Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

This Polymarket tracks the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-3 lower bracket semifinal between RED Canids and Spirit at IEM Rio Group A, scheduled for April 15. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, with cancellation, a tie, or a delay of more than 7 days resulting in special resolution rules. PolySpotter also shows $1,501 in tracked smart money activity on this market, including recent alerts tied to Spirit and sharp esports bettors.

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $106,450.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp esports bettor

A proven sports trader with 101 resolved bets and a 70% win rate bought Spirit before a major volume surge, and the market has already moved from 83¢ to 88¢.

  • This bettor has won 71 of 101 resolved trades and is up $11.2k overall
  • They trade across many related markets with a solid track record: 29 events and $56.6k deployed
  • Bought Spirit at 83¢ and the price is already up to 88¢ after a 14.8x volume spike

$1,501 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 70%

91% winner backs underdog

Three wallets piled into RED Canids for $22k during a major volume spike, led by a bettor with a 91% win rate and $1.38M profit, making this coordinated underdog flow worth watching.

  • A bettor who wins 91% of their trades and is up $1.38M led this move with a $19.5k buy.
  • Three wallets put $22.3k on RED Canids as market volume jumped 23x above normal.
  • They bought an 18-21¢ underdog price, implying they see RED Canids as meaningfully mispriced.

$22,287 on RED Canids

New wallet backing Spirit

A 5-day-old wallet has repeatedly put meaningful size into this event and just sold RED Canids at 17¢, which translates into a fresh buy signal on heavy favorite Spirit around 83¢.

  • This 5-day-old wallet has already been flagged 4 times and put about $15.6k to work, which stands out for such a new account.
  • This trade sold RED Canids at 17¢, equivalent to buying Spirit at about 83¢ on the stronger side of the market.
  • Market volume is running 23x above normal, showing broader money flowing into this match.

$2,960 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 0%

91% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 91% win rate just put $19.5k on a live underdog during a pre-match volume surge, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up $1.38M across 192 resolved positions.
  • They trade heavily across 340 related markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • They bought RED Canids at 21¢ for $19.5k during a 32x volume spike, implying they saw the underdog as mispriced.

$19,477 on RED Canids | Wallet win rate: 91%

Sharp esports bettor

A very profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 84% win rate and $1.44M P&L bought Spirit into a pre-match volume and price surge, making this a strong follow signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 84% of 900 resolved trades and is up $1.44M lifetime
  • They bought Spirit at 79¢ as the market was seeing a 43x volume spike and a 17-point move higher
  • Entry at 79¢ suggests conviction even after the move, with Spirit now trading at 84¢

$4,555 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 84%

Serial sports bettor hit move

High-volume serial sports trader with 1,408 resolved bets bought Spirit at 70¢ just before a sharp move to 84¢ during a major pre-match volume spike.

  • This bettor has 1,408 resolved bets, wins 62% of the time, and is up about $474k lifetime.
  • They bought Spirit at 70¢ and the market is now 84¢, a 14-point move in their favor.
  • The match saw a 43x pre-game volume spike, suggesting informed money piled in before the odds jumped.

$3,292 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 62%

5-wallet Spirit pile-in

Five active wallets piled into Spirit within minutes during a 62x volume spike, and several of them are proven high-volume cross-market bettors who got in at 68-70¢ before the price jumped to 84¢.

  • Five wallets all bet Spirit in a few minutes for $19.2k total, a strong one-sided signal.
  • Several wallets are seasoned event traders, including one with a 62% win rate across 1,408 resolved bets and $473.8k profit.
  • They bought at 68-70¢ and the market moved to 84¢, so the cluster caught a sharp early move.

$19,164 on Spirit

5-wallet Spirit cluster

Five wallets, including two that appear linked, piled $23.6k into Spirit within minutes during a 110x volume spike, creating a strong coordinated directional signal despite mixed individual track records.

  • Five wallets all hit Spirit within about 5 minutes for $23.6k total, including two wallets with the same funder.
  • Market volume ran 110.8x above normal as this buying came in, showing a real surge of interest before the match.
  • One wallet in the group is up $9.3k with a 62% win rate, while the broader cluster has bet across 50 related markets.

$23,629 on Spirit

Sharp dog bettor

A proven sharp sports bettor with a strong edge bought the underdog during a big pre-match volume surge, making this a copy-worthy contrarian position despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 76% of their trades and has made about $180k across 66 resolved bets
  • They bought the underdog at 27¢, implying they see better win chances than the current 24¢ market price
  • Volume on this match jumped 76.6x above normal before start, showing unusual attention around this outcome

$1,319 on RED Canids | Wallet win rate: 76%

79% win-rate sports bettor

A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 79% win rate sold Spirit at 80¢, which translates to buying RED Canids around 20¢ in a liquid match market.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades across 306 bets and has put over $1.0M to work
  • They sold Spirit at 80¢, which is equivalent to buying RED Canids at about 20¢ before the market moved to 26¢
  • The bet size was meaningful at $8.3k, showing real conviction rather than a small flyer

$8,266 on RED Canids | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2a2c...9bc1 Outcome 74349993, $116,361 (53% win rate)
  2. 0x5d58...9a15 Outcome 20310361, $93,351 (91% win rate)
  3. 0x996a...e3cc Outcome 74349993, $39,348 (100% win rate)
  4. 0x880b...c98b Outcome 20310361, $26,080 (83% win rate)
  5. 0xf679...16ac Outcome 20310361, $24,781 (51% win rate)
  6. 0xb8e4...2dae Outcome 20310361, $21,694
  7. 0x7714...b814 Outcome 74349993, $20,000 (66% win rate)
  8. 0x6df6...8458 Outcome 20310361, $18,226 (67% win rate)
  9. 0x3993...cded Outcome 20310361, $17,228 (68% win rate)
  10. 0x9cb9...32f2 Outcome 20310361, $17,000 (38% win rate)

Related Theses

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Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

32m$106,450 tracked10 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between RED Canids and Spirit in the IEM Rio Group A, initially scheduled for April 15 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED Canids win the match against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against RED Canids. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

3h ago

$1,501 on Spirit at 83¢

Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

3h ago

$22,287 on RED Canids at 21¢

Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

3h ago

$2,960 on Spirit at 83¢

Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

3h ago

$19,477 on RED Canids at 21¢

Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

3h ago

$4,555 on Spirit at 79¢

Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

4h ago

$3,292 on Spirit at 70¢

Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

4h ago

$19,164 on Spirit at 70¢

Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

4h ago

$23,629 on Spirit at 68¢

Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

4h ago

$1,319 on RED Canids at 27¢

Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

4h ago

$8,266 on RED Canids at 20¢

Related Theses

RED Canids vs Spirit Odds - IEM Rio Polymarket | PolySpotter