy.
- Three wallets put $22.3k on RED Canids as market volume jumped 23x above normal.
- They bought an 18-21¢ underdog price, implying they see RED Canids as meaningfully mispriced.
$22,287 on RED Canids
New wallet backing Spirit
A 5-day-old wallet has repeatedly put meaningful size into this event and just sold RED Canids at 17¢, which translates into a fresh buy signal on heavy favorite Spirit around 83¢.
- This 5-day-old wallet has already been flagged 4 times and put about $15.6k to work, which stands out for such a new account.
- This trade sold RED Canids at 17¢, equivalent to buying Spirit at about 83¢ on the stronger side of the market.
- Market volume is running 23x above normal, showing broader money flowing into this match.
$2,960 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 0%
91% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 91% win rate just put $19.5k on a live underdog during a pre-match volume surge, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up $1.38M across 192 resolved positions.
- They trade heavily across 340 related markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought RED Canids at 21¢ for $19.5k during a 32x volume spike, implying they saw the underdog as mispriced.
$19,477 on RED Canids | Wallet win rate: 91%
Sharp esports bettor
A very profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 84% win rate and $1.44M P&L bought Spirit into a pre-match volume and price surge, making this a strong follow signal despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 84% of 900 resolved trades and is up $1.44M lifetime
- They bought Spirit at 79¢ as the market was seeing a 43x volume spike and a 17-point move higher
- Entry at 79¢ suggests conviction even after the move, with Spirit now trading at 84¢
$4,555 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 84%
Serial sports bettor hit move
High-volume serial sports trader with 1,408 resolved bets bought Spirit at 70¢ just before a sharp move to 84¢ during a major pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor has 1,408 resolved bets, wins 62% of the time, and is up about $474k lifetime.
- They bought Spirit at 70¢ and the market is now 84¢, a 14-point move in their favor.
- The match saw a 43x pre-game volume spike, suggesting informed money piled in before the odds jumped.
$3,292 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 62%
5-wallet Spirit pile-in
Five active wallets piled into Spirit within minutes during a 62x volume spike, and several of them are proven high-volume cross-market bettors who got in at 68-70¢ before the price jumped to 84¢.
- Five wallets all bet Spirit in a few minutes for $19.2k total, a strong one-sided signal.
- Several wallets are seasoned event traders, including one with a 62% win rate across 1,408 resolved bets and $473.8k profit.
- They bought at 68-70¢ and the market moved to 84¢, so the cluster caught a sharp early move.
$19,164 on Spirit
5-wallet Spirit cluster
Five wallets, including two that appear linked, piled $23.6k into Spirit within minutes during a 110x volume spike, creating a strong coordinated directional signal despite mixed individual track records.
- Five wallets all hit Spirit within about 5 minutes for $23.6k total, including two wallets with the same funder.
- Market volume ran 110.8x above normal as this buying came in, showing a real surge of interest before the match.
- One wallet in the group is up $9.3k with a 62% win rate, while the broader cluster has bet across 50 related markets.
$23,629 on Spirit
Sharp dog bettor
A proven sharp sports bettor with a strong edge bought the underdog during a big pre-match volume surge, making this a copy-worthy contrarian position despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 76% of their trades and has made about $180k across 66 resolved bets
- They bought the underdog at 27¢, implying they see better win chances than the current 24¢ market price
- Volume on this match jumped 76.6x above normal before start, showing unusual attention around this outcome
$1,319 on RED Canids | Wallet win rate: 76%
79% win-rate sports bettor
A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 79% win rate sold Spirit at 80¢, which translates to buying RED Canids around 20¢ in a liquid match market.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades across 306 bets and has put over $1.0M to work
- They sold Spirit at 80¢, which is equivalent to buying RED Canids at about 20¢ before the market moved to 26¢
- The bet size was meaningful at $8.3k, showing real conviction rather than a small flyer
$8,266 on RED Canids | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 74349993, $116,361 (53% win rate)
- 0x5d58...9a15 — Outcome 20310361, $93,351 (91% win rate)
- 0x996a...e3cc — Outcome 74349993, $39,348 (100% win rate)
- 0x880b...c98b — Outcome 20310361, $26,080 (83% win rate)
- 0xf679...16ac — Outcome 20310361, $24,781 (51% win rate)
- 0xb8e4...2dae — Outcome 20310361, $21,694
- 0x7714...b814 — Outcome 74349993, $20,000 (66% win rate)
- 0x6df6...8458 — Outcome 20310361, $18,226 (67% win rate)
- 0x3993...cded — Outcome 20310361, $17,228 (68% win rate)
- 0x9cb9...32f2 — Outcome 20310361, $17,000 (38% win rate)
